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Manuel Pellegrini
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Real Betis
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Real Madrid
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
3567978 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
78.4%
+78.2 vs price
Home
1.1 · implied 90.9%
16.3%
-74.6 vs price
Draw
12.5 · implied 8.0%
5.9%
-2.1 vs price
Half time
15719 EUR · live
Away
2.38 · implied 42.0%
82.6%
+40.6 vs price
Home
8.0 · implied 12.5%
9.4%
-3.1 vs price
Draw
2.2 · implied 45.5%
8.0%
-37.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
362064 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
70.3%
-28.7 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
30.3%
+29.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9450 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
81.1%
-14.2 vs price
Over
19.5 · implied 5.1%
18.9%
+13.8 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
39'
🔁
M. Bartra ◂ D. Llorente
Half-time · 0–0
45'+3
A. Güler · Foul
54'
I. Konaté · Foul
54'
J. Mourinho · Argument
60'
🔁
Á. Fidalgo ◂ Isco
61'
E. Camavinga · Foul
64'
🔁
Y. Diomande ◂ A. Güler
64'
🔁
T. Alexander-Arnold ◂ D. Dumfries
64'
🔁
B. Silva ◂ E. Camavinga
64'
F. Bernal · Foul
68'
🔁
T. Parrott ◂ C. Hernández
68'
🔁
N. Deossa ◂ F. Bernal
77'
🔁
R. Riquelme ◂ Antony
81'
⚽
T. Parrott1–0
82'
🔁
C. Espí ◂ F. Valverde
83'
M. Roca · Argument
88'
🔁
Á. Carreras ◂ M. Cucurella
89'
VAR
Goal not given after review · C. Espí
Full-time · 1–0
90'+3
Natan · Foul
90'+9
Vinícius Jr. · Argument
Coaches
José Mourinho 
Recent form
LALevante UD2-5
WAValencia1-0
WHReal Sociedad1-0
LAInter0-1
DHBournemouth2-2
WHMálaga CF4-0
WHReal Sociedad4-1
WAEspanyol2-1
WAFC Schalke 043-0
WADeportivo de A Coruña1-0
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio de la Cartuja
City
Seville
Kickoff
04 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
1
Á. Valles
10.0
2
H. Bellerín
7.4
5
M. Bartra
7.9
↑ 39'
4
Natan
7.5
11
F. Garcia
7.5
18
N. Deossa
6.6
↑ 68'
21
M. Roca
7.2
17
R. Riquelme
6.5
↑ 77'
15
Á. Fidalgo
6.8
↑ 60'
8
P. Fornals
7.2
19
T. Parrott
7.2
↑ 68'
1
T. Courtois
6.7
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
6.5
↑ 64'
16
I. Konaté
6.5
4
D. Huijsen
7.7
18
Á. Carreras
6.9
↑ 88'
19
C. Espí
6.4
↑ 82'
20
B. Silva
6.6
↑ 64'
25
Y. Diomande
6.5
↑ 64'
5
J. Bellingham
7.1
7
Vinícius Jr.
7.0
10
K. Mbappé
6.0
Substitutes
31GM. González
40GÁ. d. Pablo
3DD. Llorente↓ 39'6.9
16DV. Gómez
12DÁ. Ortiz
23DJ. Firpo
6MF. Bernal↓ 68'7.0
7MAntony↓ 77'6.9
22MIsco↓ 60'6.6
27MJ. Morante
14MI. Losada
9FC. Hernández↓ 68'6.4
Coach: Manuel Pellegrini
Top stats
42%Possession58%
0.93Expected goals (xG)3.46
10Total shots20
5Shots on target8
1Big chances7
6Corners10
Shots
2Shots off target9
3Blocked shots3
4Shots inside box16
6Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork3
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed7
2.98Goals prevented-0.08
Attack
18Touches in box51
37Final third entries87
1Offsides2
13Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
412Passes585
359Accurate passes536
16/34 (47%)Long balls28/41 (68%)
1/18 (6%)Crosses8/27 (30%)
11Throw-ins14
Duels
55Duels45
41/72 (57%)Ground duels31/72 (43%)
5/12 (42%)Aerial duels7/12 (58%)
2/7 (29%)Dribbles14/29 (48%)
1Dispossessed11
Defending
26Tackles6
54Tackles won83
8Interceptions4
21Clearances16
50Recoveries52
Discipline
11Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
6Saves4
3Big saves1
7Goal kicks3
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Real Madrid to win 67% · 1.73 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 2.88 @ William Hill
Who winsReal Madrid to win (DNB) 56% · 1.20 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.60 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 18% · 3.36 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
1X2Real Betis to win 14% · 5.50 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
6.21
Real Betis
5.10
Draw
1.44
Real Madrid
Double Chanceconsensus
2.77
Real Betis or Draw
1.15
Real Betis or Real Madrid
1.12
Draw or Real Madrid
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.50
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.50
YES
1.11
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.60
YES
1.44
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
14.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.88
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.38
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.36
Over 2.50
3.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.97
Over 3.50
1.83
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.11
Over 4.50
1.35
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.50
Real Betis
1.17
Real Madrid
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.77
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50
2.14
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Real Madrid to win or draw
✗
86% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✗
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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