Málaga CF 1-3 Villarreal: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Málaga CF 1-3 Villarreal.

90+5'

Villarreal

Offside, Villarreal.

90+2'

C. Romero

Attempt blocked. C. Romero (Villarreal), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+2'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

86'

P. Gueye

Goal! Málaga CF 1-3 Villarreal. P. Gueye (Villarreal) converts the penalty.

85'

A. Herrero

Yellow card for A. Herrero (Málaga CF) for foul.

82'

A. Niño

Attempt missed. A. Niño (Málaga CF), header from a corner. xG 0.29.

82'

C. Romero

VAR check complete: the goal for Villarreal stands.

82'

Málaga CF

Offside, Málaga CF.

81'

Málaga CF

Corner, Málaga CF.

80'

A. Moleiro

Substitution, Villarreal: S. Mouriño comes on for A. Moleiro.

80'

N. Saliba

Substitution, Villarreal: C. Macia comes on for N. Saliba.

79'

R. Enríquez

Yellow card for R. Enríquez (Málaga CF) for foul.

77'

J. Muñoz

Attempt missed. J. Muñoz (Málaga CF), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

76'

Málaga CF

Corner, Málaga CF.

75'

P. Martínez

Attempt missed. P. Martínez (Málaga CF), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

75'

C. Puga

Substitution, Málaga CF: R. Enríquez comes on for C. Puga.

73'

Málaga CF

Corner, Málaga CF.

73'

T. Buchanan

Attempt missed. T. Buchanan (Villarreal), header. xG 0.39.

70'

E. Galilea

Yellow card for E. Galilea (Málaga CF) for foul.

69'

G. Mikautadze

Off the woodwork! G. Mikautadze (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.43.

68'

D. Larrubia

Yellow card for D. Larrubia (Málaga CF) for argument.

65'

Chupete

Attempt missed. Chupete (Málaga CF), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

63'

A. Pérez

Substitution, Villarreal: G. Mikautadze comes on for A. Pérez.

63'

I. Akhomach

Substitution, Villarreal: C. Romero comes on for I. Akhomach.

61'

I. Merino

Substitution, Málaga CF: J. Muñoz comes on for I. Merino.

61'

C. Dotor

Substitution, Málaga CF: A. Niño comes on for C. Dotor.

55'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

54'

A. Pérez

Cleared off the line! A. Pérez (Villarreal), header. xG 0.41.

52'

Villarreal

Offside, Villarreal.

50'

Málaga CF

Corner, Málaga CF.

46'

J. Cruz

Substitution, Málaga CF: D. Lorenzo comes on for J. Cruz.

46'

J. Salinas

Substitution, Málaga CF: R. Garrido comes on for J. Salinas.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Málaga CF 1-2 Villarreal.

45+5'

A. Moleiro

Attempt saved. A. Moleiro (Villarreal), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

45+2'

P. Gueye

Goal! Málaga CF 1-2 Villarreal. P. Gueye (Villarreal) scores, assisted by A. Pérez.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

42'

I. Akhomach

Yellow card for I. Akhomach (Villarreal) for foul.

40'

A. Moleiro

Goal! Málaga CF 1-1 Villarreal. A. Moleiro (Villarreal) scores, assisted by I. Akhomach.

39'

A. Moleiro

Attempt missed. A. Moleiro (Villarreal), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

37'

R. Veiga

Attempt missed. R. Veiga (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

37'

S. Comesaña

Substitution, Villarreal: P. Gueye comes on for S. Comesaña.

35'

Villarreal

Offside, Villarreal.

34'

J. Salinas

Yellow card for J. Salinas (Málaga CF) for foul.

28'

T. Buchanan

Attempt saved. T. Buchanan (Villarreal), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

28'

A. Pérez

Attempt missed. A. Pérez (Villarreal), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.21.

28'

I. Akhomach

Attempt saved. I. Akhomach (Villarreal), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

28'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

27'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

26'

S. Cardona

Attempt blocked. S. Cardona (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

24'

A. Pérez

Attempt blocked. A. Pérez (Villarreal), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

23'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

12'

C. Dotor

Goal! Málaga CF 1-0 Villarreal. C. Dotor (Málaga CF) scores, assisted by J. Cruz.

3'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

2'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

2'

S. Cardona

Attempt blocked. S. Cardona (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Málaga CF vs Villarreal.

Where the money is

3266256 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1869203 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

