Cyprus 2-1 Latvia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 5, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Cyprus 2-1 Latvia.

90+5'

M. Edwards

Yellow card for M. Edwards (Cyprus).

90+4'

M. Edwards

Goal! Cyprus 2-1 Latvia. M. Edwards (Cyprus) scores, assisted by N. Tsaroulla.

90+2'

M. Edwards

Attempt missed. M. Edwards (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+1'

G. Kastanos

Substitution, Cyprus: N. Tsaroulla comes on for G. Kastanos.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

D. Patijčuks

Attempt missed. D. Patijčuks (Latvia), header. xG 0.06.

88'

D. Zelenkovs

Substitution, Latvia: A. Saveljevs comes on for D. Zelenkovs.

85'

A. Cigaņiks

Yellow card for A. Cigaņiks (Latvia) for argument.

85'

L. Konomis

Yellow card for L. Konomis (Cyprus) for foul.

84'

R. Uldriķis

Attempt blocked. R. Uldriķis (Latvia), header. xG 0.02.

83'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

82'

A. Aleksanjans

Attempt missed. A. Aleksanjans (Latvia), header from a corner. xG 0.20.

81'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

78'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

77'

Cyprus

Offside, Cyprus.

76'

L. Konomis

Attempt missed. L. Konomis (Cyprus), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

76'

D. Patijčuks

Yellow card for D. Patijčuks (Latvia).

75'

G. Kosti

Attempt saved. G. Kosti (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

74'

E. Daskevics

Substitution, Latvia: A. Aleksanjans comes on for E. Daskevics.

73'

E. Daskevics

Attempt missed. E. Daskevics (Latvia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

70'

G. Kosti

Goal! Cyprus 1-1 Latvia. G. Kosti (Cyprus) scores.

70'

G. Kosti

Attempt saved. G. Kosti (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

69'

A. Cigaņiks

Attempt missed. A. Cigaņiks (Latvia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

69'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

67'

I. Pittas

Substitution, Cyprus: A. Neophytou comes on for I. Pittas.

67'

K. Artymatas

Substitution, Cyprus: C. Kyriakou comes on for K. Artymatas.

60'

M. Edwards

Attempt saved. M. Edwards (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.27.

60'

V. Gutkovskis

Substitution, Latvia: R. Uldriķis comes on for V. Gutkovskis.

60'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

59'

M. Edwards

Attempt blocked. M. Edwards (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

58'

A. Kakoullis

Substitution, Cyprus: G. Kosti comes on for A. Kakoullis.

58'

L. Loizou

Substitution, Cyprus: S. Georgiou comes on for L. Loizou.

57'

E. Daskevics

Goal! Cyprus 0-1 Latvia. E. Daskevics (Latvia) scores, assisted by V. Gutkovskis.

53'

A. Cigaņiks

Attempt missed. A. Cigaņiks (Latvia), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

52'

G. Malekkidis

Attempt missed. G. Malekkidis (Cyprus), header from a corner. xG 0.21.

51'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

49'

V. Gutkovskis

Attempt missed. V. Gutkovskis (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.21.

46'

L. Vapne

Substitution, Latvia: K. Cudars comes on for L. Vapne.

46'

M. Strods

Substitution, Latvia: D. Patijčuks comes on for M. Strods.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Cyprus 0-0 Latvia.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

D. Zelenkovs

Attempt blocked. D. Zelenkovs (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

42'

I. Pittas

Attempt blocked. I. Pittas (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

30'

K. Artymatas

Attempt blocked. K. Artymatas (Cyprus), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

29'

R. Jurkovskis

Yellow card for R. Jurkovskis (Latvia) for foul.

27'

A. Kakoullis

Attempt blocked. A. Kakoullis (Cyprus), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

26'

Cyprus

Offside, Cyprus.

25'

V. Gutkovskis

Attempt missed. V. Gutkovskis (Latvia), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

23'

A. Kakoullis

Attempt missed. A. Kakoullis (Cyprus), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

22'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

22'

L. Loizou

Attempt saved. L. Loizou (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

18'

M. Edwards

Attempt missed. M. Edwards (Cyprus), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

17'

L. Loizou

Attempt saved. L. Loizou (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

17'

I. Pittas

Attempt missed. I. Pittas (Cyprus), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.28.

17'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

14'

V. Gutkovskis

Attempt blocked. V. Gutkovskis (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

11'

L. Vapne

Attempt missed. L. Vapne (Latvia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

8'

I. Pittas

Attempt blocked. I. Pittas (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

7'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

2'

G. Kastanos

Attempt blocked. G. Kastanos (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

2'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

1'

Kick-off: Cyprus vs Latvia.

Where the money is

2593087 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1548265 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

53.3%

-45.7 vs price

Draw 270.0 · implied 0.4%

34.4%

+34.0 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

12.4%

+12.3 vs price

Half time 14474 EUR · live

Draw 1.81 · implied 55.2%

58.2%

+3.0 vs price

Home 2.8 · implied 35.7%

35.1%

-0.6 vs price

Away 11.0 · implied 9.1%

6.7%

-2.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 494913 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

81.0%

-16.1 vs price

Over 27.0 · implied 3.7%

19.0%

+15.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 10045 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

95.0%

-3.0 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

5.0%

+2.2 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

29' R. Jurkovskis · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 D. Patijčuks ◂ M. Strods

