Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Hungary's looking sharp, and Georgia needs a result after that home loss** 🔥 The visitors just beat Ukraine and have been the form side, while the hosts are hunting revenge after going down 1-0 in Budapest last month.
Georgia's frustration is real — they've drawn twice but lost twice in five, and losing **K. Kvaratskhelia** to injury is a massive blow. Hungary meanwhile has won three of their last five, with **D. Szoboszlai** orchestrating from midfield and the defense tightening up nicely.
Key storylines:
- **Georgia's missing firepower** without Kvaratskhelia; they'll lean on **B. Zivzivadze** and **G. Mamageishvili** to find the net
- **Hungary's midfield dominance** with Szoboszlai and **A. Schäfer** controlling tempo — Georgia's **O. Kiteishvili** has to match their energy
- **Home advantage** could swing Tbilisi, but Hungary's recent run says don't sleep on their away form
Expected lineups:
- **Georgia**: G. Mamardashvili, S. Kharebashvili, L. Lochoshvili, L. Dvali, Kakabadze, O. Kiteishvili, A. Mekvabishvili, N. Lominadze, G. Tsitaishvili, B. Zivzivadze, G. Mamageishvili
- **Hungary**: B. Tóth, M. Kerkez, W. Orbán, M. Csinger, A. Osváth, D. Szoboszlai, A. Schäfer, Z. Nagy, M. Vitális, D. Redzic, D. Lukács
Prediction:
**Georgia 1–1 Hungary**. Home pressure might earn the hosts a draw, but Hungary's form gives them an edge defensively.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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