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Roberto Mancini
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injured
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Italy
France
Italy
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
France
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
121 EUR
Away
1.89 · implied 52.9%
92.7%
+39.8 vs price
Draw
4.0 · implied 25.0%
9.2%
-15.8 vs price
Home
4.3 · implied 23.3%
0.5%
-22.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5 EUR
Over
1.74 · implied 57.5%
100.0%
+42.5 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Coaches
Roberto ManciniZinédine Zidane 
Injuries & suspensions
Italy
G. Raspadori
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-20
G. Di Lorenzo
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-16
M. Ruggeri
Hamstring Injury · back 2026-12-20
M. A. Zoma
Dislocated Shoulder · back 2026-12-20
M. Kean
Muscle Injury · back 2026-11-20
France
J. Koundé
Sprained Ankle · back 2026-11-30
M. Akliouche
Calf Injury · back 2026-11-17
M. Lacroix
Hamstring Injury · back 2027-01-10
O. Dembélé
Thigh Injury · back 2026-11-17
Recent form
ItalyWHTürkiye3-1
DAFrance1-1
WATürkiye4-1
LHBelgium0-2
WAGreece1-0
FranceWHBelgium4-1
DHItaly1-1
WABelgium1-0
WATürkiye1-0
LHEngland4-6
Where to watch
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
DAZN
TV 2 Sport XTV2 Play
ViX
ViX
DAZN ES
MTV KatsomoMTV Urheilu 1V Sport Premium
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
TV2 PlayViaplay
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
V Sport PremiumViaplay
ViX
FOX OneFox Sports 1ViX
ViX
ViX
Match facts
Stadium
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
City
Milano
Kickoff
12 Nov, 19:45 UTC
Competition
UEFA Nations League
🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 54% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff
Italy
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
France
1
G. Donnarumma
7.3
33
R. Calafiori
7.3
23
G. Mancini
7.1
95
A. Bastoni
7.0
33
M. Kayode
7.3
16
D. Frattesi
6.7
16
S. Tonali
7.1
23
N. Barella
7.1
28
N. Cambiaghi
6.8
94
F. P. Esposito
7.1
26
A. Vergara
7.0
16
M. Maignan
7.0
12
L. Digne
6.6
2
D. Upamecano
7.0
2
W. Saliba
6.9
27
M. Gusto
6.4
12
A. Rabiot
6.0
17
M. Koné
5.9
29
B. Barcola
6.9
10
R. Cherki
6.9
17
M. Olise
7.6
10
K. Mbappé
8.0
Substitutes
25GG. Vicario6.9
29GM. Carnesecchi
25GM. Pessina
42DD. Coppola7.3
42DG. Scalvini7.1
21DH. Ahanor3.4
87DD. Ghilardi
60DE. Kouadio
77MI. Doumbia7.1
4MA. Romano7.0
44MN. Fagioli6.5
21MS. Ricci6.4
8MR. Mandragora
94FS. Esposito6.7
70FD. Maldini6.6
9FG. Scamacca5.5
40FS. Inacio
Coach: Roberto Mancini
Substitutes
30GB. Samba
40GR. Risser
19DT. Hernández6.4
16DI. Konaté6.1
21DL. Hernández
14MA. Tchouaméni7.4
33MW. Zaïre-Emery6.7
91MN. Kanté
14FD. Doué7.3
14FJ. Mateta6.4
9FM. Thuram
Coach: Zinédine Zidane
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 1 bookmaker
1X2France to win 51% · 2.40 @ Bet365
Who winsFrance to win (DNB) 51% · 1.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.61 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.61 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.18 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59%
1X2Draw 25% · 2.38 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365
1X2Italy to win 24% · 4.33 @ Bet365
Odds consensusnext update 18:53 UTC
1X2consensus
3.90
Italy
3.70
Draw
1.85
France
Double Chanceconsensus
1.91
Italy or Draw
1.29
Italy or France
1.25
Draw or France
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.20
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.50
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.75
Italy
1.40
France
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
4.33
Italy
2.38
Draw
2.40
France
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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