Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid — live & stats

Where the money is

3846503 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2155344 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

92.2%

-6.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.1%

+4.0 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.8%

+3.7 vs price

Half time 6433 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

72.9%

-26.1 vs price

Draw 300.0 · implied 0.3%

14.0%

+13.7 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

13.1%

+13.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 97433 EUR · live

Over 1.18 · implied 84.7%

51.3%

-33.5 vs price

Under 6.4 · implied 15.6%

48.7%

+33.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 58489 EUR · live

Under 1.59 · implied 62.9%

88.8%

+25.9 vs price

Over 2.68 · implied 37.3%

11.2%

-26.1 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

4' ⚽ A. Baena · assist K. Lee0–1

26' ⚽ A. Lookman · assist P. Barrios0–2

33' ⚽ A. Baena · assist M. Llorente0–3

Half-time · 0–3

45'⁺⁴ M. Llorente · Foul

55' 🔁 G. Kochorashvili ◂ J. Guridi

55' 🔁 C. Ejuke ◂ J. Díaz

66' ⚽ Miguel Sierra · assist R. Ure1–3

66' 🔁 A. Ortiz ◂ A. Lookman

66' 🔁 J. M. Giménez ◂ M. Llorente

68' 🔁 I. Romero ◂ P. Fernández

72' 🔁 Koke ◂ K. Lee

80' 🔁 A. González ◂ Miguel Sierra

85' 🔁 R. Mendoza ◂ A. Baena

85' 🔁 J. Cardoso ◂ M. Hjulmand

89' I. Romero · Foul

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺¹ G. Suazo · Foul

90'⁺⁵ Pubill · Foul

Coaches

Luis Garcia

Diego Simeone

Recent form

Sevilla

WAAthletic Club3-1

WHRayo Vallecano2-1

LABayer 04 Leverkusen1-2

WAFC Utrecht1-0

WANEC Nijmegen2-1

Atlético Madrid

DHVillarreal2-2

WHMálaga CF2-0

WAOlympique de Marseille2-1

LAManchester City1-3

LAManchester United1-2

Where to watch

Disney+ PremiumM+ LaLiga TV

Match facts

Stadium

Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

City

Seville

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas

3.89 yellows/match · 35 matches

Kickoff

29 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Sevilla 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 Atlético Madrid

1 O. Vlachodimos 5.7 2 J. Iglesias 6.6 5 A. Castrin 6.7 4 K. Salas 6.8 17 G. Suazo 6.0 6 L. Agoumé 6.8 8 G. Kochorashvili 6.9 ↑ 55' 7 A. González 6.5 ↑ 80' 16 I. Romero 6.2 ↑ 68' 21 C. Ejuke 7.5 ↑ 55' 9 R. Ure 6.2 13 J. Oblak 6.6 2 J. M. Giménez 6.4 ↑ 66' 18 Pubill 6.6 17 D. Hancko 7.3 22 A. Grimaldo 6.5 20 G. Simeone 6.1 8 P. Barrios 7.6 5 J. Cardoso 6.8 ↑ 85' 16 A. Ortiz 6.6 ↑ 66' 6 Koke 6.6 ↑ 72' 4 R. Mendoza 6.4 ↑ 85'

Top stats

42%Possession58%

0.9Expected goals (xG)0.93

20Total shots12

5Shots on target5

1Big chances2

4Corners2

Shots

9Shots off target3

6Blocked shots4

11Shots inside box9

9Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed1

-1.76Goals prevented-0.32

Attack

28Touches in box16

66Final third entries49

1Offsides1

16Free kicks20

3Fouled in final third3

Passing

364Passes530

293Accurate passes454

25/47 (53%)Long balls31/62 (50%)

6/23 (26%)Crosses1/5 (20%)

20Throw-ins15

Duels

47Duels53

39/84 (46%)Ground duels45/84 (54%)

16/34 (47%)Aerial duels18/34 (53%)

12/18 (67%)Dribbles10/17 (59%)

9Dispossessed5

Defending

12Tackles15

50Tackles won53

5Interceptions12

12Clearances31

42Recoveries41

Discipline

20Fouls16

2Yellow cards2

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

0Big saves3

4Goal kicks11

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Sevilla 26%

28%

Atlético Madrid 45%

Who winsAtlético Madrid to win (DNB) 57% · 1.40 @ Novibet

1X2Atlético Madrid to win 45% · 2.45 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 2.00 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.18 @ 10bet

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.75 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.36 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Unibet

1X2Sevilla to win 26% · 4.20 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.10

Sevilla

3.40

Draw

1.95

Atlético Madrid

Double Chanceconsensus

1.80

Sevilla or Draw

1.30

Sevilla or Atlético Madrid

1.25

Draw or Atlético Madrid

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.85

Yes

1.85

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.90

YES

1.22

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

2.75

YES

1.40

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.78

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.45

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.34

Over 1.50

3.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.06

Over 2.50

1.76

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.49

Over 3.50

1.27

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.70

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.88

Sevilla

1.38

Atlético Madrid

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.20

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.54

Over 8.50

2.29

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.93

Over 9.50

1.81

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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