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Diego Simeone
Atlético Madrid
Málaga CF
Atlético Madrid
4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Málaga CF
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
3755817 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.7%
-7.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.8%
+4.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.5%
+3.4 vs price
Half time
32561 EUR · live
Home
27.0 · implied 3.7%
58.0%
+54.3 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
36.9%
-62.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.1%
+5.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1217746 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
87.7%
-10.4 vs price
Over
30.0 · implied 3.3%
12.3%
+9.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
12586 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.5%
-3.5 vs price
Over
170.0 · implied 0.6%
4.5%
+3.9 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
15'
D. Hancko · Foul
37'
J. Domínguez · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+4
C. Puga · Foul
46'
🔁
M. Llorente ◂ J. Domínguez
57'
🔁
G. Simeone ◂ R. Mendoza
57'
🔁
K. Lee ◂ C. Martín
57'
🔁
A. Baena ◂ A. Ortiz
67'
🔁
R. Rodríguez ◂ C. Dotor
67'
🔁
J. Cruz ◂ J. Muñoz
70'
⚽
K. Lee · assist D. Hancko1–0
72'
🔁
J. Salinas ◂ C. Puga
78'
🔁
M. Hjulmand ◂ Koke
80'
🔁
E. Jauregi ◂ D. Lorenzo
80'
🔁
R. Enríquez ◂ E. Galilea
80'
J. Cruz · Foul
85'
⚽
A. Baena2–0
88'
R. Enríquez · Foul
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Juan Funes 
Recent form
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LAVillarreal1-5
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WHAl-Arabi SC4-2
DHAl-Ittihad2-2
DHLeicester City3-3
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Match facts
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
City
Madrid
Kickoff
19 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
13
J. Oblak
6.8
14
M. Llorente
6.7
↑ 46'
24
R. Le Normand
7.1
17
D. Hancko
8.8
30
D. Martinez
6.6
23
M. Hjulmand
6.7
↑ 78'
10
A. Baena
7.6
↑ 57'
7
K. Lee
8.1
↑ 57'
8
P. Barrios
7.8
20
G. Simeone
6.7
↑ 57'
11
A. Lookman
6.5
1
A. Herrero
7.8
12
J. Salinas
6.2
↑ 72'
15
Á. Recio
6.1
6
R. Enríquez
6.6
↑ 80'
31
R. Garrido
6.8
23
I. Merino
6.6
10
D. Larrubia
6.3
14
R. Rodríguez
6.4
↑ 67'
17
E. Jauregi
6.5
↑ 80'
19
J. Cruz
6.4
↑ 67'
9
Chupete
5.9
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.92Expected goals (xG)0.15
15Total shots5
6Shots on target1
3Big chances0
6Corners1
Shots
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box4
7Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed0
0.02Goals prevented0.64
Attack
30Touches in box19
72Final third entries46
2Offsides2
11Free kicks17
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
520Passes467
455Accurate passes395
28/50 (56%)Long balls23/59 (39%)
5/15 (33%)Crosses0/2 (0%)
17Throw-ins22
Duels
49Duels51
39/87 (45%)Ground duels48/87 (55%)
12/18 (67%)Aerial duels6/18 (33%)
8/22 (36%)Dribbles10/22 (45%)
7Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles21
55Tackles won52
9Interceptions13
13Clearances23
50Recoveries44
Discipline
17Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
5Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
Who winsAtl. Madrid to win (DNB) 88% · 1.16 @ forbet
1X2Atl. Madrid to win 73% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62%
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 2.50 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.62 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.06 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 18% · 3.10 @ 1xBet
1X2Málaga to win 9% · 7.80 @ eurobet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.35
Atlético Madrid ▼
5.16
Draw ▲
8.80
Málaga CF ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.07
Atlético Madrid or Draw ▼
1.16
Atlético Madrid or Málaga CF ▼
3.18
Draw or Málaga CF ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.96
Yes ▲
1.79
No ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▼
4.45
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50 ▲
2.24
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.62
Over 3.50 ▲
1.48
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.43
Over 4.50 ▲
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.10
Atlético Madrid ▲
6.55
Málaga CF ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.81
Over 12.50
1.20
Under 12.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
5.52
Over 13.50 ▲
1.11
Under 13.50
Total Corners (O/U) 14.50consensus
6.70
Over 14.50
1.06
Under 14.50
European Handicap -2.00consensus
3.30
Atlético Madrid -2
4.04
Draw -2
1.81
Málaga CF +2
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.88
Over ▼
1.86
E ▲
Total Cards 1.50consensus
1.08
Over 1.50
6.79
Under 1.50
Total Cards 5.50consensus
4.25
Over 5.50 ▲
1.19
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Cards 6.50consensus
7.50
Over 6.50 ▲
1.07
Under 6.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Atlético Madrid to win or draw
✓
91% confidence
Atlético Madrid to avoid defeat
✓
88% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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