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Julien Stéphan
Queens Park Rangers
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Millwall
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
356751 EUR · live
Away
29.0 · implied 3.4%
56.1%
+52.6 vs price
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
24.2%
+19.2 vs price
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
19.7%
-73.7 vs price
Half time
830 EUR · live
Draw
1.71 · implied 58.5%
52.3%
-6.2 vs price
Away
6.4 · implied 15.6%
33.0%
+17.4 vs price
Home
3.55 · implied 28.2%
14.5%
-13.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
154249 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
89.3%
-6.0 vs price
Over
17.5 · implied 5.7%
10.7%
+5.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9010 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
93.0%
-5.0 vs price
Over
48.0 · implied 2.1%
7.0%
+4.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
53'
⚽
L. Cundle0–1
62'
🔁
J. Varane ◂ N. Madsen
62'
🔁
K. Poku ◂ R. Burrell
70'
🔁
A. Lloyd ◂ R. Kone
76'
🔁
T. Arconte ◂ J. Coburn
76'
🔁
K. Lisbie ◂ L. Cundle
77'
🔁
M. Sykes ◂ R. Leonard
79'
🔁
K. Adamson ◂ A. S. Mbengue
80'
🔁
K. Saito ◂ P. Smyth
84'
🔁
D. Kelly ◂ J. Metcalfe
84'
🔁
R. Bangura-Williams ◂ F. Azeez
86'
⚽
M. Sykes1–1
Full-time · 1–1
PEN · 0–2
Coaches
Julien StéphanAlex Neil 
Recent form
Queens Park RangersWAAFC Wimbledon3-2
WABromley7-0
WHFiorentina3-2
WHWycombe Wanderers1-0
WAWiener Neustädter SC3-1
MillwallWHRoyal Antwerp FC1-0
DABromley1-1
LAStevenage0-1
LAGillingham0-1
WACD Eldense2-1
Where to watch
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Startimes Sports Arena
StarTimes App
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes App
Nova Sport 1
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
Viaplay
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
Arena Sport 2 HR
Sky Sports+
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes App
StarTimes App
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
Viaplay Netherlands
Viaplay
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
V Sport ExtraViaplay
Nova Sport 1
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes App
Match facts
Stadium
Loftus Road Stadium
City
London
Kickoff
08 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Queens Park Rangers
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Millwall
1
P. Charles
7.7
2
K. Adamson
6.8
↑ 79'
3
J. Dunne
6.8
5
R. Edwards
7.0
12
B. Kemper
6.8
20
H. Vale
6.8
17
K. Poku
6.2
↑ 62'
40
J. Varane
6.8
↑ 62'
10
I. Chair
6.2
14
K. Saito
5.8
↑ 80'
15
A. Lloyd
6.2
↑ 70'
1
L. Jensen
10.0
17
M. Sykes
7.1
↑ 77'
6
C. Taylor
7.4
5
J. Cooper
7.8
3
Z. Sturge
6.3
24
C. De Norre
7.3
31
R. Bangura-Williams
6.3
↑ 84'
16
D. Kelly
6.5
↑ 84'
22
K. Lisbie
6.6
↑ 76'
10
C. Neghli
5.6
7
T. Arconte
6.2
↑ 76'
Substitutes
13GC. Ward
27DA. S. Mbengue↓ 79'7.0
6DJ. Clarke-Salter
24MN. Madsen↓ 62'7.1
11MP. Smyth↓ 80'6.3
21MK. Morgan
16FR. Burrell↓ 62'6.1
22FR. Kone↓ 70'6.1
35FP. Sanyaolu
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Top stats
56%Possession44%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
12Total shots6
3Shots on target3
1Big chances1
6Corners1
Shots
3Shots off target3
6Blocked shots0
8Shots inside box4
4Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
Attack
38Touches in box12
67Final third entries53
4Offsides5
11Free kicks6
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
463Passes363
377Accurate passes281
24/57 (42%)Long balls28/69 (41%)
5/19 (26%)Crosses4/12 (33%)
30Throw-ins17
Duels
50Duels50
37/70 (53%)Ground duels33/70 (47%)
19/42 (45%)Aerial duels23/42 (55%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
19Dispossessed12
Defending
19Tackles25
68Tackles won68
6Interceptions8
12Clearances39
39Recoveries47
Discipline
6Fouls11
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
8Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsMillwall to win (DNB) 57% · 1.72 @ merkurxtip
1X2Millwall to win 41% · 2.79 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.84 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ fanatics
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.76 @ betinasia
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.98 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ midnite
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.95 @ Interwetten
1X2QPR to win 32% · 3.41 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.95
Queens Park Rangers
3.38
Draw
2.27
Millwall
Double Chanceconsensus
1.58
Queens Park Rangers or Draw
1.29
Queens Park Rangers or Millwall
1.36
Draw or Millwall
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes
2.03
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.09
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.41
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.89
Over 2.50
1.84
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.20
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.85
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.15
Queens Park Rangers
1.64
Millwall
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.27
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.90
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.61
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
1.98
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50
1.63
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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