Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Alavés are rolling at the perfect time, but Osasuna's been solid on the road** — this is a clash between two teams finding their rhythm in La Liga, and the home advantage could be the decider. 🔥
Alavés have won three of their last five and look genuinely sharp at Mendizorroza, while Osasuna are battle-tested but missing three players. The bookmakers still fancy the visitors given their H2H edge, but don't sleep on a side that just dismantled Getafe 3-0.
Key storylines:
- **Alavés' attacking spark** — **L. Boyé** and **M. Díaz** have been clinical; Osasuna's back line will be under real pressure
- **Osasuna's injury headache** — missing **A. Oroz**, **J. Herrando**, and **R. Moro** is a genuine blow to their balance
- **5-3-2 vs 4-2-3-1 chess match** — Alavés' wing-back system could exploit wide spaces if **I. Arguibide** and **A. Bretones** get caught high
Expected lineups:
- **Deportivo Alavés**: A. Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, J. Otto, Á. Pérez, A. Blanco, P. Ibáñez, D. Suárez, L. Boyé, M. Díaz
- **Osasuna**: S. Herrera, A. Bretones, A. Catena, E. Boyomo, I. Muñoz, J. Moncayola, K. Barja, M. Gómez, R. García, A. Budimir
Prediction:
**Alavés 2–1 Osasuna** — slight lean to the hosts with momentum and injuries working in their favor. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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