Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Anderlecht rolls into Gent as a heavy favorite — they're red-hot and own this fixture's history**, but the hosts aren't rolling over after their recent uptick. 🔴
Gent have scraped together **3 wins in their last 5**, grinding through the trickier stretch, while Anderlecht just buried Jagiellonia 3-0 and sit **4-1 over the same span**. The gap is real, though Gent's home form keeps this interesting.
Key storylines:
- **M. Balikwisha and M. Dean** anchor Gent's attack in a 3-4-2-1, hoping quick transitions catch a high Anderlecht line
- **T. Aasgaard and M. Cvetković** lead a sharp Anderlecht midfield and forward line that's been clinical on the road
- Gent are **without J. Vergara and H. Vernemmen** (both muscle), forcing defensive shuffles against form visitors
Expected lineups:
- **KAA Gent**: D. Roef, C. Burgess, T. Araújo, S. Van Der Heyden, M. Paskotsi, M. Delorge, T. D. Vlieger, L. Lopes, M. Sonko, M. Dean, M. Balikwisha
- **RSC Anderlecht**: C. Coosemans, L. Pétrot, A. Maamar, A. Omobamidele, L. Augustinsson, M. Winkler, L. Ambros, I. Koutsoupias, T. Aasgaard, M. Cvetković, D. Sikan
Prediction:
**Anderlecht 2–1 Gent** — the visitors have a solid edge on form and the H2H, but Gent nip one back at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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