1610736 EUR matched · captured 3 days, 4 hours ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds875857 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
65.2%
-31.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
27.8%
+27.7 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
7.1%
+2.3 vs price
Half time3452 EUR · live
Draw
4.9 · implied 20.4%
51.9%
+31.5 vs price
Away
1.3 · implied 76.9%
32.9%
-44.0 vs price
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
15.2%
+11.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals112016 EUR · live
Over
1.3 · implied 76.9%
65.9%
-11.0 vs price
Under
4.3 · implied 23.3%
34.1%
+10.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals5151 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
86.5%
-2.8 vs price
Over
8.0 · implied 12.5%
13.5%
+1.0 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
7'N. Tenaglia· Foul
8'P. Ibáñez· Foul
18'⚽V. Koski0–1
35'Y. Zabiri· Argument
38'⚽Y. Zabiri· assist I. Vicente1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'🔁N. Valentini◂ N. Tenaglia
46'🔁C. Benavídez◂ P. Ibáñez
53'⚽Y. Zabiri2–1
62'J. Salinas· Argument
62'A. Blanco· Argument
65'🔁A. Almeida◂ P. García
67'🔁T. Martínez◂ M. Díaz
67'🔁C. Aleñá◂ A. Blanco
74'🔁I. Luque◂ S. Canales
74'🔁G. Guliashvili◂ Y. Zabiri
83'🔁A. Villalibre◂ I. Vicente
83'🔁M. Gueye◂ M. Prati
86'🔁A. Mañas◂ Á. Pérez
88'VARCard check· A. Almeida
89'A. Almeida· Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'+7🔁M. Rodríguez◂ A. Mañas
90'+7🔁P. Felipe◂ G. Guliashvili
Coaches
José Alberto López
Quique Sánchez Flores
Recent form
Real Racing Club
LARayo Vallecano2-3
WHElche3-2
LAGetafe0-1
DHVillarreal2-2
DHDeportivo Alavés1-1
Deportivo Alavés
WHOsasuna5-2
WHVillarreal1-0
DARayo Vallecano1-1
WHGetafe3-0
DAReal Racing Club1-1
About this match
**Alavés are absolutely rolling, but Racing's home fortress could be trouble.** One's won three straight; the other's been all over the map. 🔴
Racing have the fortress factor at El Sardinero but can't string wins together, while Alavés keep finding ways to nick results — even grinding out a draw at Rayo. Form says visitors, but home-field edge and the head-to-head balance (dead even over 15 meetings) muddies the picture.
Key storylines:
- **S. Canales and I. Vicente** need to spark Racing's attack and finally give their shaky defense some breathing room at home - **Alavés' defensive depth** took a hit with F. Garcés, M. Rodríguez and M. Rodriguez all out, but they've hidden it well so far - **Racing's inconsistency** — drawing with Elche then losing to Getafe — makes them vulnerable to a team in Alavés' rhythm 🎯
Expected lineups:
- **Real Racing Club**: J. Agirrezabala, J. Salinas, M. Hernando, F. González, A. Mantilla, G. Puerta, S. Martínez - **Deportivo Alavés**: A. Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, J. Otto, X. Olaiz, Á. Pérez, L. Boyé, T. Martínez
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Racing's home form stabilizes but can't break Alavés' stubborn shape. Lean toward a point apiece given the perfectly balanced history and Alavés' refusal to lose.
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed
quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the
published calls at 86.7%.
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