Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal — live & stats

Where the money is

2286177 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1080564 EUR · live

Home 1.08 · implied 92.6%

74.4%

-18.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

20.1%

+20.0 vs price

Draw 14.5 · implied 6.9%

5.9%

-1.0 vs price

Half time 275 EUR

Draw 2.4 · implied 41.7%

57.4%

+15.8 vs price

Home 3.9 · implied 25.6%

41.4%

+15.8 vs price

Away 3.05 · implied 32.8%

0.7%

-32.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 278902 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

76.6%

-22.4 vs price

Over 210.0 · implied 0.5%

23.4%

+23.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1007 EUR

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

77.8%

-9.1 vs price

Over 7.8 · implied 12.8%

22.0%

+9.2 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

31' ⚽ L. Boyé · assist Á. Pérez1–0

Half-time · 1–0

45' Q. Sánchez Flores · Argument

48' A. Rebbach · Argument

54' 🔁 Y. Enriquez ◂ M. Rodriguez

54' 🔁 M. Díaz ◂ T. Martínez

62' 🔁 A. Freeman ◂ S. Mouriño

62' 🔁 A. Pérez ◂ S. Comesaña

63' 🔁 A. Moleiro ◂ T. Buchanan

70' 🔁 I. Akhomach ◂ G. Moreno

71' 🔁 C. Benavídez ◂ Á. Pérez

71' 🔁 D. Suárez ◂ A. Rebbach

82' 🔁 T. Oluwaseyi ◂ G. Mikautadze

82' 🔁 A. Mañas ◂ L. Boyé

86' N. Pépé · Argument

89' M. Díaz · Foul

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺² R. Veiga · Foul

90'⁺² A. Sivera · Time wasting

Coaches

Quique Sánchez Flores

Iñigo Pérez

Recent form

Deportivo Alavés

DARayo Vallecano1-1

WHGetafe3-0

DAReal Racing Club1-1

WHCD Castellón3-0

WAGirona FC1-0

Villarreal

DAAtlético Madrid2-2

DAReal Racing Club2-2

WAGalatasaray2-1

WHLevante UD1-0

WAPSV Eindhoven3-1

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio de Mendizorroza

City

Vitoria-Gasteiz

Referee

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

5.22 yellows/match · 27 matches

Kickoff

28 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Deportivo Alavés 5-3-2 · 4-4-2 Villarreal

1 A. Sivera 8.0 23 C. Benavídez 6.6 ↑ 71' 14 N. Tenaglia 7.1 16 V. Koski 7.3 17 J. Otto 7.6 4 D. Suárez 6.9 ↑ 71' 19 P. Ibáñez 6.6 8 A. Blanco 7.3 3 Y. Enriquez 7.3 ↑ 54' 9 M. Díaz 6.6 ↑ 54' 20 A. Mañas 6.5 ↑ 82' 1 L. Júnior 6.8 3 A. Freeman 7.1 ↑ 62' 8 J. Foyth 7.7 12 R. Veiga 7.0 20 C. Romero 6.7 19 N. Pépé 6.7 22 A. Pérez 6.7 ↑ 62' 18 P. Gueye 6.6 10 A. Moleiro 6.7 ↑ 63' 11 I. Akhomach 6.3 ↑ 70' 21 T. Oluwaseyi 6.5 ↑ 82'

Substitutes

13GA. Rodríguez 27DX. Olaiz 2DN. Valentini 12DH. N. Ramos 7MÁ. Pérez↓ 71'7.5 18MM. Rodriguez↓ 54'6.8 21MA. Rebbach↓ 71'6.4 10MC. Aleñá 22MM. Rodríguez 6MA. Guevara 15FL. Boyé↓ 82'7.5 11FT. Martínez↓ 54'6.5

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Substitutes

25GP. Gulácsi 15DS. Mouriño↓ 62'6.8 6DP. Navarro 23DS. Cardona 2DL. Costa 14MS. Comesaña↓ 62'6.5 17MT. Buchanan↓ 63'6.5 26MC. Macia 5MA. Diatta 24MN. Saliba 7FG. Moreno↓ 70'6.5 9FG. Mikautadze↓ 82'6.3

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Top stats

24%Possession76%

0.81Expected goals (xG)1.4

9Total shots19

2Shots on target6

1Big chances1

5Corners9

Shots

7Shots off target7

0Blocked shots6

4Shots inside box15

5Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed1

0.41Goals prevented-0.07

Attack

14Touches in box55

35Final third entries90

5Offsides4

8Free kicks15

2Fouled in final third4

Passing

197Passes649

145Accurate passes573

22/46 (48%)Long balls22/37 (59%)

2/13 (15%)Crosses6/22 (27%)

13Throw-ins33

Duels

47Duels53

37/82 (45%)Ground duels45/82 (55%)

13/25 (52%)Aerial duels12/25 (48%)

7/18 (39%)Dribbles11/25 (44%)

8Dispossessed8

Defending

22Tackles19

64Tackles won68

17Interceptions7

47Clearances17

48Recoveries37

Discipline

15Fouls8

3Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

6Saves1

1Big saves1

10Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Alavés 31%

27%

Villarreal 42%

1X2Villarreal to win 42% · 2.60 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.20 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.04 @ 1xBet

Who winsAlavés to win (DNB) 56% · 2.30 @ Betsson

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.42 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.70 @ 10bet

1X2Alavés to win 31% · 3.32 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.10

Deportivo Alavés

3.50

Draw

2.25

Villarreal

Double Chanceconsensus

1.62

Deportivo Alavés or Draw

1.29

Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal

1.34

Draw or Villarreal

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.64

Yes

2.15

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.90

YES

1.22

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

3.20

YES

1.30

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.25

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.10

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

11.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.02

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.97

Over 3.50

1.38

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.20

Deportivo Alavés

1.61

Villarreal

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.26

Over 7.50

3.35

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.48

Over 8.50

2.47

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.79

Over 9.50

1.90

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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