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Luis Garcia
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1308206 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
37.9%
-59.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
37.2%
+37.1 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
25.2%
+22.4 vs price
Half time
6308 EUR · live
Away
1.07 · implied 93.5%
66.2%
-27.2 vs price
Draw
13.5 · implied 7.4%
20.2%
+12.7 vs price
Home
75.0 · implied 1.3%
13.6%
+12.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
287130 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
73.0%
-13.2 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
27.0%
+12.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
23655 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
97.1%
-1.9 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.9%
+2.8 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
Á. García0–1
38'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · I. Romero
Half-time · 0–1
45'+3
I. Romero · Foul
46'
🔁
R. Ure ◂ I. Romero
46'
🔁
P. Fernández ◂ N. Guillén
52'
⚽
J. Guridi (pen)1–1
60'
J. Guridi · Foul
64'
🔁
S. Camello ◂ I. Palazón
65'
🔁
Alemão ◂ R. Nteka
67'
Á. García · Foul
70'
🔁
F. Pérez ◂ Á. García
70'
🔁
R. Vargas ◂ Miguel Sierra
75'
U. López · Foul
76'
F. Pérez · Foul
78'
🔁
P. Fernández ◂ Ó. Valentín
78'
🔁
P. Díaz ◂ U. López
78'
🔁
C. Ejuke ◂ Oso
81'
G. Suazo · Foul
82'
🔁
M. Bueno ◂ J. Guridi
88'
K. Salas · Foul
Second half · 2–1
90'+7
⚽
P. Fernández (pen)2–1
90'+12
Alemão · Argument
90'+12
L. Agoumé · Argument
Coaches
Benat San Jose 
Recent form
LABayer 04 Leverkusen1-2
WAFC Utrecht1-0
WANEC Nijmegen2-1
WHAD Ceuta2-1
DACórdoba0-0
LAIpswich Town0-3
WARC Sporting Charleroi3-2
LAFeyenoord1-2
LAHeart of Midlothian1-2
LACrystal Palace0-1
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Match facts
Stadium
Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
City
Seville
Kickoff
15 Aug, 19:30 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
1
O. Vlachodimos
7.3
2
J. Iglesias
7.0
12
A. Sangante
6.3
4
K. Salas
6.8
17
G. Suazo
6.9
6
L. Agoumé
6.7
10
P. Fernández
6.3
↑ 46'
11
R. Vargas
6.5
↑ 70'
28
M. Bueno
7.0
↑ 82'
21
C. Ejuke
6.5
↑ 78'
9
R. Ure
6.9
↑ 46'
13
A. Batalla
6.7
2
A. Rațiu
5.9
24
F. Lejeune
6.6
6
P. I. Ciss
6.6
20
I. Balliu
6.2
22
P. Fernández
6.3
↑ 78'
4
P. Díaz
6.6
↑ 78'
19
J. de Frutos
6.4
10
S. Camello
6.5
↑ 64'
21
F. Pérez
6.4
↑ 70'
9
Alemão
6.9
↑ 65'
Top stats
49%Possession51%
2.3Expected goals (xG)2.0
13Total shots6
4Shots on target3
2Big chances3
1Corners2
Shots
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots0
9Shots inside box5
4Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed2
0.77Goals prevented-0.21
Attack
28Touches in box14
71Final third entries59
1Offsides1
16Free kicks18
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
318Passes336
232Accurate passes245
25/65 (38%)Long balls19/61 (31%)
3/25 (12%)Crosses5/15 (33%)
35Throw-ins25
Duels
50Duels50
42/86 (49%)Ground duels44/86 (51%)
20/39 (51%)Aerial duels19/39 (49%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)
10Dispossessed10
Defending
20Tackles18
60Tackles won72
8Interceptions10
22Clearances32
54Recoveries54
Discipline
18Fouls18
4Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
1X2Rayo Vallecano to win 53% · 3.55 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.63 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.92 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.01 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 29% · 2.36 @ efbet.net
Who winsSevilla to win (DNB) 56% · 1.79 @ merkurxtip
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.61 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.60 @ fonbet
1X2Sevilla to win 19% · 3.05 @ Interwetten
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.75
Sevilla
3.30
Draw
1.59
Rayo Vallecano
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Sevilla or Draw ▲
1.39
Sevilla or Rayo Vallecano ▲
1.49
Draw or Rayo Vallecano ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.80
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.10
Over 0.50
7.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.43
Over 1.50
2.74
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.38
Over 2.50 ▲
1.59
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.43
Over 3.50 ▲
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.25
Over 4.50 ▲
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.73
Sevilla ▲
2.04
Rayo Vallecano ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
9.60
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50 ▼
5.48
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.51
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50 ▼
2.46
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.88
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.33
Over 10.50 ▼
1.54
Under 10.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Rayo Vallecano to win or draw
✗
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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