Montenegro 2-1 Latvia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Nov 12, 2026

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UEFA Nations League ·Thu 12 Nov

Montenegro

2–1

HT 0–0

Full time

Latvia

Gradski Stadion, Podgorica · Ref: Jérôme Brisard

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Montenegro 2-1 Latvia.

90+4'

L. Vapne

Attempt saved. L. Vapne (Latvia), header. xG 0.09.

90+2'

R. Uldriķis

Substitution, Latvia: A. Aleksanjans comes on for R. Uldriķis.

90+2'

A. Maraš

Yellow card for A. Maraš (Montenegro).

90+1'

A. Maraš

Goal! Montenegro 2-1 Latvia. A. Maraš (Montenegro) scores.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

90'

R. Savaļnieks

Yellow card for R. Savaļnieks (Latvia) for foul.

88'

A. Maraš

Attempt blocked. A. Maraš (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

88'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

87'

M. Osmajić

Attempt missed. M. Osmajić (Montenegro), header. xG 0.24.

86'

A. Bulatović

Substitution, Montenegro: A. Maraš comes on for A. Bulatović.

86'

L. Vapne

Yellow card for L. Vapne (Latvia) for foul.

82'

A. Bulatović

Attempt missed. A. Bulatović (Montenegro), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

82'

M. Osmajić

Attempt missed. M. Osmajić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

82'

N. Krstović

Attempt missed. N. Krstović (Montenegro), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

82'

I. Vujačić

Attempt missed. I. Vujačić (Montenegro), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.57.

82'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

81'

R. Uldriķis

Attempt saved. R. Uldriķis (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

80'

Latvia

Offside, Latvia.

79'

M. Janković

Attempt saved. M. Janković (Montenegro), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

79'

A. Duric

Attempt saved. A. Duric (Montenegro), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.33.

78'

D. Cirkin

Yellow card for D. Cirkin (Latvia) for foul.

78'

J. Ikaunieks

Attempt missed. J. Ikaunieks (Latvia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

78'

J. Ikaunieks

Attempt missed. J. Ikaunieks (Latvia), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

77'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

76'

D. Melniks

Attempt saved. D. Melniks (Latvia), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

76'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

72'

D. Melniks

Goal! Montenegro 1-1 Latvia. D. Melniks (Latvia) scores, assisted by A. Cigaņiks.

72'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

71'

A. Černomordijs

Substitution, Latvia: V. Gutkovskis comes on for A. Černomordijs.

70'

N. Krstović

Goal! Montenegro 1-0 Latvia. N. Krstović (Montenegro) scores, assisted by M. Janković.

69'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

67'

R. Uldriķis

Attempt blocked. R. Uldriķis (Latvia), header. xG 0.05.

67'

J. Ikaunieks

Attempt blocked. J. Ikaunieks (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

67'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

65'

N. Krstović

Attempt missed. N. Krstović (Montenegro), header. xG 0.06.

65'

D. Zelenkovs

Yellow card for D. Zelenkovs (Latvia).

63'

M. Vukotić

Attempt saved. M. Vukotić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

62'

R. Jurkovskis

Substitution, Latvia: R. Savaļnieks comes on for R. Jurkovskis.

62'

E. Daskevics

Substitution, Latvia: J. Ikaunieks comes on for E. Daskevics.

60'

S. Hakšabanović

Substitution, Montenegro: D. Vuković comes on for S. Hakšabanović.

60'

V. Adžić

Substitution, Montenegro: A. Duric comes on for V. Adžić.

57'

S. Savić

Second yellow card for S. Savić (Montenegro), who is sent off.

57'

M. Janković

Yellow card for M. Janković (Montenegro) for argument.

56'

S. Hakšabanović

Attempt missed. S. Hakšabanović (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

54'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

53'

M. Vukotić

Attempt missed. M. Vukotić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

49'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

48'

V. Adžić

Attempt missed. V. Adžić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

46'

L. Vapne

Attempt missed. L. Vapne (Latvia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

O. Gašević

Substitution, Montenegro: R. Radunović comes on for O. Gašević.

46'

M. Brnović

Substitution, Montenegro: M. Vukotić comes on for M. Brnović.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Montenegro 0-0 Latvia.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

45'

E. Daskevics

Attempt blocked. E. Daskevics (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

44'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

44'

M. Osmajić

Attempt blocked. M. Osmajić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

44'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

40'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

38'

E. Daskevics

Attempt saved. E. Daskevics (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

38'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

37'

E. Daskevics

Attempt missed. E. Daskevics (Latvia), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

36'

S. Savić

Yellow card for S. Savić (Montenegro) for foul.

34'

Latvia

Corner, Latvia.

34'

D. Zelenkovs

Attempt missed. D. Zelenkovs (Latvia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

33'

R. Uldriķis

Attempt missed. R. Uldriķis (Latvia), header. xG 0.19.

29'

Latvia

Offside, Latvia.

20'

N. Krstović

Yellow card for N. Krstović (Montenegro) for argument.

16'

R. Uldriķis

Attempt missed. R. Uldriķis (Latvia), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

13'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

11'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

11'

V. Adžić

Attempt saved. V. Adžić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

S. Savić

Attempt missed. S. Savić (Montenegro), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

V. Adžić

Attempt missed. V. Adžić (Montenegro), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

S. Hakšabanović

Yellow card for S. Hakšabanović (Montenegro) for foul.

M. Brnović

Attempt saved. M. Brnović (Montenegro), header. xG 0.36.

V. Adžić

Attempt missed. V. Adžić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

N. Krstović

Attempt missed. N. Krstović (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

Kick-off: Montenegro vs Latvia.