79.0%

-20.1 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

14.0%

+13.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.1%

+7.0 vs price

Half time 24904 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

48.0%

-51.0 vs price

Home 360.0 · implied 0.3%

33.5%

+33.2 vs price

Draw 50.0 · implied 2.0%

18.5%

+16.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 72124 EUR · live

Over 1.22 · implied 82.0%

56.4%

-25.6 vs price

Under 5.3 · implied 18.9%

43.6%

+24.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 49477 EUR · live

Under 1.08 · implied 92.6%

94.1%

+1.5 vs price

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

5.9%

-3.2 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

12' ⚽ C. Dotor · assist J. Cruz1–0

34' J. Salinas · Foul

37' 🔁 P. Gueye ◂ S. Comesaña

40' ⚽ A. Moleiro · assist I. Akhomach1–1

42' I. Akhomach · Foul

Half-time · 1–2

45'⁺² ⚽ P. Gueye · assist A. Pérez1–2

46' 🔁 R. Garrido ◂ J. Salinas

46' 🔁 D. Lorenzo ◂ J. Cruz

61' 🔁 A. Niño ◂ C. Dotor

61' 🔁 J. Muñoz ◂ I. Merino

63' 🔁 C. Romero ◂ I. Akhomach

63' 🔁 G. Mikautadze ◂ A. Pérez

68' D. Larrubia · Argument

70' E. Galilea · Foul

75' 🔁 R. Enríquez ◂ C. Puga

79' R. Enríquez · Foul

80' 🔁 C. Macia ◂ N. Saliba

80' 🔁 S. Mouriño ◂ A. Moleiro

82' VAR Goal not given after review · C. Romero

85' A. Herrero · Foul

86' ⚽ P. Gueye (pen)1–3

Full-time · 1–3

Coaches

Juan Funes

Iñigo Pérez

Recent form

Málaga CF

DACelta Vigo1-1

DHLevante UD0-0

LAReal Madrid0-4

DHDeportivo de A Coruña1-1

LAAtlético Madrid0-2

Villarreal

LHReal Betis1-2

LABorussia Dortmund2-3

LHDeportivo de A Coruña2-3

LADeportivo Alavés0-1

DAAtlético Madrid2-2

About this match

**Málaga need a spark badly, and Villarreal are in freefall** — this is a clash between two sides desperately hunting their first win of the season. 🔥

Málaga have mustered just draws lately (three of their last five), while Villarreal's form is genuinely alarming: one draw, four losses including a humbling at home to Deportivo. Neither team screams "confident," but the home crowd at La Rosaleda could tip the balance.

Key storylines:

- **Málaga's midfield stability** hinges on D. Larrubia controlling tempo against a Villarreal side that's leaking goals in bunches
- **Villarreal's attack** — G. Mikautadze and N. Pépé — must finally click; they've fired blanks in recent weeks
- **Málaga's familiarity edge** in the H2H (9 wins vs 12) gives them psychological lift despite current form woes

Expected lineups:

- **Málaga CF**: A. Herrero, Á. Recio, R. Garrido, E. Galilea, C. Puga, D. Larrubia, D. Lorenzo, I. Merino, J. Muñoz, P. Martínez, Chupete
- **Villarreal**: L. Júnior, S. Cardona, R. Veiga, P. Navarro, S. Mouriño, A. Moleiro, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, N. Pépé, G. Mikautadze, A. Pérez

Prediction:

**Málaga 1–1 Villarreal**. Both teams are too fragile to pull away; a draw feels honest, though Málaga's home turf gives them a slight lean. 📍

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport GOtv LaLigaSuperSport LaLiga

Match facts

Stadium

La Rosaleda

City

Malaga

Referee

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

3.68 yellows/match · 34 matches

Kickoff

17 Sep, 19:30 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Málaga CF 4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2 Villarreal

1 A. Herrero 6.3 6 R. Enríquez 6.4 ↑ 75' 15 Á. Recio 8.0 4 E. Galilea 6.7 31 R. Garrido 7.0 ↑ 46' 11 J. Muñoz 6.4 ↑ 61' 22 D. Lorenzo 6.7 ↑ 46' 10 D. Larrubia 6.3 21 A. Niño 6.1 ↑ 61' 18 P. Martínez 6.4 9 Chupete 6.8 25 P. Gulácsi 6.5 3 A. Freeman 7.1 6 P. Navarro 6.8 12 R. Veiga 7.1 23 S. Cardona 7.0 20 C. Romero 6.7 ↑ 63' 15 S. Mouriño 6.8 ↑ 80' 18 P. Gueye 8.9 ↑ 37' 17 T. Buchanan 7.3 16 C. Macia 7.1 ↑ 80' 9 G. Mikautadze 6.4 ↑ 63'

Top stats

37%Possession63%

0.63Expected goals (xG)3.33

5Total shots16

1Shots on target7

0Big chances7

4Corners8

Shots

4Shots off target5

0Blocked shots4

4Shots inside box12

1Shots outside box4

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored3

0Big chances missed4

-0.23Goals prevented-0.08

Attack

8Touches in box41

30Final third entries82

1Offsides3

10Free kicks16

0Fouled in final third7

Passing

347Passes598

281Accurate passes538

18/43 (42%)Long balls34/51 (67%)

1/12 (8%)Crosses6/19 (32%)

21Throw-ins12

Duels

49Duels51

44/84 (52%)Ground duels40/84 (48%)

3/11 (27%)Aerial duels8/11 (73%)

8/17 (47%)Dribbles11/27 (41%)

3Dispossessed10

Defending

26Tackles12

81Tackles won58

8Interceptions7

26Clearances13

42Recoveries49

Discipline

17Fouls10

5Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves0

2Big saves0

6Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Málaga 27%

25%

Villarreal 48%

1X2Villarreal to win 48% · 2.38 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.88 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.70 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ William Hill

Who winsMálaga to win (DNB) 61% · 2.55 @ Betsson

1X2Draw 25% · 2.76 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

1X2Málaga to win 27% · 3.66 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.60

Málaga CF

3.75

Draw

1.95

Villarreal

Double Chanceconsensus

1.84

Málaga CF or Draw

1.25

Málaga CF or Villarreal

1.27

Draw or Villarreal

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.57

Yes

2.30

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.90

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.65

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.62

Over 2.50

2.33

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.40

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.50

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.45

Málaga CF

1.52

Villarreal

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.22

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.42

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.85

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.38

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.06

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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