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Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truidense VV
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truidense VV
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truidense VV
Frederik Vanderbiest
KV Mechelen
Sint-Truidense VV
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sint-Truidense VV
Commentary
90'
Full-time. KV Mechelen 4-3 Sint-Truidense VV.
90+2'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
86'
Off the woodwork! B. Antonio (KV Mechelen), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.
80'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
79'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
62'
Goal! KV Mechelen 4-2 Sint-Truidense VV. B. Raman (KV Mechelen) scores, assisted by K. Corbanie.
60'
Sint-Truidense VV
Offside, Sint-Truidense VV.
51'
KV Mechelen
Offside, KV Mechelen.
50'
KV Mechelen
Corner, KV Mechelen.
48'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. KV Mechelen 3-1 Sint-Truidense VV.
45+1'
KV Mechelen
Offside, KV Mechelen.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
44'
Goal! KV Mechelen 3-1 Sint-Truidense VV. S. Baždar (Sint-Truidense VV) scores, assisted by R. Merlen.
37'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
31'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
28'
KV Mechelen
Offside, KV Mechelen.
19'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
14'
KV Mechelen
Corner, KV Mechelen.
11'
Attempt missed. R. Araki (Sint-Truidense VV), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
7'
Sint-Truidense VV
Corner, Sint-Truidense VV.
1'
Kick-off: KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense VV.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
135716 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
72.0%
-27.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
20.0%
+19.9 vs price
Draw
130.0 · implied 0.8%
8.1%
+7.3 vs price
Half time
523 EUR · live
Draw
2.48 · implied 40.3%
53.6%
+13.2 vs price
Away
3.2 · implied 31.2%
29.1%
-2.2 vs price
Home
3.95 · implied 25.3%
17.0%
-8.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11168 EUR · live
Over
1.12 · implied 89.3%
83.5%
-5.8 vs price
Under
9.0 · implied 11.1%
16.5%
+5.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
407 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
83.6%
-7.3 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
16.2%
+6.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
K. Takai · Foul
24'
⚽
K. Takai1–0
34'
⚽
S. Michez2–0
39'
⚽
S. Taniguchi3–0
42'
K. Matsuzawa · Foul
44'
⚽
S. Baždar · assist R. Merlen3–1
Half-time · 3–1
46'
🔁
N. Mbuku ◂ R. Araki
46'
🔁
N. Ishiwatari ◂ K. Matsuzawa
49'
⚽
I. Sebaoui3–2
53'
M. Decherf · Foul
62'
⚽
B. Raman · assist K. Corbanie4–2
63'
🔁
C. J. V. Meirvenne ◂ B. Raman
67'
🔁
S. Shinkawa ◂ R. Merlen
67'
🔁
F. S. Soelle ◂ S. Baždar
71'
⚽
F. S. Soelle4–3
81'
🔁
D. Praet ◂ M. Decherf
81'
🔁
L. Marijnissen ◂ M. Eerdhuijzen
81'
🔁
B. Antonio ◂ T. Koudou
81'
🔁
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi ◂ B. Boersma
84'
N. Ishiwatari · Foul
88'
S. Taniguchi · Foul
Full-time · 4–3
90'+5
F. Hammar · Foul
Coaches
Frederik VanderbiestFrédéric De Meyer 
Recent form
KV MechelenLHKarpaty Lviv2-3
DALommel SK0-0
LHRSC Anderlecht0-1
LHKVC Westerlo0-4
DARAAL La Louvière2-2
Sint-Truidense VVLHKVC Westerlo0-2
LASK Beveren0-2
WHRAAL La Louvière4-0
LHRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise0-3
WARoyal Antwerp FC4-1
About this match
**Sint-Truidense's on a wild ride** — one match they're hammering teams 4-0, the next they're getting blanked. **KV Mechelen are proper struggling though**, winless in five with defensive chaos. 🎯
Mechelen are shipping goals and leaking confidence at home, while Truiden have just enough quality to punish the chaos. This could go either way, but Mechelen's form is genuinely dire.
