Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Quique Sánchez Flores
Deportivo Alavés
Valencia**Alavés are flying, Valencia are in freefall.** This is the ultimate mismatch on paper — one team riding a three-win streak, the other just got demolished 5-0 at home. 🔥
Alavés have looked sharp at Mendizorroza, crushing Osasuna 5-2 and edging Villarreal. Valencia, meanwhile, are leaking goals everywhere and have won zero of their last five. The visitors are absolutely ravaged by injuries too — five players out, including key defensive pieces.
Key storylines:
- **Alavés' home form vs Valencia's defensive chaos** — the hosts have scored 6 goals in two home games this stretch
- **L. Boyé and M. Díaz's attacking thrust** — Alavés' front two have been clinical; Valencia's backline is hanging by a thread
- **Pepelu and G. Rodríguez carrying the load** — Valencia need midfield creativity just to stay afloat
Expected lineups:
- **Deportivo Alavés**: A. Sivera, V. Koski, J. Otto, N. Tenaglia, Á. Pérez, A. Blanco, A. Rebbach, L. Boyé, M. Díaz
- **Valencia**: S. Dimitrievski, A. Martínez, J. L. Gayà, I. Córdoba, A. P. Olmo, Pepelu, G. Rodríguez, A. Danjuma
Prediction:
**Alavés 2–0 Valencia**. Valencia's injury crisis and form make them sitting ducks for a red-hot Alavés side playing at home. 🎯
Deportivo Alavés
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Valencia
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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