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Hristo Yanev
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Botev Plovdiv
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Match events
19'
M. Brahimi
31'
🔁
Pastor ◂ T. Ouorou
38'
⚽
C. A. López0–1
41'
⚽
J. Zwarts1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
S. Sensi ◂ P. Panayotov
46'
🔁
I. Pittas ◂ M. Brahimi
62'
🔁
M. Rodrigues ◂ C. Meotti
62'
🔁
G. Milanov ◂ N. Iliev
62'
🔁
F. Mascote ◂ C. Okoh
62'
🔁
Á. Martino ◂ A. Yordanov
63'
C. A. López
69'
T. Awany
70'
🔁
N. Soldo ◂ T. Awany
73'
🔁
J. Gbamin ◂ B. Jordão
78'
S. Kalu
84'
🔁
L. Araújo ◂ S. Kalu
84'
J. Zwarts
Full-time · 3–2
90'
⚽
J. Zwarts · assist I. Pittas2–1
90'+1
⚽
I. Pittas · assist F. Lapoukhov3–1
90'+4
⚽
A. Chandarov · assist G. Milanov3–2
Coaches
Hristo YanevStanislav Genchev 
Recent form
CSKA SofiaDAQarabağ FK0-0
DASlavia Sofia0-0
WADerry City2-1
WHDerry City3-2
WHFC Marek 1915 Dupnitsa3-0
Botev PlovdivDHLokomotiv Sofia1-1
WHBeroe Stara Zagora4-0
WHFK Spartak Varna1-0
LHFK Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-2
WHFC Chernomorets 1919 Burgas4-0
Where to watch
Sport Klub 3 HR
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Betano
Sport Klub 3 HR
Match facts
Stadium
Vasil Levski National Stadium
City
Sofia
Referee
Martin Velikov
Kickoff
27 Jul, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
CSKA Sofia
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Botev Plovdiv
21
F. Lapoukhov
2
Pastor
↑ 31'
32
F. Rodríguez
14
T. Ivanov
17
Á. Martino
↑ 62'
7
M. Ebong
5
J. Gbamin
↑ 73'
8
S. Sensi
↑ 46'
28
I. Pittas
↑ 46'
10
J. Zwarts
38
L. Pereira
29
D. Naumov
4
N. Soldo
↑ 70'
87
S. Petrov
82
V. Mendes
27
B. Chibuike Hein
10
A. Chandarov
14
C. A. López
17
G. Milanov
↑ 62'
19
M. Rodrigues
↑ 62'
77
L. Araújo
↑ 84'
30
F. Mascote
↑ 62'
Substitutes
25GD. Evtimov
3DT. Ouorou↓ 31'
19DA. Yordanov↓ 62'
15DA. Tunchev
30MP. Panayotov↓ 46'
11MM. Brahimi↓ 46'
6MB. Jordão↓ 73'
34MV. Kaymakanov
94MI. Solet
99MJ. Eto'o
9FL. Godoy
Coach: Hristo Yanev
Substitutes
1GH. Slavkov
20DT. Awany↓ 70'
15DB. Kostov
6DI. Videv
66MC. Meotti↓ 62'
7MN. Iliev↓ 62'
90MS. Kalu↓ 84'
45ME. Silva
23MD. Tonev
16MV. Vidolov
9FC. Okoh↓ 62'
Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Top stats
62%Possession38%
1.41Expected goals (xG)2.38
19Total shots19
9Shots on target9
17Corners5
Shots
2Shots off target4
8Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box12
10Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
Attack
28Touches in box23
2Offsides0
2Free kicks4
Passing
450Passes266
367Accurate passes212
27/40 (67%)Long balls16/26 (61%)
5/25 (20%)Crosses4/8 (50%)
18Throw-ins22
Duels
46Duels54
56/120 (47%)Ground duels65/120 (54%)
13/28 (46%)Aerial duels15/28 (54%)
11/14 (79%)Dribbles17/24 (71%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
1Tackles0
8Interceptions16
20Clearances46
Discipline
16Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves6
4Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
Who winsCSKA Sofia to win (DNB) 76% · 1.27 @ Betano
1X2CSKA Sofia to win 57% · 1.72 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.55 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.97 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 24% · 4.10 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.92 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ Betway
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.89 @ Pinnacle
1X2Botev Plovdiv to win 18% · 6.00 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.61
CSKA Sofia
3.76
Draw
5.01
Botev Plovdiv
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
CSKA Sofia or Draw
1.23
CSKA Sofia or Botev Plovdiv
2.16
Draw or Botev Plovdiv
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.81
Yes
1.88
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
10.39
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.59
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50
1.91
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.96
Over 3.50
1.34
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50 ▲
1.13
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.22
CSKA Sofia
3.78
Botev Plovdiv
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50 ▼
9.50
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▼
5.00
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50 ▼
3.28
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.51
Over 8.50 ▼
2.38
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.87
Over 9.50 ▼
1.83
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.42
Over 10.50 ▼
1.49
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.08
Over 11.50
1.30
Under 11.50
1.6 – 0.9Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia to win (DNB)Who wins | 76% | 76% | 1.22 | Overpriced | high |
| CSKA Sofia to win1X2 | 57% | 57% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 51% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 24% | 24% | 3.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.81 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 74% | 74% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 70% | 69% | 1.34 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.81 | Overpriced | low |
| Botev Plovdiv to win1X2 | 18% | 18% | 5.01 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 3.5 goals — we say 77%, they say 69%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 68% | +6% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 45% | +6% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 22% | +8% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 42% | +9% | Yes |
| Home win | 57% | 44% | +13% | Yes |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | -1% | No |
| Away win | 18% | 31% | -13% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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