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Timmy Simons
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Lommel SK
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Lommel SK
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2-2 Lommel SK.
90+6'
Goal! Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2-2 Lommel SK. J. v. Duiven (Lommel SK) scores, assisted by S. H. Nypan.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
77'
Attempt missed. R. Mirisola (Oud-Heverlee Leuven), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
76'
Attempt blocked. D. Opoku (Oud-Heverlee Leuven), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
67'
Goal! Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2-1 Lommel SK. E. Addai (Oud-Heverlee Leuven) scores, assisted by D. Opoku.
65'
Goal! Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1-1 Lommel SK. R. Mirisola (Oud-Heverlee Leuven) scores, assisted by W. Balikwisha.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0-1 Lommel SK.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
39'
Attempt blocked. R. Nyakossi (Oud-Heverlee Leuven), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.
35'
Goal! Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0-1 Lommel SK. S. Appuah (Lommel SK) scores, assisted by D. Konadu.
29'
Attempt missed. W. Balikwisha (Oud-Heverlee Leuven), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
20'
Attempt missed. S. Schrijvers (Oud-Heverlee Leuven), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.09.
1'
Kick-off: Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
73648 EUR · live
Home
50.0 · implied 2.0%
65.5%
+63.5 vs price
Away
930.0 · implied 0.1%
18.7%
+18.6 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
15.8%
-82.2 vs price
Half time
1 EUR
Away
4.2 · implied 23.8%
47.7%
+23.9 vs price
Draw
2.56 · implied 39.1%
45.5%
+6.4 vs price
Home
2.52 · implied 39.7%
16.4%
-23.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
34056 EUR · live
Over
1.51 · implied 66.2%
67.3%
+1.1 vs price
Under
2.96 · implied 33.8%
32.8%
-1.0 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
T. Ogiwara · Foul
35'
⚽
S. Appuah · assist D. Konadu0–1
40'
S. Adewoye · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'+2
S. Appuah · Foul
46'
🔁
E. Addai ◂ Ł. Łakomy
65'
⚽
R. Mirisola · assist W. Balikwisha1–1
67'
⚽
E. Addai · assist D. Opoku2–1
71'
R. Mirisola · Foul
73'
🔁
N. Rommens ◂ J. Tolinsson
73'
🔁
T. Reyners ◂ J. Pelupessy
80'
🔁
H. Oware ◂ S. Adewoye
80'
🔁
T. Vlietinck ◂ D. Opoku
80'
🔁
K. Vaesen ◂ R. Mirisola
85'
🔁
N. Corthouts ◂ S. Appuah
Full-time · 2–2
90'+3
🔁
◂ H. Oware
90'+4
🔁
A. Fontanarosa ◂ T. Ogiwara
90'+6
⚽
J. v. Duiven · assist S. H. Nypan2–2
Coaches
Timmy SimonsLee Johnson 
Recent form
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenDARoyale Union Saint-Gilloise1-1
WHRAAL La Louvière2-0
DHCercle Brugge1-1
LASK Beveren0-3
LAKAA Gent0-1
Lommel SKWASK Beveren3-1
DHKV Mechelen0-0
LARoyale Union Saint-Gilloise0-5
LHClub Brugge KV0-1
WACercle Brugge1-0
About this match
**OHL's home fortress meets a Lommel side still chasing consistency** — this should be a comfortable afternoon for the hosts, who've got the head-to-head edge and familiar turf on their side. 🏟️
OHL are unbeaten in their last two at Den Dreef (1W 1D), while Lommel just took a 5-0 battering at Union and haven't shown they can string wins together. The visitors nabbed a solid away win at Beveren, but that's thin resume material against a side that dominates this fixture.
