Ukraine 1-2 Hungary: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 5, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Ukraine 1-2 Hungary.

90+2'

O. Pikhalyonok

Attempt missed. O. Pikhalyonok (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

M. Khlan

Attempt saved. M. Khlan (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

89'

O. Pikhalyonok

Attempt blocked. O. Pikhalyonok (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

88'

G. Jurek

Attempt missed. G. Jurek (Hungary), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

87'

D. Szoboszlai

Substitution, Hungary: Á. Csongvai comes on for D. Szoboszlai.

86'

Y. Nazaryna

Substitution, Ukraine: V. Ivan comes on for Y. Nazaryna.

85'

M. Csinger

Goal! Ukraine 1-2 Hungary. M. Csinger (Hungary) scores, assisted by R. Tóth.

83'

R. Yaremchuk

Goal! Ukraine 1-1 Hungary. R. Yaremchuk (Ukraine) scores, assisted by O. Pikhalyonok.

83'

E. Sarapii

Attempt blocked. E. Sarapii (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

83'

Y. Nazaryna

Attempt blocked. Y. Nazaryna (Ukraine), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

83'

Ukraine

Corner, Ukraine.

79'

Ukraine

Offside, Ukraine.

79'

T. Mykhavko

Attempt missed. T. Mykhavko (Ukraine), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

78'

R. Tóth

Yellow card for R. Tóth (Hungary) for time wasting.

77'

G. Jurek

Attempt saved. G. Jurek (Hungary), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

74'

O. Pikhalyonok

Attempt blocked. O. Pikhalyonok (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

74'

V. Vanat

Attempt missed. V. Vanat (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

73'

Ukraine

Corner, Ukraine.

72'

Ukraine

Corner, Ukraine.

72'

A. Schäfer

Substitution, Hungary: R. Tóth comes on for A. Schäfer.

72'

M. Tóth

Substitution, Hungary: J. Szalai comes on for M. Tóth.

71'

Ukraine

Corner, Ukraine.

71'

V. Vanat

Attempt blocked. V. Vanat (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

70'

O. Ocheretko

Substitution, Ukraine: O. Pikhalyonok comes on for O. Ocheretko.

67'

W. Orbán

Attempt blocked. W. Orbán (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

66'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

65'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

62'

A. Tóth

Substitution, Hungary: G. Jurek comes on for A. Tóth.

61'

D. Lukács

Substitution, Hungary: T. Szűcs comes on for D. Lukács.

60'

M. Ponomarenko

Substitution, Ukraine: R. Yaremchuk comes on for M. Ponomarenko.

60'

V. Veleten

Substitution, Ukraine: M. Khlan comes on for V. Veleten.

60'

I. Krasnopir

Substitution, Ukraine: V. Vanat comes on for I. Krasnopir.

59'

A. Schäfer

Attempt blocked. A. Schäfer (Hungary), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

59'

A. Tóth

Attempt saved. A. Tóth (Hungary), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

58'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

55'

V. Veleten

Attempt blocked. V. Veleten (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

55'

D. Lukács

Yellow card for D. Lukács (Hungary) for foul.

52'

M. Tóth

Goal! Ukraine 0-1 Hungary. M. Tóth (Hungary) scores, assisted by M. Vitális.

48'

M. Vitális

Attempt missed. M. Vitális (Hungary), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

47'

A. Osváth

Attempt blocked. A. Osváth (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

47'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Ukraine 0-0 Hungary.

45'

A. Osváth

Attempt missed. A. Osváth (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

43'

Hungary

Offside, Hungary.

32'

Ukraine

Offside, Ukraine.

32'

Ukraine

Offside, Ukraine.

28'

M. Ponomarenko

Attempt missed. M. Ponomarenko (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

27'

I. Krasnopir

Attempt blocked. I. Krasnopir (Ukraine), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

20'

Y. Nazaryna

Yellow card for Y. Nazaryna (Ukraine) for foul.

19'

M. Ponomarenko

Attempt missed. M. Ponomarenko (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

18'

I. Krasnopir

Attempt blocked. I. Krasnopir (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

14'

Y. Nazaryna

Attempt blocked. Y. Nazaryna (Ukraine), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

11'

O. Ocheretko

Attempt blocked. O. Ocheretko (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

9'

Ukraine

Corner, Ukraine.

7'

Ukraine

Offside, Ukraine.

1'

Kick-off: Ukraine vs Hungary.

Where the money is

1288086 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 716259 EUR · live

Away 1.03 · implied 97.1%

67.2%

-29.8 vs price

Draw 36.0 · implied 2.8%

18.3%

+15.5 vs price

Home 260.0 · implied 0.4%

14.5%

+14.2 vs price

Half time 3614 EUR · live

Home 40.0 · implied 2.5%

49.8%

+47.2 vs price

Draw 1.04 · implied 96.2%

39.1%

-57.1 vs price

Away 44.0 · implied 2.3%

11.1%

+8.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 75598 EUR · live

Under 1.41 · implied 70.9%

80.7%

+9.8 vs price

Over 3.45 · implied 29.0%

19.3%

-9.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 7096 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

