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Steve Evans
Bristol Rovers
Peterborough United
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Peterborough United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
4 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
J. Dornelly · Foul
19'
⚽
H. Leonard (pen)0–1
22'
S. Forde · Foul
29'
H. Jones · Foul
31'
H. Leonard · Time wasting
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
L. Mendonça ◂ T. O'Connor
46'
🔁
F. Cavegn ◂ J. Aitchison
55'
🔁
R. Russell-Denny ◂ C. Mola
55'
🔁
K. Gough ◂ R. Smallwood
66'
🔁
B. Woods ◂ J. Dornelly
66'
🔁
C. Conn-Clarke ◂ H. Jones
70'
🔁
B. Kamwa ◂ J. Quigley
78'
🔁
E. Weir ◂ C. Johnston
83'
🔁
M. Rijks ◂ T. Leigh
87'
🔁
D. Kamara ◂ H. Leonard
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Steve EvansLuke Williams 
Recent form
Bristol RoversDAForest Green Rovers2-2
DHPortsmouth1-1
LHLeicester City1-2
WASalisbury3-2
WAWeston Super Mare3-0
Peterborough UnitedLHWest Bromwich Albion0-2
WAYork City2-1
LABoston United0-1
WAPeterborough Sports FC1-0
WAColchester United3-2
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Stadium
Memorial Stadium
City
Bristol
Referee
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Peterborough United
1
B. Young
7.6
23
M. Southam
6.5
4
K. Balmer
8.3
26
R. Harbottle
6.7
14
B. Purrington
6.9
22
K. Gough
6.9
↑ 55'
8
R. Russell-Denny
6.8
↑ 55'
18
M. Rijks
6.5
↑ 83'
7
S. Forde
6.3
29
F. Cavegn
6.4
↑ 46'
10
B. Kamwa
6.6
↑ 70'
1
A. Bass
7.5
16
B. Woods
6.6
↑ 66'
26
D. Okagbue
7.5
18
L. Mendonça
6.6
↑ 46'
14
H. Mills
7.6
3
E. Weir
6.9
↑ 78'
11
O. Edwards
6.7
8
B. Khela
5.8
20
C. Conn-Clarke
6.2
↑ 66'
19
B. Shofowoke
6.2
29
D. Kamara
6.4
↑ 87'
Substitutes
31GL. Southwood
6DC. Mola↓ 55'6.6
17DC. Kelly
2DT. James
3DJ. Sparkes
21MR. Smallwood↓ 55'7.2
24MT. Leigh↓ 83'7.2
11FJ. Aitchison↓ 46'6.8
9FJ. Quigley↓ 70'6.8
Coach: Steve Evans
Substitutes
23GC. Andeng-Ndi
2DC. Johnston↓ 78'7.2
6DT. O'Connor↓ 46'6.9
33DJ. Dornelly↓ 66'6.8
7MH. Jones↓ 66'5.8
21MP. Sykut
35ME. Fox
9FH. Leonard↓ 87'6.1
34FE. Abbey
Coach: Luke Williams
Top stats
46%Possession54%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
20Total shots9
4Shots on target3
1Big chances4
2Corners5
Shots
10Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
17Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
Attack
30Touches in box24
82Final third entries63
4Offsides2
10Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
315Passes370
201Accurate passes259
23/70 (33%)Long balls17/71 (24%)
2/19 (11%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
24Throw-ins32
Duels
62Duels38
44/79 (56%)Ground duels35/79 (44%)
39/54 (72%)Aerial duels15/54 (28%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles6/20 (30%)
8Dispossessed15
Defending
29Tackles16
55Tackles won44
12Interceptions9
27Clearances38
58Recoveries57
Discipline
14Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 33 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.59 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 1.69 @ Novibet
1X2Peterborough Utd to win 35% · 2.98 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.23 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 3.60 @ Betway
Who winsBristol Rovers to win (DNB) 53% · 1.73 @ Unibet
1X2Bristol Rovers to win 39% · 2.41 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.65 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.52 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.33
Bristol Rovers
3.27
Draw ▲
2.83
Peterborough United ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Bristol Rovers or Draw ▲
1.28
Bristol Rovers or Peterborough United ▲
1.57
Draw or Peterborough United ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.54
Yes
2.36
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.66
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.69
Over 2.50 ▼
2.15
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.65
Over 3.50 ▼
1.45
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.80
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.64
Bristol Rovers
1.96
Peterborough United
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
9.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.13
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50 ▼
3.57
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.51
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.05
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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