Key storylines:
- **S. Michez and B. Boersma** need to sharpen up front for Mechelen — they're relying on creative sparks with D. Praet pulling strings
- **Sint-Truidense's unpredictability** is both blessing and curse; **R. Merlen and A. Sissako** midfield control could be the difference if they're focused
- **Mechelen's injury crisis** in defense (**A. Ayodele, L. F. Hjelde, K. Vanrafelghem** all out) leaves them fragile against Truiden's pace
Expected lineups:
- **KV Mechelen**: N. Miras, M. Eerdhuijzen, J. Marsa, L. Marijnissen, T. Koudou, D. Praet, F. Hammar, D. Salifou, M. Van Brederode, B. Boersma, S. Michez
- **Sint-Truidense VV**: L. Kokubo, T. Hata, V. Musliu, J. Pupe, R. Vanwesemael, A. Sissako, R. Merlen, I. Sebaoui, R. Araki, A. Muja, S. Baždar
Prediction:
**1-2 Sint-Truidense** — Mechelen's backline is held together with string. Lean Truiden to exploit the gaps. 📍
Where to watch
DAZN BelgiumDAZN Pro League 2
DAZN Pro League 2
Match facts
Stadium
Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne
City
Mechelen
Kickoff
11 Oct, 17:15 UTC
Competition
Pro League
Highlights & clips
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sint-Truidense VV
13
N. Miras
7.2
20
K. Corbanie
7.0
2
L. Marijnissen
6.8
↑ 81'
3
J. Marsa
6.7
23
S. Michez
7.3
6
F. Hammar
7.1
26
D. Praet
6.7
↑ 81'
29
B. Antonio
6.6
↑ 81'
17
C. J. V. Meirvenne
6.9
↑ 63'
9
M. Van Brederode
6.5
19
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
6.4
↑ 81'
16
L. Kokubo
5.0
60
R. Vanwesemael
6.4
4
K. Takai
5.2
5
S. Taniguchi
6.6
3
T. Hata
6.0
19
F. S. Soelle
7.5
↑ 67'
8
A. Sissako
7.3
11
N. Mbuku
6.5
↑ 46'
18
N. Ishiwatari
6.5
↑ 46'
10
I. Sebaoui
7.6
99
S. Shinkawa
6.7
↑ 67'
Substitutes
1GO. De Wolf
15GT. V. Ingelgom
44DM. Eerdhuijzen↓ 81'7.3
4DG. Diouf
30MM. Decherf↓ 81'6.7
7MT. Koudou↓ 81'6.5
14FB. Raman↓ 63'7.6
28FB. Boersma↓ 81'7.0
10FM. Kireev
21FH. Özdemir
Coach: Frederik Vanderbiest
Substitutes
21GM. Lendfers
35GY. Ngoy
26DV. Musliu
23DJ. Pupe
22DW. Janssens
14MR. Merlen↓ 67'6.9
71MR. Araki↓ 46'6.6
9FS. Baždar↓ 67'7.2
38FK. Matsuzawa↓ 46'6.9
77FO. Diouf
Coach: Frédéric De Meyer
Top stats
36%Possession64%
0.74Expected goals (xG)1.45
8Total shots17
3Shots on target7
3Big chances5
2Corners8
Shots
3Shots off target8
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box12
3Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed3
-0.83Goals prevented-3.47
Attack
24Touches in box37
61Final third entries101
4Offsides1
14Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
337Passes602
232Accurate passes486
35/78 (45%)Long balls34/59 (58%)
0/12 (0%)Crosses4/27 (15%)
25Throw-ins26
Duels
53Duels47
40/74 (54%)Ground duels34/74 (46%)
14/27 (52%)Aerial duels13/27 (48%)
3/12 (25%)Dribbles5/16 (31%)
8Dispossessed12
Defending
23Tackles17
57Tackles won53
18Interceptions22
44Clearances18
62Recoveries68
Discipline
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
2Big saves0
8Goal kicks4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 20 bookmakers
Who winsSt. Truidense to win (DNB) 58% · 1.68 @ Betsson
1X2St. Truidense to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.87 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.62 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.50 @ Bet365
1X2Mechelen to win 30% · 3.18 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.00
KV Mechelen
3.48
Draw
2.21
Sint-Truidense VV
Double Chanceconsensus
1.64
KV Mechelen or Draw
1.27
KV Mechelen or Sint-Truidense VV
1.36
Draw or Sint-Truidense VV
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.35
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
13.70
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.80
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.23
KV Mechelen
1.60
Sint-Truidense VV
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
2.87
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.19
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.99
Over 9.50
1.75
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.46
Over 10.50
1.47
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.10
Over 11.50
1.23
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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