Moldova 0-4 Slovakia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 6, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Moldova 0-4 Slovakia.

90+2'

O. Reabciuk

Attempt blocked. O. Reabciuk (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

I. Iovu

Yellow card for I. Iovu (Moldova) for foul.

89'

S. Perciun

Attempt blocked. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

89'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

87'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

86'

I. Iovu

Attempt missed. I. Iovu (Moldova), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

86'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

84'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

82'

A. Obert

Substitution, Slovakia: Ľ. Šatka comes on for A. Obert.

82'

T. Suslov

Substitution, Slovakia: P. Pokorný comes on for T. Suslov.

81'

O. Reabciuk

Attempt saved. O. Reabciuk (Moldova), header. xG 0.05.

81'

D. Strelec

Substitution, Slovakia: E. Prekop comes on for D. Strelec.

79'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

79'

V. Stina

Attempt blocked. V. Stina (Moldova), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

77'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

76'

I. Revenco

Substitution, Moldova: N. Moțpan comes on for I. Revenco.

75'

L. Haraslín

Goal! Moldova 0-4 Slovakia. L. Haraslín (Slovakia) scores, assisted by L. Sauer.

75'

L. Sauer

Attempt saved. L. Sauer (Slovakia), left-footed shot. xG 0.36.

73'

P. Popescu

Attempt missed. P. Popescu (Moldova), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

72'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

72'

C. Dros

Attempt missed. C. Dros (Moldova), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

70'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

69'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

69'

P. Popescu

Attempt blocked. P. Popescu (Moldova), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

69'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

67'

O. Duda

Substitution, Slovakia: T. Rigo comes on for O. Duda.

67'

I. Schranz

Substitution, Slovakia: L. Sauer comes on for I. Schranz.

66'

V. Baboglo

Substitution, Moldova: M. Ștefan comes on for V. Baboglo.

65'

Moldova

Offside, Moldova.

65'

N. Cleșcenco

Substitution, Moldova: V. Stina comes on for N. Cleșcenco.

62'

I. Mesík

Attempt missed. I. Mesík (Slovakia), header. xG 0.36.

60'

D. Hancko

Goal! Moldova 0-3 Slovakia. D. Hancko (Slovakia) scores, assisted by L. Haraslín.

58'

V. Rață

Substitution, Moldova: D. Dumbrăvanu comes on for V. Rață.

58'

M. Gherasimencov

Substitution, Moldova: C. Dros comes on for M. Gherasimencov.

58'

Moldova

Offside, Moldova.

53'

I. Iovu

Attempt missed. I. Iovu (Moldova), header from a set piece. xG 0.07.

53'

S. Perciun

Attempt blocked. S. Perciun (Moldova), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

51'

V. Fratea

Attempt saved. V. Fratea (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Moldova 0-2 Slovakia.

45'

1 minute of added time.

44'

T. Suslov

Goal! Moldova 0-2 Slovakia. T. Suslov (Slovakia) scores, assisted by I. Mesík.

44'

L. Haraslín

Attempt missed. L. Haraslín (Slovakia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

37'

Slovakia

Offside, Slovakia.

37'

I. Mesík

Attempt blocked. I. Mesík (Slovakia), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

36'

S. Perciun

Attempt saved. S. Perciun (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

32'

D. Hancko

Attempt missed. D. Hancko (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

24'

V. Rață

Attempt missed. V. Rață (Moldova), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

22'

V. Rață

Yellow card for V. Rață (Moldova) for foul.

21'

S. Perciun

Attempt saved. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

15'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

15'

D. Strelec

Attempt saved. D. Strelec (Slovakia), left-footed shot. xG 0.22.

15'

L. Haraslín

Attempt blocked. L. Haraslín (Slovakia), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

12'

Slovakia

Offside, Slovakia.

10'

P. Popescu

Attempt saved. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

8'

I. Schranz

Attempt blocked. I. Schranz (Slovakia), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

8'

M. Škriniar

Attempt blocked. M. Škriniar (Slovakia), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.14.

8'

M. Škriniar

Attempt blocked. M. Škriniar (Slovakia), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.17.

8'

D. Strelec

Goal! Moldova 0-1 Slovakia. D. Strelec (Slovakia) scores.

6'

N. Cleșcenco

Attempt missed. N. Cleșcenco (Moldova), right-footed shot. xG 0.55.

4'

V. Fratea

Attempt missed. V. Fratea (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

2'

Slovakia

Offside, Slovakia.

1'

Kick-off: Moldova vs Slovakia.

Where the money is

264697 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 110639 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

