Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Slovakia hosts the Faroe Islands in a dead-rubber Nations League clash** — but don't sleep on this one, because a draw last time out means there's unfinished business between these two. 🇸🇰
Slovakia are on a proper run: **3 wins and 2 draws** in their last five, while the Faroes have leaned heavy on the stalemate, drawing 4 of their last 5. The visitors won't roll over, but playing away in Košice is a different beast.
Key storylines:
- **Slovakia's midfield control**: With S. Lobotka sidelined by injury, O. Duda and M. Bero will need to dictate tempo against a stubborn Faroese block
- **Faroe Islands missing teeth**: M. Agnarsson's red-card suspension weakens their already lean attack; **Á. Frederiksberg and J. Bjartalíð** carry more burden
- **Home dominance**: Slovakia's 4-0 demolition of Moldova (A) shows they're sharp; expect them to press early
Expected lineups:
- **Slovakia**: D. Greif, I. Mesík, M. Škriniar, D. Hancko, M. Valjent, P. Pokorný, O. Duda, M. Bero, L. Haraslín, D. Strelec, I. Schranz
- **Faroe Islands**: M. Lamhauge, G. Vatnhamar, A. Edmundsson, O. Færø, H. Sørensen, J. Danielsen, J. Andreasen, M. Hellisdal, Á. Samuelsen, J. Bjartalíð, Á. Frederiksberg
Prediction:
**Slovakia 2–0 Faroe Islands**
Home edge and firepower should see this one through — Faroes' draw curse meets a side itching to finish strong.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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