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Claudio Giráldez
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Athletic Club
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
935377 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
65.6%
-33.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
22.1%
+22.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.4%
+12.3 vs price
Half time
1057 EUR
Draw
2.16 · implied 46.3%
51.8%
+5.5 vs price
Away
3.65 · implied 27.4%
25.8%
-1.6 vs price
Home
3.75 · implied 26.7%
22.3%
-4.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1078728 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
76.0%
-19.3 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
24.1%
+19.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1181 EUR
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
70.4%
-21.3 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
29.5%
+20.8 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
⚽
Á. Berenguer · assist I. Williams0–1
22'
⚽
R. Navarro · assist I. R. d. Galarreta0–2
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
M. Román ◂ I. Moriba
46'
🔁
Y. Lago ◂ A. Faye
46'
🔁
J. Rueda ◂ J. Rodríguez
46'
🔁
I. Aspas ◂ H. González
48'
Y. Berchiche · Foul
57'
🔁
H. Álvarez ◂ W. Swedberg
61'
R. Navarro · Foul
65'
🔁
G. Guruzeta ◂ I. Williams
65'
🔁
P. Canales ◂ O. Sancet
65'
🔁
M. Jauregizar ◂ I. R. d. Galarreta
71'
B. Gerenabarrena · Foul
74'
🔁
N. Williams ◂ R. Navarro
86'
🔁
J. L. Jean ◂ J. Areso
Full-time · 0–2
Coaches
Edin Terzić 
Recent form
LHOsasuna1-2
DAValencia0-0
DASSC Napoli1-1
WASassuolo4-1
DHAcadémico Viseu FC2-2
LAFC Barcelona0-2
LHSevilla1-3
LAAtalanta0-1
LAOlympique de Marseille1-3
WABurgos Club de Fútbol3-0
Where to watch
M+ LaLiga TV
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 4 Sur
Prime Video
Sport Klub 2 HR
DAZN BelgiumPrime Video
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 Sur
Prime VideoYouTube - CazéTV
DAZN
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 4 Sur
DAZN
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN 4 Sur
LaLiga TV (Bar)M+ LaLiga TVMovistar+Prime Video
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
MAGENTA | 7HD
ESPN 4 Sur
ESPN Deportes
ESPN 4 Sur
Sport Klub 2 HR
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
One Sports
DAZN
Arena 5 Premium
ESPN Deportes
ESPN 4 Sur
Ziggo GoZiggo SportZiggo Sport 5
TV2 PlayViaplay
ESPN 4 Sur
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 4 Sur
ESPN Deportes
DAZN2 Portugal
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 4 Sur
Digi Sport 4Prima Sport 3
Arena 5 Premium
DAZN
ESPN 4 Sur
MEGOGO Football 1
ESPN Deportes
ESPN DeportesPrime Video
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 4 Sur
Disney+ Premium SurESPN 4 Sur
ESPN Deportes
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Abanca Balaídos
City
Vigo
Kickoff
30 Aug, 19:30 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
13
I. Radu
8.5
29
Y. Lago
7.2
↑ 46'
2
C. Starfelt
6.7
8
M. Román
7.1
↑ 46'
15
A. Núñez
7.0
14
A. Febas
6.1
17
J. Rueda
7.1
↑ 46'
5
S. Carreira
6.4
23
H. Álvarez
6.5
↑ 57'
10
I. Aspas
6.8
↑ 46'
9
F. Jutglà
6.7
1
U. Simón
7.7
31
J. L. Jean
↑ 86'
4
A. Paredes
7.2
14
A. Laporte
7.0
17
Y. Berchiche
7.1
18
M. Jauregizar
6.6
↑ 65'
24
B. Gerenabarrena
7.1
10
N. Williams
6.5
↑ 74'
28
P. Canales
6.6
↑ 65'
7
Á. Berenguer
8.2
11
G. Guruzeta
6.3
↑ 65'
Top stats
54%Possession46%
0.56Expected goals (xG)2.64
8Total shots17
2Shots on target7
3Big chances5
4Corners7
Shots
5Shots off target9
1Blocked shots1
6Shots inside box12
2Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed4
1.42Goals prevented0.4
Attack
15Touches in box29
74Final third entries52
3Offsides0
17Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
576Passes492
505Accurate passes429
24/49 (49%)Long balls14/41 (34%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses6/19 (32%)
17Throw-ins13
Duels
54Duels46
35/56 (63%)Ground duels21/56 (38%)
6/20 (30%)Aerial duels14/20 (70%)
2/7 (29%)Dribbles4/14 (29%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
17Tackles10
24Tackles won60
7Interceptions10
24Clearances19
41Recoveries52
Discipline
8Fouls17
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill
Who winsCelta to win (DNB) 64% · 1.95 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.30 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
1X2Athletic Club to win 31% · 3.10 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.36 @ 1xBet
1X2Celta to win 39% · 2.96 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.70
Celta Vigo
3.20
Draw
2.70
Athletic Club
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Celta Vigo or Draw
1.33
Celta Vigo or Athletic Club
1.44
Draw or Athletic Club
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.90
Yes
1.85
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.27
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.42
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
3.05
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.16
Over 2.50
1.71
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.85
Over 3.50
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.85
Celta Vigo
1.85
Athletic Club
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.48
Over 7.50
2.39
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.84
Over 8.50
1.90
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.35
Over 9.50
1.50
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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