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Nicky Hayen
Burnley
Notts County
Burnley
3-4-2-1 · 5-3-2
Notts County
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
99935 EUR · live
Home
55.0 · implied 1.8%
69.0%
+67.2 vs price
Away
75.0 · implied 1.3%
17.6%
+16.2 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
13.4%
-83.7 vs price
Half time
655 EUR · live
Home
2.62 · implied 38.2%
75.1%
+36.9 vs price
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
12.8%
-32.2 vs price
Away
10.5 · implied 9.5%
12.1%
+2.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
30100 EUR · live
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
52.1%
+48.2 vs price
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
47.9%
-48.2 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
24'
J. Gibbons · Foul
42'
⚽
C. Roberts · assist N. Tsaroulla0–1
Half-time · 0–1
47'
⚽
Z. Flemming · assist M. Edwards1–1
66'
🔁
E. Acquah ◂ L. Ndlovu
66'
🔁
C. Grant ◂ O. Cooper
67'
🔁
C. Roberts ◂ O. Sonne
67'
🔁
Z. Amdouni ◂ A. Ramsey
67'
🔁
J. Laurent ◂ U. Raghouber
73'
D. Lipsiuc · Foul
80'
🔁
L. Browne ◂ N. Tsaroulla
80'
🔁
Q. Kouhyar ◂ C. Roberts
81'
🔁
M. Trésor ◂ M. Edwards
Full-time · 1–1
90'
🔁
L. Castell ◂ J. Bruun Larsen
90'+2
J. Evans · Foul
93'
J. Belshaw · Argument
93'
Z. Flemming · Argument
PEN · 4–3
Coaches
Nicky HayenMartin Paterson 
Recent form
BurnleyLHTorino0-1
DHEspanyol2-2
LAAFC Ajax1-2
LAReal Salt Lake1-4
DAColumbus Crew1-1
Notts CountyDAWalsall0-0
LHNottingham Forest0-2
LARanders FC1-3
LAViborg FF0-2
WAAlfreton Town FC5-0
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 7
Viaplay
beIN Sports MAX 7
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay Netherlands
V Sport 1Viaplay
V Sport 1Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Turf Moor
City
Burnley
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Burnley
3-4-2-1 · 5-3-2
Notts County
1
M. Weiss
7.8
4
J. Worrall
7.0
2
K. Walker
6.8
6
B. Humphreys
7.3
14
C. Roberts
6.8
↑ 67'
28
H. Mejbri
6.9
29
J. Laurent
6.3
↑ 67'
30
L. Castell
↑ 90'
31
M. Trésor
7.0
↑ 81'
11
Z. Amdouni
6.9
↑ 67'
19
Z. Flemming
8.2
1
J. Belshaw
7.8
23
L. Browne
6.8
↑ 80'
2
J. Gibbons
6.2
12
L. Ness
6.6
4
J. Bedeau
6.1
14
D. Lipsiuc
5.9
11
C. Grant
7.0
↑ 66'
16
D. Campbell
7.1
15
J. Evans
6.9
33
E. Acquah
6.1
↑ 66'
17
Q. Kouhyar
6.6
↑ 80'
Substitutes
13GB. Amos
22DO. Sonne↓ 67'6.8
23DL. Pires
18DH. Ekdal
21MA. Ramsey↓ 67'6.9
8MU. Raghouber↓ 67'6.8
10FM. Edwards↓ 81'7.2
7FJ. Bruun Larsen↓ 90'6.8
17FA. Hountondji
Coach: Nicky Hayen
Substitutes
21GH. Griffiths
7DC. Roberts↓ 80'6.8
44DM. Baker
25MN. Tsaroulla↓ 80'6.6
8MO. Cooper↓ 66'6.1
49MK. Muir
30MR. Reynolds
39FL. Ndlovu↓ 66'6.3
19FL. Smyth
Coach: Martin Paterson
Top stats
74%Possession26%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
12Total shots6
4Shots on target2
1Big chances0
4Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
2Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box2
5Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
Attack
18Touches in box12
69Final third entries49
0Offsides2
15Free kicks9
6Fouled in final third1
Passing
654Passes231
585Accurate passes169
27/49 (55%)Long balls21/49 (43%)
4/21 (19%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
19Throw-ins11
Duels
58Duels42
36/63 (57%)Ground duels27/63 (43%)
12/20 (60%)Aerial duels8/20 (40%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
16Tackles15
63Tackles won47
8Interceptions13
19Clearances27
49Recoveries40
Discipline
9Fouls15
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
0Big saves2
6Goal kicks11
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 35 bookmakers
Who winsBurnley to win (DNB) 82% · 1.17 @ Betano
1X2Burnley to win 64% · 1.44 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.61 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.23 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.94 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 21% · 4.72 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Notts County to win 14% · 8.00 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.41
Burnley ▼
4.45
Draw ▲
6.82
Notts County ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.08
Burnley or Draw ▼
1.18
Burnley or Notts County ▼
2.75
Draw or Notts County ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes ▲
1.87
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.32
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.15
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.69
Over 3.50
1.45
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.14
Burnley
5.06
Notts County
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
7.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.16
Over 6.50 ▲
4.75
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
3.12
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.77
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.49
Over 10.50 ▼
1.46
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.36
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Burnley to win or draw
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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