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José Mourinho
Real Madrid
Málaga CF
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Málaga CF
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1569040 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.1%
-2.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.1%
+2.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.8%
+1.7 vs price
Half time
45222 EUR · live
Home
1.08 · implied 92.6%
94.5%
+1.9 vs price
Away
500.0 · implied 0.2%
3.6%
+3.4 vs price
Draw
17.5 · implied 5.7%
1.8%
-3.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
68012 EUR · live
Over
1.05 · implied 95.2%
84.0%
-11.2 vs price
Under
20.0 · implied 5.0%
16.0%
+11.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
21213 EUR · live
Under
1.32 · implied 75.8%
79.4%
+3.6 vs price
Over
4.2 · implied 23.8%
20.6%
-3.2 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
19'
⚽
J. Bellingham1–0
26'
⚽
A. Herrero2–0
30'
⚽
K. Mbappé · assist T. Alexander-Arnold3–0
Half-time · 3–0
46'
🔁
P. Martínez ◂ R. Rodríguez
60'
🔁
J. Salinas ◂ C. Puga
61'
🔁
J. Cruz ◂ J. Muñoz
65'
🔁
Y. Diomande ◂ B. Díaz
66'
Chupete · Foul
74'
🔁
H. Abaida ◂ E. Galilea
77'
🔁
B. Silva ◂ F. Valverde
86'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · H. Abaida
87'
🔁
R. Enríquez ◂ I. Merino
87'
🔁
A. Güler ◂ J. Bellingham
Full-time · 4–0
90'+1
⚽
A. Güler · assist Vinícius Jr.4–0
90'+3
R. Enríquez · Foul
Coaches
Juan Funes 
Recent form
WHReal Sociedad4-1
WAEspanyol2-1
WAFC Schalke 043-0
WADeportivo de A Coruña1-0
WAFerencváros TC2-1
DHDeportivo de A Coruña1-1
LAAtlético Madrid0-2
DHFulham2-2
LAAD Ceuta1-2
WHAl-Arabi SC4-2
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Bernabéu
City
Madrid
Kickoff
30 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
1
T. Courtois
6.8
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
7.9
22
A. Rüdiger
7.5
4
D. Huijsen
7.1
17
M. Cucurella
7.2
20
B. Silva
6.5
↑ 77'
6
E. Camavinga
6.9
25
Y. Diomande
7.0
↑ 65'
15
A. Güler
7.6
↑ 87'
7
Vinícius Jr.
7.5
10
K. Mbappé
9.1
1
A. Herrero
7.1
12
J. Salinas
6.3
↑ 60'
15
Á. Recio
6.3
7
H. Abaida
6.7
↑ 74'
31
R. Garrido
5.9
10
D. Larrubia
6.9
18
P. Martínez
6.5
↑ 46'
6
R. Enríquez
↑ 87'
19
J. Cruz
6.4
↑ 61'
9
Chupete
6.8
8
C. Dotor
6.6
Substitutes
13GA. Lunin
31GJ. Navarro
16DI. Konaté
18DÁ. Carreras
33DM. Rivas
5MJ. Bellingham↓ 87'8.5
8MF. Valverde↓ 77'7.1
21MB. Díaz↓ 65'6.6
24MD. Dumfries
29MJ. Cestero
36MA. Ciria
19FC. Espí
Coach: José Mourinho
Top stats
56%Possession44%
2.62Expected goals (xG)0.71
19Total shots14
8Shots on target1
4Big chances0
9Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target7
7Blocked shots6
14Shots inside box6
5Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.05Goals prevented-0.74
Attack
44Touches in box14
64Final third entries52
2Offsides1
9Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
599Passes464
549Accurate passes407
25/48 (52%)Long balls18/34 (53%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses1/7 (14%)
15Throw-ins7
Duels
58Duels42
37/66 (56%)Ground duels29/66 (44%)
5/7 (71%)Aerial duels2/7 (29%)
16/25 (64%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles14
58Tackles won64
10Interceptions7
9Clearances15
45Recoveries46
Discipline
6Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
0Big saves2
9Goal kicks4
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Real Madrid to win 86% · 1.33 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 73% · 2.75 @ William Hill
Who winsReal Madrid to win (DNB) 79% · 1.03 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 88% · 1.57 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.79 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.48 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.28 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 9% · 4.60 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 50% · 2.17 @ 1xBet
1X2Málaga to win 5% · 12.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.11
Real Madrid
10.00
Draw
20.19
Málaga CF
Double Chanceconsensus
1.02
Real Madrid or Draw
1.06
Real Madrid or Málaga CF
6.50
Draw or Málaga CF
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.00
Yes
1.75
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
1.73
YES
2.00
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
15.00
YES
1.02
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
1.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
32.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
30.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.05
Over 1.50
8.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.28
Over 2.50
3.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.73
Over 3.50
2.13
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.59
Over 4.50
1.46
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.01
Real Madrid
16.00
Málaga CF
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.53
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.98
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Real Madrid to win or draw
✓
95% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
88% confidence
Real Madrid win
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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