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Diego Simeone
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Villarreal
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2337644 EUR · live
Home
42.0 · implied 2.4%
53.5%
+51.1 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
23.7%
-71.5 vs price
Away
70.0 · implied 1.4%
22.8%
+21.4 vs price
Half time
5042 EUR · live
Home
3.1 · implied 32.3%
57.5%
+25.2 vs price
Draw
1.9 · implied 52.6%
26.0%
-26.7 vs price
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
16.5%
+2.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
225241 EUR · live
Under
2.34 · implied 42.7%
60.7%
+18.0 vs price
Over
1.74 · implied 57.5%
39.3%
-18.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
12811 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
93.7%
-4.4 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
6.3%
+3.5 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
A. Baena ◂ R. Mendoza
50'
S. Mouriño · Foul
54'
A. Baena · Foul
59'
⚽
Pubill · assist G. Simeone1–0
61'
🔁
T. Buchanan ◂ A. Pérez
61'
🔁
G. Moreno ◂ A. Moleiro
66'
🔁
J. Álvarez ◂ Pubill
66'
🔁
P. Barrios ◂ K. Lee
66'
🔁
M. Llorente ◂ Koke
66'
⚽
G. Moreno (pen)1–1
75'
VAR
Penalty check · G. Mikautadze
76'
M. Hjulmand · Argument
76'
R. Le Normand · Professional foul last man
76'
D. Simeone · Argument
78'
⚽
G. Mikautadze (pen)1–2
79'
🔁
J. M. Giménez ◂ A. Lookman
79'
🔁
C. Macia ◂ N. Pépé
79'
🔁
I. Akhomach ◂ G. Mikautadze
85'
⚽
G. Simeone · assist A. Baena2–2
85'
🔁
T. Oluwaseyi ◂ S. Comesaña
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
J. M. Giménez · Foul
90'+10
J. Foyth · Argument
Coaches
Iñigo Pérez 
Recent form
WHMálaga CF2-0
WAOlympique de Marseille2-1
LAManchester City1-3
LAManchester United1-2
WHGetafe4-1
DAReal Racing Club2-2
WAGalatasaray2-1
WHLevante UD1-0
WAPSV Eindhoven3-1
LABenfica0-2
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Match facts
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
City
Madrid
Kickoff
23 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
13
J. Oblak
8.2
14
M. Llorente
6.8
↑ 66'
24
R. Le Normand
5.7
17
D. Hancko
6.9
22
A. Grimaldo
6.6
20
G. Simeone
7.8
8
P. Barrios
7.0
↑ 66'
23
M. Hjulmand
7.0
10
A. Baena
6.1
↑ 46'
2
J. M. Giménez
6.6
↑ 79'
19
J. Álvarez
6.5
↑ 66'
1
L. Júnior
6.1
15
S. Mouriño
6.6
8
J. Foyth
6.9
12
R. Veiga
6.9
20
C. Romero
6.1
26
C. Macia
6.5
↑ 79'
21
T. Oluwaseyi
6.6
↑ 85'
18
P. Gueye
7.0
17
T. Buchanan
7.2
↑ 61'
7
G. Moreno
7.1
↑ 61'
11
I. Akhomach
6.4
↑ 79'
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.78Expected goals (xG)3.6
19Total shots13
4Shots on target6
1Big chances6
5Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target3
10Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box10
13Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed4
0.91Goals prevented-1.13
Attack
34Touches in box37
56Final third entries39
3Offsides1
13Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
520Passes498
459Accurate passes440
21/40 (53%)Long balls16/33 (48%)
7/20 (35%)Crosses2/6 (33%)
10Throw-ins9
Duels
56Duels44
47/81 (58%)Ground duels34/81 (42%)
4/10 (40%)Aerial duels6/10 (60%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles11/24 (46%)
5Dispossessed13
Defending
26Tackles11
65Tackles won82
10Interceptions13
9Clearances23
56Recoveries48
Discipline
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
1Big saves1
7Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.46 @ Unibet
Who winsAtlético Madrid to win (DNB) 68% · 1.49 @ forbet
1X2Atlético Madrid to win 50% · 2.30 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 26% · 2.71 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.50 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.07 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.02 @ Bet365
1X2Villarreal to win 24% · 4.20 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.88
Atlético Madrid ▲
3.63
Draw ▼
4.00
Villarreal ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.24
Atlético Madrid or Draw
1.28
Atlético Madrid or Villarreal ▲
1.90
Draw or Villarreal ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▲
2.02
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.64
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50 ▼
1.94
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.07
Over 3.50 ▲
1.35
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.37
Atlético Madrid
2.90
Villarreal ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
6.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
6.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.90
Under 7.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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