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José Alberto López
Real Racing Club
Villarreal
Real Racing Club
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Villarreal
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1556111 EUR · live
Away
120.0 · implied 0.8%
54.6%
+53.8 vs price
Home
48.0 · implied 2.1%
24.1%
+22.0 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
21.3%
-75.8 vs price
Half time
3318 EUR · live
Away
12.5 · implied 8.0%
53.1%
+45.0 vs price
Draw
3.9 · implied 25.6%
25.7%
+0.1 vs price
Home
1.53 · implied 65.4%
21.2%
-44.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
95538 EUR · live
Over
1.13 · implied 88.5%
53.1%
-35.4 vs price
Under
8.6 · implied 11.6%
46.9%
+35.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3836 EUR · live
Under
1.2 · implied 83.3%
91.6%
+8.3 vs price
Over
5.3 · implied 18.9%
8.4%
-10.5 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
🔁
M. Hernando ◂ P. Felipe
20'
VAR
Penalty check · J. Salinas
21'
⚽
A. Martín (pen)1–0
34'
⚽
S. Martínez2–0
Half-time · 2–2
45'
⚽
P. Gueye · assist A. Moleiro2–1
45'+1
⚽
N. Pépé · assist G. Mikautadze2–2
45'+4
G. Puerta · Foul
48'
J. Foyth · Foul
56'
🔁
C. Macia ◂ A. Pérez
56'
🔁
T. Buchanan ◂ A. Moleiro
56'
🔁
G. Moreno ◂ S. Comesaña
62'
J. A. López · Argument
69'
🔁
M. Gueye ◂ S. Martínez
69'
🔁
Y. Zabiri ◂ A. Villalibre
72'
P. Gueye · Foul
75'
P. Ramón · Foul
77'
🔁
F. González ◂ P. Ramón
77'
🔁
D. Díaz ◂ S. Canales
77'
🔁
I. Akhomach ◂ N. Pépé
87'
S. Mouriño · Foul
88'
🔁
A. Freeman ◂ S. Mouriño
Full-time · 2–2
90'+3
C. Romero · Foul
Coaches
José Alberto LópezIñigo Pérez 
Recent form
Real Racing ClubDHDeportivo Alavés1-1
WHSporting Gijón4-1
LAWolverhampton0-3
LHAthletic Club0-3
LAOsasuna0-2
VillarrealWAGalatasaray2-1
WHLevante UD1-0
WAPSV Eindhoven3-1
LABenfica0-2
WHAtlético Madrid5-1
Where to watch
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TV2 Play
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Match facts
Stadium
El Sardinero
City
Santander
Kickoff
16 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
Real Racing Club
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Villarreal
13
J. Agirrezabala
6.5
2
A. Mantilla
6.4
4
M. Hernando
7.1
↑ 16'
16
F. González
6.7
↑ 77'
17
J. Salinas
7.0
8
G. Puerta
7.3
14
M. Gueye
6.9
↑ 69'
11
A. Martín
7.5
34
D. Díaz
6.4
↑ 77'
10
I. Vicente
8.0
21
Y. Zabiri
6.3
↑ 69'
1
L. Júnior
5.9
3
A. Freeman
↑ 88'
8
J. Foyth
7.2
12
R. Veiga
7.0
20
C. Romero
7.3
11
I. Akhomach
6.4
↑ 77'
26
C. Macia
6.9
↑ 56'
18
P. Gueye
8.0
17
T. Buchanan
6.3
↑ 56'
7
G. Moreno
6.9
↑ 56'
9
G. Mikautadze
6.3
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.87Expected goals (xG)0.67
17Total shots12
3Shots on target7
2Big chances1
6Corners10
Shots
6Shots off target3
8Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box7
8Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
-0.58Goals prevented-0.61
Attack
36Touches in box49
49Final third entries74
1Offsides3
13Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
377Passes536
310Accurate passes483
15/33 (45%)Long balls20/30 (67%)
1/12 (8%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
13Throw-ins13
Duels
48Duels52
44/95 (46%)Ground duels51/95 (54%)
11/19 (58%)Aerial duels8/19 (42%)
10/23 (43%)Dribbles15/26 (58%)
10Dispossessed10
Defending
21Tackles23
38Tackles won57
13Interceptions7
33Clearances29
50Recoveries48
Discipline
14Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
1Big saves1
7Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsVillarreal to win (DNB) 62% · 1.59 @ forbet
1X2Villarreal to win 46% · 2.43 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.57 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 5.25 @ coral
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.24 @ betinasia
1X2Draw 26% · 2.95 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.66 @ betfair
1X2R. Racing Club to win 28% · 3.51 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.78
Real Racing Club
3.75
Draw
1.91
Villarreal
Double Chanceconsensus
1.85
Real Racing Club or Draw
1.26
Real Racing Club or Villarreal
1.26
Draw or Villarreal
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.42
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
14.10
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50 ▼
4.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.54
Over 2.50
2.37
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.33
Over 3.50
1.55
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.18
Over 4.50
1.22
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.67
Real Racing Club
1.44
Villarreal
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
17.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
10.75
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.94
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.72
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.57
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50 ▲
1.96
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.20
Over 10.50 ▼
1.59
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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