Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Ivan Jovanović
Greece
Serbia**Greece hosts a Serbia side in complete freefall** — the visitors haven't won in five, while the Greeks have at least steadied the ship with 2W 2D at home. This is a mismatch waiting to happen. ⚽
Greece's form is mixed (got absolutely hammered 0-7 away to Netherlands, but bounced back with a draw against Germany), while Serbia has crumbled spectacularly — five straight losses and missing key defensive players. The H2H also favors Greece, who've won 2 of their last 3 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Serbia's injury crisis** deepens with Stanković, Terzić, and Pavlović all out; that's a massive blow to their defensive spine
- **Greece's home advantage** at Panthessaliko should count for plenty against a side with zero wins in five
- **Tsimikas and Retsos** need to handle the pressure from Tadić and Jović, but Serbia's attack has looked blunt all tournament
Expected lineups:
- **Greece**: K. Tzolakis, K. Tsimikas, P. Retsos, K. Mavropanos, G. Vagiannidis, C. Tzolis, D. Kourbelis, C. Zafeiris, M. Saliakas, V. Pavlidis, A. Tetteh
- **Serbia**: V. Milinković-Savić, F. Kostić, N. Milenković, S. Eraković, K. Nedeljković, N. Gudelj, V. Dragojevic, V. Lučić, D. Tadić, A. Živković, L. Jović
Prediction:
**Greece 2–0 Serbia**. The hosts should have a field day against a shattered Serbian lineup. 🔵
Greece
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Serbia
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.3% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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