Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid — live & stats

Where the money is

1608779 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 893166 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

66.5%

-32.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

26.8%

+26.7 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.7%

+6.6 vs price

Half time 1649 EUR · live

Draw 2.14 · implied 46.7%

48.3%

+1.6 vs price

Away 3.4 · implied 29.4%

28.2%

-1.3 vs price

Home 4.1 · implied 24.4%

23.5%

-0.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 295313 EUR · live

Under 1.39 · implied 71.9%

76.9%

+4.9 vs price

Over 3.7 · implied 27.0%

23.1%

-3.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 4113 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

90.1%

-3.3 vs price

Over 16.0 · implied 6.2%

9.8%

+3.6 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

39' K. Lee · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' ⚽ N. Williams1–0

46' 🔁 A. Paredes ◂ Y. Álvarez

48' ⚽ R. Navarro · assist I. Williams2–0

58' 🔁 A. Ortiz ◂ A. Lookman

59' 🔁 J. Álvarez ◂ K. Lee

59' 🔁 C. Romero ◂ G. Simeone

59' 🔁 Koke ◂ M. Hjulmand

60' 🔁 M. Jauregizar ◂ I. R. d. Galarreta

66' 🔁 Á. Berenguer ◂ I. Williams

66' 🔁 J. L. Jean ◂ R. Navarro

76' 🔁 G. Guruzeta ◂ N. Williams

76' 🔁 J. Cardoso ◂ A. Baena

Full-time · 3–0

90' ⚽ O. Sancet3–0

Coaches

Edin Terzić

Diego Simeone

Recent form

Athletic Club

WACelta Vigo2-0

LAFC Barcelona0-2

LHSevilla1-3

LAAtalanta0-1

LAOlympique de Marseille1-3

Atlético Madrid

WASevilla3-1

DHVillarreal2-2

WHMálaga CF2-0

WAOlympique de Marseille2-1

LAManchester City1-3

Where to watch

Disney+ PremiumM+ LaLiga TV

Match facts

Stadium

San Mamés

City

Bilbao

Referee

José Luis Munuera Montero

3.71 yellows/match · 34 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 14:15 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Athletic Club 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 Atlético Madrid

1 U. Simón 9.1 12 J. Areso 7.3 4 A. Paredes 7.2 ↑ 46' 14 A. Laporte 7.2 17 Y. Berchiche 7.0 18 M. Jauregizar 6.9 ↑ 60' 24 B. Gerenabarrena 6.6 31 J. L. Jean 6.8 ↑ 66' 8 O. Sancet 8.0 11 G. Guruzeta 6.5 ↑ 76' 7 Á. Berenguer 6.5 ↑ 66' 13 J. Oblak 5.8 14 M. Llorente 6.2 18 Pubill 6.3 17 D. Hancko 6.4 22 A. Grimaldo 6.6 21 C. Romero 6.7 ↑ 59' 8 P. Barrios 7.0 6 Koke 6.9 ↑ 59' 16 A. Ortiz 6.2 ↑ 58' 19 J. Álvarez 6.8 ↑ 59' 5 J. Cardoso 6.6 ↑ 76'

Top stats

38%Possession62%

1.41Expected goals (xG)1.02

11Total shots15

4Shots on target5

3Big chances0

3Corners8

Shots

4Shots off target9

3Blocked shots1

8Shots inside box10

3Shots outside box5

0Hit woodwork2

3Big chances scored0

1.24Goals prevented-1.77

Attack

16Touches in box36

38Final third entries76

0Offsides2

6Free kicks8

1Fouled in final third1

Passing

387Passes631

316Accurate passes571

22/46 (48%)Long balls30/46 (65%)

2/10 (20%)Crosses3/20 (15%)

13Throw-ins31

Duels

55Duels45

35/62 (56%)Ground duels27/62 (44%)

7/15 (47%)Aerial duels8/15 (53%)

8/12 (67%)Dribbles13/26 (50%)

4Dispossessed8

Defending

21Tackles8

57Tackles won63

14Interceptions13

28Clearances18

42Recoveries48

Discipline

8Fouls6

0Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

5Saves1

15Goal kicks6

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 20 bookmakers

Athletic Club 31%

28%

Atlético Madrid 41%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.85 @ betfair

1X2Atlético Madrid to win 41% · 2.75 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.50 @ betfair

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.60 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.12 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ betfair

Who winsAthletic Club to win (DNB) 53% · 2.15 @ Betsson

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet

1X2Athletic Club to win 31% · 3.34 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.05

Athletic Club

3.40

Draw

2.30

Atlético Madrid

Double Chanceconsensus

1.57

Athletic Club or Draw

1.30

Athletic Club or Atlético Madrid

1.38

Draw or Atlético Madrid

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.08

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

3.75

YES

1.22

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

3.10

YES

1.33

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.12

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.28

Over 1.50

3.52

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.92

Over 2.50

1.92

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.34

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.09

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.10

Athletic Club

1.69

Atlético Madrid

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.45

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.44

Over 8.50

2.55

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.76

Over 9.50

1.96

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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