Moldova 2-1 Kazakhstan: Stats, xG & Lineups – Nov 13, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Moldova 2-1 Kazakhstan.

90+4'

G. Kenzhebek

Attempt missed. G. Kenzhebek (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

90+4'

M. Samorodov

Yellow card for M. Samorodov (Kazakhstan) for argument.

90+4'

M. Samorodov

Second yellow card for M. Samorodov (Kazakhstan), who is sent off.

90+4'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

90+3'

P. Popescu

Yellow card for P. Popescu (Moldova) for foul.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

88'

A. Abiken

Attempt missed. A. Abiken (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

83'

V. Baboglo

Substitution, Moldova: M. Ștefan comes on for V. Baboglo.

81'

A. Zhaksylykov

Attempt saved. A. Zhaksylykov (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot. xG 0.25.

78'

D. Karaman

Substitution, Kazakhstan: A. Abiken comes on for D. Karaman.

78'

I. Chesnokov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: A. Zhaksylykov comes on for I. Chesnokov.

77'

P. Popescu

Goal! Moldova 2-1 Kazakhstan. P. Popescu (Moldova) scores, assisted by N. Moțpan.

75'

G. Kenzhebek

Attempt saved. G. Kenzhebek (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

73'

I. Iovu

Yellow card for I. Iovu (Moldova) for foul.

72'

Kazakhstan

Offside, Kazakhstan.

69'

R. Orazov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: I. Kuat comes on for R. Orazov.

69'

Z. Amir

Substitution, Kazakhstan: G. Kenzhebek comes on for Z. Amir.

66'

S. Perciun

Attempt saved. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

66'

V. Rață

Substitution, Moldova: V. Bogaciuc comes on for V. Rață.

65'

I. Revenco

Substitution, Moldova: D. Forov comes on for I. Revenco.

63'

P. Popescu

Attempt saved. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

62'

D. Karaman

Attempt saved. D. Karaman (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

58'

V. Fratea

Substitution, Moldova: N. Moțpan comes on for V. Fratea.

58'

N. Cleșcenco

Substitution, Moldova: A. Betivu comes on for N. Cleșcenco.

57'

Z. Amir

Attempt blocked. Z. Amir (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

57'

I. Chesnokov

Attempt saved. I. Chesnokov (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

54'

P. Popescu

Attempt missed. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

51'

I. Chesnokov

Goal! Moldova 1-1 Kazakhstan. I. Chesnokov (Kazakhstan) scores, assisted by R. Orazov.

50'

N. Cleșcenco

Attempt missed. N. Cleșcenco (Moldova), header. xG 0.06.

46'

N. Zhagorov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: Y. Vorogovskiy comes on for N. Zhagorov.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Moldova 1-0 Kazakhstan.

45'

S. Perciun

Attempt missed. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

39'

P. Popescu

Goal! Moldova 1-0 Kazakhstan. P. Popescu (Moldova) scores.

39'

I. Iovu

Attempt missed. I. Iovu (Moldova), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

38'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

38'

N. Cleșcenco

Attempt saved. N. Cleșcenco (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

37'

P. Popescu

Attempt blocked. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

35'

R. Orazov

Attempt blocked. R. Orazov (Kazakhstan), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

35'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

30'

N. Cleșcenco

Attempt missed. N. Cleșcenco (Moldova), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.08.

29'

P. Popescu

Attempt missed. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

20'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

20'

M. Samorodov

Attempt blocked. M. Samorodov (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

16'

Moldova

Offside, Moldova.

14'

Kazakhstan

Offside, Kazakhstan.

11'

Moldova

Offside, Moldova.

5'

P. Popescu

Attempt blocked. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

5'

I. Chesnokov

Attempt missed. I. Chesnokov (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

4'

S. Perciun

Attempt missed. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

4'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

1'

Kick-off: Moldova vs Kazakhstan.

Where the money is

1905415 EUR matched · captured 1 day, 20 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1093378 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

67.7%

-31.3 vs price

Draw 140.0 · implied 0.7%

17.6%

+16.8 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

15.0%

+14.9 vs price

Half time 742 EUR

Away 4.3 · implied 23.3%

55.8%

+32.6 vs price

Draw 2.12 · implied 47.2%

43.5%

-3.6 vs price

Home 3.25 · implied 30.8%

0.7%

-30.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 362702 EUR · live

Under 1.81 · implied 55.2%

77.2%

+22.0 vs price

Over 2.22 · implied 45.0%

22.8%

-22.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 54 EUR

Over 12.0 · implied 8.3%

55.3%

+46.9 vs price

Under 1.1 · implied 90.9%

44.7%

-46.2 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

39' ⚽ P. Popescu1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 Y. Vorogovskiy ◂ N. Zhagorov