Where the money is

1346450 EUR matched · captured 2 days, 22 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 786745 EUR · live

Home 1.03 · implied 97.1%

68.3%

-28.8 vs price

Draw 34.0 · implied 2.9%

24.4%

+21.4 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

8.2%

+8.1 vs price

Half time 262 EUR

Away 12.5 · implied 8.0%

64.1%

+56.1 vs price

Home 1.76 · implied 56.8%

31.2%

-25.6 vs price

Draw 2.8 · implied 35.7%

4.7%

-31.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 130681 EUR · live

Under 1.21 · implied 82.6%

74.7%

-8.0 vs price

Over 5.7 · implied 17.5%

25.3%

+7.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 54 EUR

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

93.2%

+80.0 vs price

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

13.0%

-74.7 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

6' S. Hakšabanović · Foul

20' N. Krstović · Argument

36' S. Savić · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 M. Vukotić ◂ M. Brnović

46' 🔁 R. Radunović ◂ O. Gašević

57' M. Janković · Argument

57' S. Savić · Argument

60' 🔁 A. Duric ◂ V. Adžić

60' 🔁 D. Vuković ◂ S. Hakšabanović

62' 🔁 J. Ikaunieks ◂ E. Daskevics

62' 🔁 R. Savaļnieks ◂ R. Jurkovskis

65' D. Zelenkovs

70' ⚽ N. Krstović · assist M. Janković1–0

71' 🔁 V. Gutkovskis ◂ A. Černomordijs

72' ⚽ D. Melniks · assist A. Cigaņiks1–1

78' D. Cirkin · Foul

86' L. Vapne · Foul

86' 🔁 A. Maraš ◂ A. Bulatović

Full-time · 2–1

90' R. Savaļnieks · Foul

90'⁺¹ ⚽ A. Maraš2–1

90'⁺² 🔁 A. Aleksanjans ◂ R. Uldriķis

90'⁺² A. Maraš

Coaches

Mirko Vučinić

Paolo Nicolato

Recent form

Montenegro

DHArmenia0-0

WALatvia2-1

WAArmenia3-2

WHCyprus2-1

DASlovakia2-2

Latvia

LACyprus1-2

LHMontenegro1-2

DHCyprus0-0

LAArmenia0-2

WHGibraltar1-0

About this match

**Montenegro's basically running the table here** — three wins in their last five, and Latvia has been a mess lately. This should be straightforward. 🇲🇪

Montenegro are unbeaten with wins and draws stacking up, while Latvia just got walloped 2-1 at home by these exact opponents and have dropped three of their last five. The hosts have all the momentum.

Key storylines:

- **N. Krstović and M. Osmajić** up front have been firing for Montenegro; expect them to punish a shaky Latvia backline
- **Latvia's leaky defence** is giving up goals consistently and has zero wins vs Montenegro across five head-to-heads
- **M. Janković controlling the midfield** could be the difference if Montenegro want to control possession

Expected lineups:

- **Montenegro**: B. Popović, O. Gašević, S. Savić, I. Vujačić, M. Roganović, V. Adžić, M. Janković, N. Krstović, M. Osmajić
- **Latvia**: R. Matrevics, A. Černomordijs, D. Melniks, D. Balodis, A. Cigaņiks, R. Jurkovskis, E. Daskevics, V. Gutkovskis

Prediction:

**Montenegro 2–0 Latvia**

Home side edges this comfortably; Latvia just don't have the form or firepower to trouble a rested, confident Montenegro. 🎯

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport GOtv Football

Match facts

Stadium

Gradski Stadion

City

Podgorica

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

4.27 yellows/match · 56 matches

Kickoff

12 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Top stats

50%Possession50%

3.29Expected goals (xG)1.34

21Total shots15

7Shots on target5

4Big chances2

11Corners6

Shots

12Shots off target7

2Blocked shots3

15Shots inside box12

6Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed2

-0.65Goals prevented0.75

Attack

31Touches in box25

54Final third entries34

0Offsides3

11Free kicks9

2Fouled in final third0

Passing

384Passes384

319Accurate passes317

25/55 (45%)Long balls17/36 (47%)

13/35 (37%)Crosses12/26 (46%)

17Throw-ins17

Duels

52Duels48

29/55 (53%)Ground duels26/55 (47%)

13/26 (50%)Aerial duels13/26 (50%)

8/13 (62%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)

7Dispossessed3

Defending

11Tackles12

45Tackles won67

7Interceptions8

15Clearances23

47Recoveries49

Discipline

9Fouls11

6Yellow cards4

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves5

1Big saves1

14Goal kicks14

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Montenegro 73%

18%

Latvia 9%

1X2Montenegro to win 73% · 1.62 @ William Hill

Who winsMontenegro to win (DNB) 73% · 1.09 @ Novibet

BTTSBTTS: No 59% · 1.19 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.50 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.41 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.42 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 18% · 3.04 @ 1xBet

1X2Latvia to win 9% · 8.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.30

Montenegro

5.25

Draw

10.00

Latvia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.05

Montenegro or Draw

1.14

Montenegro or Latvia

3.50

Draw or Latvia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.30

Yes

1.55

Home Win to Nilconsensus

1.91

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

17.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

11.80

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.24

Over 1.50

3.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.79

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.36

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.08

Montenegro

7.50

Latvia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.31

Over 7.50

2.90

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.60

Over 8.50

2.20

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.00

Over 9.50

1.75

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.45

Over 10.50

1.42

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.10

Over 11.50

1.23

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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