Key storylines:
- **OHL's attack** rests on the pace of W. Balikwisha and C. Ikwuemesi in a 3-4-3 shape — plenty of width to exploit Lommel's fullbacks
- **Lommel's midfield pairing** of L. Schoofs and J. Pelupessy will need to keep things tight against OHL's wing play
- **Home record matters**: OHL 3-0 undefeated in the H2H; hosting usually tips the scales further
Expected lineups:
- **Oud-Heverlee Leuven**: D. v. d. Heuvel, N. Dussenne, R. Nyakossi, W. George, Ó. Gil, W. Balikwisha, C. Ikwuemesi, R. Mirisola
- **Lommel SK**: M. Pieklak, H. Oware, T. Eyoma, S. Adewoye, L. Schoofs, J. Pelupessy, S. Appuah, J. v. Duiven
Prediction:
**OHL 2-0 Lommel**. Home form and head-to-head pedigree make this a lean toward the hosts. 📍
Match facts
Stadium
The King Power AT Den Dreef Stadium
City
Heverlee
Kickoff
24 Oct, 16:15 UTC
Competition
Pro League
Highlights & clips
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Lommel SK
1
D. v. d. Heuvel
6.2
5
J. Lawrence
6.8
28
E. Pletinckx
6.6
34
R. Nyakossi
6.8
77
T. Vlietinck
6.4
↑ 80'
6
W. George
6.6
8
S. Schrijvers
8.2
30
A. Fontanarosa
↑ 90'
7
E. Addai
7.8
↑ 46'
17
K. Vaesen
6.3
↑ 80'
21
W. Balikwisha
7.2
23
M. Pieklak
5.6
2
J. v. Duiven
8.0
3
T. Eyoma
6.0
8
N. Rommens
6.7
↑ 73'
34
H. Oware
6.9
↑ 80'
10
T. Reyners
6.7
↑ 73'
41
S. H. Nypan
8.0
7
J. Talvitie
6.0
15
L. Schoofs
7.3
46
N. Corthouts
6.4
↑ 85'
9
D. Konadu
7.3
Substitutes
13GK. Vroman
26DT. Ogiwara↓ 90'6.8
99DD. Opoku↓ 80'6.5
24MŁ. Łakomy↓ 46'6.5
72MS. Murru
48MB. Kayo
18FR. Mirisola↓ 80'7.3
20FS. Yamada
19FC. Ikwuemesi
Coach: Timmy Simons
Substitutes
1GN. Ivezić
4DS. Adewoye↓ 80'6.6
14DJ. Tolinsson↓ 73'6.5
44DI. Dada-Mascoll
47DT. Gooijer
11MS. Appuah↓ 85'8.0
6MJ. Pelupessy↓ 73'6.9
22MĐ. Gordić
73FA. Reumers
Coach: Lee Johnson
Top stats
43%Possession57%
3.43Expected goals (xG)0.97
22Total shots13
6Shots on target4
7Big chances3
7Corners5
Shots
11Shots off target3
5Blocked shots6
17Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored2
5Big chances missed1
-0.9Goals prevented-1.29
Attack
32Touches in box28
57Final third entries65
2Offsides1
12Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
381Passes514
301Accurate passes425
27/64 (42%)Long balls27/55 (49%)
10/19 (53%)Crosses5/24 (21%)
22Throw-ins24
Duels
49Duels51
38/77 (49%)Ground duels39/77 (51%)
12/25 (48%)Aerial duels13/25 (52%)
7/19 (37%)Dribbles6/19 (32%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
19Tackles18
74Tackles won67
17Interceptions7
28Clearances22
51Recoveries52
Discipline
16Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
9Goal kicks13
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsLommel to win (DNB) 57% · 2.85 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.28 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.60 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.85 @ William Hill
1X2OH Leuven to win 49% · 2.20 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.71 @ 1xBet
1X2Lommel to win 26% · 3.75 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.54 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.97 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.94
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3.70
Draw
3.64
Lommel SK
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Draw
1.23
Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Lommel SK
1.85
Draw or Lommel SK
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.36
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50
2.35
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.50
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.42
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2.67
Lommel SK
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
3.79
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50
2.80
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.32
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.88
Over 10.50
1.90
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.31
Over 11.50
1.54
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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