51' ⚽ I. Chesnokov · assist R. Orazov1–1

58' 🔁 A. Betivu ◂ N. Cleșcenco

58' 🔁 N. Moțpan ◂ V. Fratea

65' 🔁 D. Forov ◂ I. Revenco

66' 🔁 V. Bogaciuc ◂ V. Rață

69' 🔁 G. Kenzhebek ◂ Z. Amir

69' 🔁 I. Kuat ◂ R. Orazov

73' I. Iovu · Foul

77' ⚽ P. Popescu · assist N. Moțpan2–1

78' 🔁 A. Zhaksylykov ◂ I. Chesnokov

78' 🔁 A. Abiken ◂ D. Karaman

83' 🔁 M. Ștefan ◂ V. Baboglo

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺³ P. Popescu · Foul

90'⁺⁴ M. Samorodov · Argument

Coaches

Lilian Popescu

John van 't Schip

Recent form

Moldova

LHSlovakia0-4

WAKazakhstan2-1

DHFaroe Islands1-1

LASlovakia0-2

DAArmenia1-1

Kazakhstan

DHFaroe Islands2-2

LHMoldova1-2

LASlovakia1-2

DAFaroe Islands1-1

LAHungary1-3

About this match

**Moldova host Kazakhstan in a Nations League clash where the hosts have the recent edge — and frankly, the momentum.** 🔥 The Moldovans just hammered Kazakhstan 2-1 away last time out, so playing at home in Chisinau feels like a genuine advantage.

Moldova are 1W-2D-2L in their last five, which is scrappy but functional. Kazakhstan have looked rough — 0W-2D-3L in the same stretch, including losses to both Moldova and Slovakia. The H2H is dead even over seven games (3-3), but form says Moldova lean this one.

Key storylines:

- **Moldova's home fortress** against a struggling **Kazakhstan** outfit that's winless in five
- **N. Cleșcenco** and **P. Popescu** leading the attack for the hosts, looking to build on that away win
- **Kazakhstan missing S. Maliy** to suspension — another blow to an already thin squad

Expected lineups:

- **Moldova**: D. Celeadnic, O. Reabciuk, I. Iovu, V. Baboglo, V. Rață, S. Perciun, N. Cleșcenco
- **Kazakhstan**: T. Anarbekov, Y. Vorogovskiy, N. Alip, A. Kasym, D. Karaman, G. Kenzhebek, M. Samorodov

Prediction:

**Moldova 2-0 Kazakhstan** — the hosts have the form, the setup, and the recent win. Kazakhstan look like they're sleepwalking through this tournament.

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 6

Match facts

Stadium

Stadionul Zimbru

City

Chisinau

Referee

Andrea Colombo

4.03 yellows/match · 60 matches

Kickoff

13 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Moldova 5-3-2 · 5-3-2 Kazakhstan

12 D. Celeadnic 5.7 16 D. Forov 7.0 ↑ 65' 3 M. Ștefan 6.7 ↑ 83' 18 I. Iovu 7.0 6 M. Gherasimencov 7.3 2 O. Reabciuk 6.2 7 N. Moțpan 7.1 ↑ 58' 8 V. Bogaciuc 6.7 ↑ 66' 9 S. Perciun 7.4 15 P. Popescu 9.5 13 A. Betivu 6.3 ↑ 58' 1 S. Pokatilov 5.8 13 A. Mrynskiy 6.8 6 A. Kasym 6.3 23 T. Yerlanov 7.0 3 N. Alip 6.9 11 Y. Vorogovskiy 6.5 ↑ 46' 5 I. Kuat 6.5 ↑ 69' 8 A. Abiken 6.8 ↑ 78' 7 G. Kenzhebek 6.4 ↑ 69' 10 M. Samorodov 6.1 19 A. Zhaksylykov 6.2 ↑ 78'

Top stats

56%Possession44%

0.75Expected goals (xG)0.49

14Total shots11

5Shots on target5

1Big chances1

2Corners3

Shots

7Shots off target3

2Blocked shots3

9Shots inside box5

5Shots outside box6

1Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed1

-0.39Goals prevented-1.21

Attack

18Touches in box20

54Final third entries56

2Offsides2

19Free kicks8

1Fouled in final third0

Passing

489Passes390

404Accurate passes299

18/52 (35%)Long balls23/60 (38%)

3/14 (21%)Crosses3/12 (25%)

25Throw-ins17

Duels

58Duels42

45/74 (61%)Ground duels29/74 (39%)

7/16 (44%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)

7/15 (47%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)

8Dispossessed10

Defending

19Tackles16

58Tackles won50

10Interceptions6

21Clearances15

57Recoveries59

Discipline

8Fouls19

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

0Big saves1

6Goal kicks11

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Moldova 38%

31%

Kazakhstan 31%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.11 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 2.05 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.63 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.20 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 31% · 2.23 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

1X2Kazakhstan to win 31% · 3.50 @ 1xBet

Who winsMoldova to win (DNB) 56% · 1.75 @ Betway

1X2Moldova to win 38% · 3.00 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.38 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 2.59 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.44

Moldova

3.04

Draw

3.10

Kazakhstan

Double Chanceconsensus

1.34

Moldova or Draw

1.35

Moldova or Kazakhstan

1.52

Draw or Kazakhstan

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.96

Yes

1.75

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.75

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.07

Over 0.50

7.18

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.44

Over 1.50

2.63

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.40

Over 2.50

1.55

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.62

Over 3.50

1.17

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.55

Over 4.50

1.03

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.70

Moldova

2.05

Kazakhstan

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.34

Over 7.50

2.73

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.62

Over 8.50

2.17

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.04

Over 9.50

1.70

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.58

Over 10.50

1.38

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.27

Over 11.50

1.20

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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