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Vitor Matos
Swansea City
Birmingham City
Swansea City
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Birmingham City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
21'
M. Widell · Foul
44'
⚽
A. Priske · assist C. Vicente0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
L. Buchanan ◂ A. Cochrane
62'
C. Burgess · Foul
63'
🔁
J. Fulton ◂ M. Widell
63'
🔁
Ž. Vipotnik ◂ A. Idah
63'
🔁
L. Walta ◂ M. K. Yeo
65'
🔁
J. Key ◂ F. Lissah
65'
🔁
D. Gray ◂ S. Paik
72'
🔁
L. Vázquez ◂ A. Priske
72'
🔁
E. Laird ◂ J. Stansfield
82'
🔁
J. Eom ◂ M. Stamenić
88'
🔁
◂ C. Burgess
Full-time · 0–1
90'+5
🔁
S. Wright ◂ C. Vicente
Coaches
Vitor MatosChris Davies 
Recent form
Swansea CityWHLeganés1-0
LAMerthyr Town0-3
WHUdinese2-0
LAVfL Bochum 18480-2
DHHolstein Kiel2-2
Birmingham CityDHFC Barcelona2-2
WACrewe Alexandra2-1
WANorthampton Town2-0
WABurton Albion1-0
WASolihull Moors3-0
Where to watch
Nova Sport
Nova Sport 3
Sky Sports+
Arena Sport 4 HR
Sky Sports+
Sport TV3
Digi Sport 3
Nova Sport 3
Match facts
Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium
City
Swansea
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Swansea City
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Birmingham City
22
L. Vigouroux
6.8
2
J. Key
6.9
↑ 65'
5
B. Cabango
6.9
15
C. Burgess
7.2
14
J. Tymon
7.1
21
L. Walta
7.0
↑ 63'
10
J. Eom
6.9
↑ 82'
8
E. Just
7.0
4
J. Fulton
6.9
↑ 63'
9
Ž. Vipotnik
6.4
↑ 63'
30
J. Opoku
6.7
1
J. Beadle
7.2
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
7.4
5
P. Neumann
7.1
4
C. Klarer
7.2
3
L. Buchanan
7.0
↑ 46'
11
S. Wright
↑ 90'
24
T. Iwata
6.5
14
J. Solís
6.4
2
E. Laird
6.2
↑ 72'
10
D. Gray
6.5
↑ 65'
32
L. Vázquez
6.3
↑ 72'
Substitutes
1GA. Fisher
26DF. Lissah↓ 65'6.7
23DS. Welsh
20DT. Parente
49MM. K. Yeo↓ 63'7.1
6MM. Stamenić↓ 82'6.9
7MM. Widell↓ 63'6.8
35MRonald
33FA. Idah↓ 63'6.8
Coach: Vitor Matos
Substitutes
21GR. Allsop
20DA. Cochrane↓ 46'7.1
23DD. Fry
25DK. Lund
7MC. Vicente↓ 90'7.0
8MS. Paik↓ 65'6.5
28MJ. Stansfield↓ 72'6.4
16MP. Roberts
9FA. Priske↓ 72'6.7
Coach: Chris Davies
Top stats
62%Possession38%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
14Total shots6
2Shots on target1
2Big chances1
6Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box3
4Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
Attack
24Touches in box17
59Final third entries66
1Offsides2
19Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
487Passes299
362Accurate passes191
21/66 (32%)Long balls22/72 (31%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses0/16 (0%)
26Throw-ins25
Duels
62Duels38
47/77 (61%)Ground duels30/77 (39%)
30/48 (63%)Aerial duels18/48 (38%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles5/16 (31%)
5Dispossessed10
Defending
21Tackles14
62Tackles won86
13Interceptions20
31Clearances29
55Recoveries59
Discipline
12Fouls19
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks14
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 28 bookmakers
Who winsBirmingham to win (DNB) 55% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
1X2Birmingham to win 39% · 2.44 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.52 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.71 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 3.60 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.97 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.38 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
1X2Swansea to win 34% · 2.95 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.85
Swansea City ▼
3.39
Draw ▲
2.25
Birmingham City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.57
Swansea City or Draw
1.29
Swansea City or Birmingham City ▲
1.37
Draw or Birmingham City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.13
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.44
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.70
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.82
Over 2.50
1.94
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50
1.37
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50 ▲
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.08
Swansea City ▼
1.69
Birmingham City
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.90
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50
5.15
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50 ▼
3.47
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50 ▲
2.45
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50 ▲
1.89
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.29
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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