46' 🔁 K. Cudars ◂ L. Vapne

57' ⚽ E. Daskevics · assist V. Gutkovskis0–1

58' 🔁 S. Georgiou ◂ L. Loizou

58' 🔁 G. Kosti ◂ A. Kakoullis

60' 🔁 R. Uldriķis ◂ V. Gutkovskis

67' 🔁 C. Kyriakou ◂ K. Artymatas

67' 🔁 A. Neophytou ◂ I. Pittas

70' ⚽ G. Kosti1–1

74' 🔁 A. Aleksanjans ◂ E. Daskevics

76' D. Patijčuks

85' A. Cigaņiks · Argument

85' L. Konomis · Foul

88' 🔁 A. Saveljevs ◂ D. Zelenkovs

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺¹ 🔁 N. Tsaroulla ◂ G. Kastanos

90'⁺⁴ ⚽ M. Edwards · assist N. Tsaroulla2–1

90'⁺⁵ M. Edwards

Coaches

Akis Mantzios

Paolo Nicolato

Recent form

Cyprus

WHArmenia2-0

DALatvia0-0

LAMontenegro1-2

WALiechtenstein2-0

DASlovenia1-1

Latvia

LHMontenegro1-2

DHCyprus0-0

LAArmenia0-2

WHGibraltar1-0

WAGibraltar1-0

About this match

**Cyprus and Latvia know each other way too well** — these sides have drawn twice in recent fixtures, and Monday's rematch at the GSP Stadium could easily go the same sterile route. 🤝

Cyprus are solid at home (2W in last 5) and edging slightly ahead in form, while Latvia's struggles on the road (0W in recent away trips) make the hosts the natural lean here. Still, these teams are so evenly matched that a stalemate wouldn't shock anyone.

Key storylines:

- **Cyprus** riding home-field advantage with back-to-back wins before a stumble vs Montenegro
- **Latvia's** defensive setup (5-4-1) built to frustrate and avoid conceding, keeping opponents at arm's length
- Both teams priced for a tight, low-scoring affair given their head-to-head history

Expected lineups:

- **Cyprus**: Fabiano, N. Panagiotou, G. Malekkidis, A. Shikkis, L. Konomis, G. Kastanos, M. Tzionis
- **Latvia**: R. Matrevics, A. Cigaņiks, A. Černomordijs, R. Jurkovskis, D. Zelenkovs, A. Saveljevs, V. Gutkovskis

Prediction:

**Cyprus 1–0 Latvia**

Slight edge to the hosts at home, but Latvia's defensive discipline will make it a grind. 🔒

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport GrandstandSuperSport MaximoSuperSport Maximo 2SuperSport Premier League

Match facts

Stadium

GSP Stadium

City

Nicosia

Referee

Giorgi Kruashvili

4.69 yellows/match · 16 matches

Kickoff

05 Oct, 16:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Cyprus 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1 Latvia

1 Fabiano 5.6 15 L. Konomis 6.7 4 H. Kyprianou 7.3 3 N. Panagiotou 6.5 14 G. Malekkidis 7.1 8 C. Kyriakou 6.8 ↑ 67' 6 N. Tsaroulla ↑ 90' 23 M. Edwards 8.5 13 G. Kosti 7.3 ↑ 58' 19 S. Georgiou 6.6 ↑ 58' 7 A. Neophytou 6.4 ↑ 67' 23 R. Matrevics 8.2 13 R. Jurkovskis 6.4 21 D. Melniks 5.8 4 O. Vientiess 7.5 2 D. Balodis 6.4 14 A. Cigaņiks 6.7 18 A. Aleksanjans 6.5 ↑ 74' 6 D. Patijčuks 6.6 ↑ 46' 22 A. Saveljevs ↑ 88' 16 K. Cudars 6.7 ↑ 46' 20 R. Uldriķis 6.5 ↑ 60'

Top stats

61%Possession39%

2.06Expected goals (xG)0.73

19Total shots12

7Shots on target1

4Big chances1

7Corners3

Shots

6Shots off target8

6Blocked shots3

12Shots inside box8

7Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed1

-0.78Goals prevented1.01

Attack

34Touches in box14

68Final third entries35

2Offsides1

8Free kicks10

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

600Passes385

535Accurate passes325

19/49 (39%)Long balls18/36 (50%)

6/28 (21%)Crosses6/13 (46%)

20Throw-ins6

Duels

42Duels58

21/48 (44%)Ground duels27/48 (56%)

6/16 (38%)Aerial duels10/16 (63%)

5/13 (38%)Dribbles3/4 (75%)

6Dispossessed7

Defending

8Tackles14

50Tackles won57

8Interceptions11

8Clearances31

46Recoveries48

Discipline

10Fouls8

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves5

0Big saves1

10Goal kicks14

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Cyprus 58%

25%

Latvia 17%

1X2Cyprus to win 58% · 2.05 @ William Hill

Who winsCyprus to win (DNB) 69% · 1.19 @ Betano

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 2.10 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.13 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.28 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 25% · 2.51 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.33 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.38 @ 1xBet

1X2Latvia to win 17% · 5.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.61

Cyprus

3.70

Draw

5.50

Latvia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.14

Cyprus or Draw

1.22

Cyprus or Latvia

2.29

Draw or Latvia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.15

Yes

1.65

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.35

Over 1.50

3.07

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.09

Over 2.50

1.73

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.78

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.00

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.17

Cyprus

4.60

Latvia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.34

Over 7.50

2.73

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.65

Over 8.50

2.11

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.07

Over 9.50

1.67

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.58

Over 10.50

1.38

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.27

Over 11.50

1.20

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Cyprus to win or draw

✓

83% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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