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Carlos Corberán
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Valencia
5-4-1 · 3-4-3
Celta Vigo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
778817 EUR · live
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
40.2%
-54.1 vs price
Home
44.0 · implied 2.3%
35.6%
+33.3 vs price
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
24.2%
+21.3 vs price
Half time
6428 EUR · live
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.0%
-17.0 vs price
Away
10.5 · implied 9.5%
15.1%
+5.5 vs price
Home
14.0 · implied 7.1%
2.9%
-4.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
123078 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.6%
-11.4 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.4%
+12.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
316 EUR
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
67.1%
-25.5 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
32.6%
+23.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
38'
J. De Haas · Foul
39'
S. Dimitrievski · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
M. Diakhaby ◂ J. De Haas
57'
🔁
U. Sadiq ◂ R. Sato
57'
🔁
W. Swedberg ◂ H. Álvarez
57'
S. Carreira · Foul
64'
🔁
I. Aspas ◂ J. Galán
64'
🔁
J. Rueda ◂ J. El-Abdellaoui
64'
🔁
P. Durán ◂ F. Jutglà
67'
J. Rueda · Foul
69'
🔁
A. Dieng ◂ F. Ugrinić
69'
🔁
P. Maffeo ◂ J. L. Gayà
77'
🔁
I. Moriba ◂ A. Febas
80'
I. Radu · Time wasting
83'
🔁
H. Duro ◂ A. Danjuma
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Claudio Giráldez 
Recent form
LHCD Teruel0-1
LHNewcastle United1-2
DAStoke City1-1
WADerby County2-1
LHCD Castellón1-2
DASSC Napoli1-1
WASassuolo4-1
DHAcadémico Viseu FC2-2
WHSporting Gijón1-0
DASporting Braga2-2
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Match facts
Stadium
Mestalla
City
Valencia
Kickoff
22 Aug, 17:30 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
1
S. Dimitrievski
6.9
21
J. Vázquez
6.8
5
C. Tárrega
7.9
18
Pepelu
7.4
4
M. Diakhaby
7.0
↑ 46'
24
P. Maffeo
6.7
↑ 69'
6
U. Sadiq
6.5
↑ 57'
15
A. Dieng
6.4
↑ 69'
2
G. Rodríguez
7.5
8
J. Guerra
6.8
9
H. Duro
6.4
↑ 83'
13
I. Radu
6.9
20
J. Rodríguez
7.2
29
Y. Lago
7.1
3
M. Alonso
7.4
5
S. Carreira
7.1
8
M. Román
7.3
6
I. Moriba
6.6
↑ 77'
17
J. Rueda
6.4
↑ 64'
10
I. Aspas
6.6
↑ 64'
11
P. Durán
6.6
↑ 64'
19
W. Swedberg
6.8
↑ 57'
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.66
8Total shots7
2Shots on target3
0Big chances1
1Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target3
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside box3
4Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances missed1
0.18Goals prevented0.14
Attack
9Touches in box15
60Final third entries69
3Offsides2
17Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
486Passes616
427Accurate passes551
22/47 (47%)Long balls14/36 (39%)
2/15 (13%)Crosses1/14 (7%)
19Throw-ins12
Duels
52Duels48
30/58 (52%)Ground duels28/58 (48%)
5/9 (56%)Aerial duels4/9 (44%)
2/6 (33%)Dribbles2/9 (22%)
5Dispossessed4
Defending
11Tackles9
73Tackles won78
8Interceptions10
28Clearances26
43Recoveries45
Discipline
17Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
2Goal kicks3
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
Who winsValencia to win (DNB) 61% · 1.61 @ forbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.75 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 26% · 2.48 @ kto
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ betfair
1X2Valencia to win 45% · 2.80 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 5.75 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.25 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.42 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Betway
1X2Celta to win 29% · 3.85 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.26
Valencia ▲
3.22
Draw ▼
3.28
Celta Vigo ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Valencia or Draw ▲
1.34
Valencia or Celta Vigo ▲
1.62
Draw or Celta Vigo ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes ▼
1.82
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.25
YES
1.30
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50 ▲
2.88
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.22
Over 2.50 ▲
1.64
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.01
Over 3.50 ▲
1.22
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.38
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
Valencia ▲
2.40
Celta Vigo ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
1.00
Over 3.50
15.00
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
10.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
7.00
Under 5.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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