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Gary Bowyer
Burton Albion
Blackburn Rovers
Burton Albion
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Blackburn Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
73572 EUR · live
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
55.3%
-39.1 vs price
Home
380.0 · implied 0.3%
32.0%
+31.7 vs price
Draw
40.0 · implied 2.5%
13.1%
+10.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14961 EUR · live
Under
1.3 · implied 76.9%
57.9%
-19.0 vs price
Over
4.3 · implied 23.3%
42.1%
+18.8 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
14'
⚽
Z. Scutt1–0
28'
F. Delap · Foul
32'
T. Cantwell
Half-time · 1–0
55'
M. Dennis · Foul
62'
🔁
J. Fevrier ◂ O. Afolayan
62'
🔁
A. Guðjohnsen ◂ Y. Ohashi
62'
🔁
K. Montgomery ◂ J. Garrett
68'
🔁
J. Willow ◂ C. Tilt
74'
🔁
S. Tavares ◂ A. Forshaw
76'
🔁
M. Matthews-Lewis ◂ S. Krubally
81'
⚽
A. Guðjohnsen · assist T. Cantwell1–1
88'
⚽
J. Fevrier · assist R. Alebiousu1–2
Full-time · 1–2
90'+4
🔁
M. Henry ◂ Z. Scutt
Coaches
Gary BowyerTony Mowbray 
Recent form
Burton AlbionWHDerby County1-0
DASolihull Moors1-1
LHBirmingham City0-1
LHLeicester City0-3
DAAlfreton Town FC0-0
Blackburn RoversDAHuddersfield Town1-1
WARC Strasbourg2-0
LANottingham Forest0-3
DAAccrington Stanley0-0
LHLeicester City0-1
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Stadium
Pirelli Stadium
City
Burton upon Trent
Referee
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Burton Albion
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Blackburn Rovers
34
C. Addai
7.5
6
T. Sibbick
7.5
26
F. Delap
7.4
50
J. Willow
6.3
↑ 68'
15
K. Lofthouse
6.9
12
G. Evans
6.9
28
M. Matthews-Lewis
6.2
↑ 76'
3
J. Armer
7.0
4
K. Chauke
6.9
19
M. Dennis
7.0
52
M. Henry
↑ 90'
22
B. Tóth
6.5
2
R. Alebiousu
6.9
6
T. Atcheson
7.4
15
S. McLoughlin
7.6
3
H. Pickering
6.9
5
S. Tavares
6.7
↑ 74'
31
K. Montgomery
6.6
↑ 62'
25
R. Morishita
6.9
10
T. Cantwell
8.0
9
A. Guðjohnsen
7.0
↑ 62'
11
J. Fevrier
7.5
↑ 62'
Substitutes
27GK. Dudek
16DC. Tilt↓ 68'7.9
56DW. Earley
41MS. Krubally↓ 76'6.9
40FZ. Scutt↓ 90'7.3
53C. Gilbert
Coach: Gary Bowyer
Substitutes
1GA. Pears
4DY. Ribeiro
43DG. Pratt
17DH. Carter
28MA. Forshaw↓ 74'6.8
30MJ. Garrett↓ 62'6.0
18MA. Henriksson
21FO. Afolayan↓ 62'7.2
23FY. Ohashi↓ 62'6.2
Coach: Tony Mowbray
Top stats
36%Possession64%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
17Total shots27
7Shots on target7
4Big chances6
6Corners9
Shots
5Shots off target7
5Blocked shots13
13Shots inside box20
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed5
Attack
22Touches in box41
52Final third entries63
1Offsides2
14Free kicks12
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
283Passes494
215Accurate passes422
15/51 (29%)Long balls21/38 (55%)
3/10 (30%)Crosses6/20 (30%)
22Throw-ins14
Duels
55Duels45
38/70 (54%)Ground duels32/70 (46%)
14/25 (56%)Aerial duels11/25 (44%)
6/11 (55%)Dribbles3/13 (23%)
13Dispossessed8
Defending
18Tackles18
61Tackles won67
12Interceptions6
28Clearances22
40Recoveries59
Discipline
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
2Big saves3
10Goal kicks1
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 31 bookmakers
Who winsBlackburn to win (DNB) 58% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
1X2Blackburn to win 42% · 2.07 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.53 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 3.50 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.28 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.37 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.62 @ Novibet
1X2Burton to win 30% · 4.16 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.91
Burton Albion ▼
3.36
Draw ▼
1.92
Blackburn Rovers ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.77
Burton Albion or Draw
1.29
Burton Albion or Blackburn Rovers
1.23
Draw or Blackburn Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.89
Yes
1.83
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.40
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.06
Over 2.50
1.73
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.70
Over 3.50 ▲
1.26
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.80
Burton Albion
1.36
Blackburn Rovers ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
9.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.33
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.59
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50 ▲
2.51
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.28
Over 10.50 ▲
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.11
Over 11.50 ▲
1.32
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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