97.9%

-1.1 vs price

Over 110.0 · implied 0.9%

2.1%

+1.2 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

20' Y. Nazaryna · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

52' ⚽ M. Tóth · assist M. Vitális0–1

55' D. Lukács · Foul

60' 🔁 V. Vanat ◂ I. Krasnopir

60' 🔁 M. Khlan ◂ V. Veleten

60' 🔁 R. Yaremchuk ◂ M. Ponomarenko

61' 🔁 T. Szűcs ◂ D. Lukács

62' 🔁 G. Jurek ◂ A. Tóth

70' 🔁 O. Pikhalyonok ◂ O. Ocheretko

72' 🔁 J. Szalai ◂ M. Tóth

72' 🔁 R. Tóth ◂ A. Schäfer

78' R. Tóth · Time wasting

83' ⚽ R. Yaremchuk · assist O. Pikhalyonok1–1

85' ⚽ M. Csinger · assist R. Tóth1–2

86' 🔁 V. Ivan ◂ Y. Nazaryna

87' 🔁 Á. Csongvai ◂ D. Szoboszlai

Full-time · 1–2

Coaches

Andrea Maldera

Marco Rossi

Recent form

Ukraine

LHNorthern Ireland0-3

DAGeorgia0-0

WAHungary1-0

WAPoland2-0

WHAlbania1-0

Hungary

WHGeorgia1-0

DANorthern Ireland0-0

LHUkraine0-1

WHKazakhstan3-1

WHFinland2-1

About this match

**Ukraine rolls into Slovakia with a fresh 1-0 win over Hungary on their resume—and they're ready to make it 2-0 in this one.** Both sides hover at 3W-1D-1L in the Nations League, but **the momentum edge belongs to Kyiv.** 🔵

Hungary's got some real injury headaches brewing. Missing **Varga, Bolla, and Redzic** leaves their setup thinner than they'd like, while Ukraine bring confidence off that recent away victory at Budapest.

Key storylines:

- **Ukraine's recent dominance**: beat Hungary 1-0 just weeks ago; that blueprint is still fresh
- **Hungary's absentee list**: Varga out on thigh injury disrupts their attacking flow; depth gets tested
- **Midfield battle**: **Szoboszlai** anchors Hungary's tempo, but **Sudakov** and **Bondar** can dictate play for Ukraine

Expected lineups:

- **Ukraine**: Trubin, Mykhaylichenko, Zabarnyi, Matvienko, Bondar, Sudakov, Nazaryna, Tsygankov, Vanat
- **Hungary**: Tóth, Kerkez, Orbán, Csinger, Sallai, Szoboszlai, Schäfer, Nagy, Vitális, Jurek, Lukács

Prediction:

**Ukraine 2-0 Hungary** — the Yellows have the recent win, sharper form, and face a depleted Hungarian side. This leans Ukraine's way. ⚡

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport Football Plus

Match facts

Stadium

Štadión Antona Malatinského

City

Trnava

Referee

Igor Pajač

3.74 yellows/match · 19 matches

Kickoff

05 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Ukraine 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Hungary

12 A. Trubin 5.0 2 I. Krupskyi 7.1 13 I. Zabarnyi 7.2 3 E. Sarapii 7.0 4 T. Mykhavko 7.0 17 O. Pikhalyonok 6.9 ↑ 70' 16 V. Ivan 6.6 ↑ 86' 15 V. Tsygankov 6.1 20 M. Khlan 6.5 ↑ 60' 9 R. Yaremchuk 7.3 ↑ 60' 11 V. Vanat 6.4 ↑ 60' 1 B. Tóth 6.4 2 A. Osváth 6.5 6 W. Orbán 7.8 3 M. Csinger 8.1 18 Z. Nagy 6.3 19 R. Tóth 7.6 ↑ 72' 15 Á. Csongvai ↑ 87' 7 T. Szűcs 6.7 ↑ 61' 8 M. Vitális 7.0 17 G. Jurek 6.6 ↑ 62' 11 J. Szalai 6.6 ↑ 72'

Top stats

52%Possession48%

1.67Expected goals (xG)1.28

17Total shots10

2Shots on target4

2Big chances2

5Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target3

10Blocked shots3

12Shots inside box4

5Shots outside box6

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed0

-1.44Goals prevented0.01

Attack

32Touches in box7

64Final third entries44

3Offsides1

13Free kicks10

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

456Passes419

387Accurate passes359

24/47 (51%)Long balls16/49 (33%)

3/19 (16%)Crosses4/17 (24%)

30Throw-ins13

Duels

54Duels46

36/71 (51%)Ground duels35/71 (49%)

12/18 (67%)Aerial duels6/18 (33%)

8/25 (32%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)

5Dispossessed7

Defending

15Tackles22

60Tackles won50

4Interceptions9

15Clearances34

45Recoveries46

Discipline

10Fouls13

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

0Big saves1

6Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Ukraine 37%

30%

Hungary 32%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.11 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.25 @ betfair

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.22 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.50 @ betfair

1X2Draw 30% · 2.30 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.25 @ Bet365

1X2Hungary to win 32% · 3.28 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 50% · 2.07 @ Pinnacle

1X2Ukraine to win 37% · 2.93 @ 1xBet

Who winsUkraine to win (DNB) 51% · 1.85 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 2.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.51

Ukraine

3.10

Draw

2.90

Hungary

Double Chanceconsensus

1.40

Ukraine or Draw

1.33

Ukraine or Hungary

1.50

Draw or Hungary

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.93

Yes

1.80

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

8.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.42

Over 1.50

2.79

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.33

Over 2.50

1.60

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.33

Over 3.50

1.19

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.00

Over 4.50

1.03

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.80

Ukraine

1.93

Hungary

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.55

Over 7.50

2.29

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.98

Over 8.50

1.77

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.47

Over 9.50

1.50

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.33

Over 10.50

1.23

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.60

Over 11.50

1.12

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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