81.2%

-17.8 vs price

Draw 700.0 · implied 0.1%

14.4%

+14.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.4%

+4.3 vs price

Half time 2679 EUR · live

Away 1.07 · implied 93.5%

76.5%

-17.0 vs price

Home 150.0 · implied 0.7%

13.0%

+12.3 vs price

Draw 15.0 · implied 6.7%

10.5%

+3.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 42648 EUR · live

Over 1.44 · implied 69.4%

56.0%

-13.5 vs price

Under 3.55 · implied 28.2%

44.2%

+16.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 812 EUR · live

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

74.8%

-19.6 vs price

Over 23.0 · implied 4.3%

25.1%

+20.8 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

8' ⚽ D. Strelec0–1

22' V. Rață · Foul

44' ⚽ T. Suslov · assist I. Mesík0–2

Half-time · 0–2

58' 🔁 C. Dros ◂ M. Gherasimencov

58' 🔁 D. Dumbrăvanu ◂ V. Rață

60' ⚽ D. Hancko · assist L. Haraslín0–3

65' 🔁 V. Stina ◂ N. Cleșcenco

66' 🔁 M. Ștefan ◂ V. Baboglo

67' 🔁 L. Sauer ◂ I. Schranz

67' 🔁 T. Rigo ◂ O. Duda

75' ⚽ L. Haraslín · assist L. Sauer0–4

76' 🔁 N. Moțpan ◂ I. Revenco

81' 🔁 E. Prekop ◂ D. Strelec

82' 🔁 P. Pokorný ◂ T. Suslov

82' 🔁 Ľ. Šatka ◂ A. Obert

Full-time · 0–4

90' I. Iovu · Foul

Coaches

Lilian Popescu

Vladimir Weiss

Recent form

Moldova

WAKazakhstan2-1

DHFaroe Islands1-1

LASlovakia0-2

DAArmenia1-1

DHBulgaria2-2

Slovakia

DAFaroe Islands1-1

WHKazakhstan2-1

WHMoldova2-0

DHMontenegro2-2

WHMalta2-1

About this match

**Slovakia's looking to make it three straight against Moldova** — and they've got serious momentum, while the hosts are searching for consistency. 🇸🇰

Moldova took a rare win at Kazakhstan but then got hammered 2-0 away in Bratislava last time out. Slovakia? Three wins in their last five, zero losses. The form tells you everything.

Key storylines:

- **Slovakia's defensive wall** anchored by M. Škriniar and D. Hancko should feast on Moldova's attacking setup
- **S. Lobotka pulling strings** in midfield for Slovakia — Moldova will struggle to match that quality
- **Moldova desperate for a home result** after the away drubbing; A. Cojuhar leads the press but faces a stiff test

Expected lineups:

- **Moldova**: D. Celeadnic, M. Gherasimencov, O. Reabciuk, V. Rață, S. Perciun, P. Popescu, A. Cojuhar
- **Slovakia**: M. Dúbravka, M. Škriniar, D. Hancko, S. Lobotka, D. Strelec, L. Haraslín

Prediction:

**Slovakia 2–0 Moldova** 🎯

Slovakia's the clear lean here — they've owned this fixture and Moldova's form on the road is shaky at best.

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Stadionul Zimbru

City

Chisinau

Referee

Yigal Frid

3.40 yellows/match · 10 matches

Kickoff

06 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Moldova 5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1 Slovakia

12 D. Celeadnic 4.9 7 N. Moțpan 6.7 ↑ 76' 3 M. Ștefan 6.4 ↑ 66' 18 I. Iovu 5.6 19 D. Dumbrăvanu 6.1 ↑ 58' 2 O. Reabciuk 6.7 14 V. Fratea 7.4 8 C. Dros 6.4 ↑ 58' 9 S. Perciun 6.1 15 P. Popescu 6.8 11 V. Stina 6.7 ↑ 65' 23 D. Greif 7.9 2 I. Mesík 6.8 14 M. Škriniar 7.7 5 Ľ. Šatka 6.8 ↑ 82' 16 D. Hancko 8.8 22 S. Lobotka 7.2 19 T. Rigo 7.1 ↑ 67' 7 L. Sauer 7.5 ↑ 67' 6 P. Pokorný 6.8 ↑ 82' 17 L. Haraslín 8.6 20 E. Prekop 6.6 ↑ 81'

Top stats

46%Possession54%

1.15Expected goals (xG)2.14

17Total shots14

5Shots on target6

1Big chances5

8Corners3

Shots

7Shots off target3

5Blocked shots5

7Shots inside box11

10Shots outside box3

0Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed3

-1.79Goals prevented0.51

Attack

23Touches in box27

43Final third entries38

2Offsides4

9Free kicks15

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

434Passes508

377Accurate passes447

36/48 (75%)Long balls23/43 (53%)

4/17 (24%)Crosses3/11 (27%)

17Throw-ins16

Duels

40Duels60

27/68 (40%)Ground duels41/68 (60%)

7/16 (44%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)

11/20 (55%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)

11Dispossessed3

Defending

8Tackles20

75Tackles won40

11Interceptions8

14Clearances16

40Recoveries42

Discipline

15Fouls9

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

7Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Moldova 12%

20%

Slovakia 68%

1X2Slovakia to win 68% · 1.73 @ William Hill

Who winsSlovakia to win (DNB) 69% · 1.14 @ Betano

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.33 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.05 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ betfair

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.94 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 20% · 2.88 @ 1xBet

1X2Moldova to win 12% · 7.20 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

8.00

Moldova

4.72

Draw

1.38

Slovakia

Double Chanceconsensus

3.00

Moldova or Draw

1.14

Moldova or Slovakia

1.08

Draw or Slovakia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.05

Yes

1.70

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

13.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.20

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.02

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.77

Over 2.50

2.03

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.88

Over 3.50

1.39

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.81

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

5.75

Moldova

1.12

Slovakia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.24

Over 7.50

3.07

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.48

Over 8.50

2.41

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.84

Over 9.50

1.92

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.28

Over 10.50

1.53

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.90

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Slovakia to win or draw

✓

88% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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