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Benat San Jose
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Espanyol
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1791146 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.7%
-12.3 vs price
Draw
210.0 · implied 0.5%
8.4%
+7.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.9%
+4.8 vs price
Half time
3635 EUR · live
Home
1.26 · implied 79.4%
61.7%
-17.7 vs price
Draw
5.2 · implied 19.2%
27.2%
+8.0 vs price
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
11.1%
+8.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
379298 EUR · live
Under
3.8 · implied 26.3%
80.6%
+54.3 vs price
Over
1.36 · implied 73.5%
19.4%
-54.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8038 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
86.2%
-3.1 vs price
Over
9.0 · implied 11.1%
13.8%
+2.7 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
Á. García1–0
26'
⚽
A. Pedrosa · assist Á. García2–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'+2
U. López · Foul
46'
🔁
E. Expósito ◂ G. Moscardo
46'
🔁
B. Zaragoza ◂ R. Bauza
46'
🔁
M. Fernández ◂ R. Hinojo
54'
⚽
R. Fernández · assist J. Hernández2–1
61'
🔁
G. B. Samake ◂ U. López
61'
🔁
Ó. Valentín ◂ M. Sadick
63'
M. Fernández · Foul
67'
G. Tsitaishvili · Foul
70'
P. I. Ciss · Argument
74'
🔁
Á. Calatrava ◂ J. Hernández
76'
🔁
Alemão ◂ S. Camello
76'
🔁
F. Pérez ◂ G. Tsitaishvili
80'
G. B. Samake · Foul
84'
🔁
I. Balliu ◂ Á. García
84'
🔁
P. Lozano ◂ U. González
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
Alemão · Foul
90'+8
O. E. Hilali · Professional handball
Coaches
Benat San JoseManolo Gonzalez 
Recent form
Rayo VallecanoLAReal Madrid1-4
WHReal Racing Club3-2
LAFC Barcelona2-5
DHDeportivo Alavés1-1
LASevilla1-2
EspanyolWAOsasuna2-0
DHSevilla1-1
LAReal Sociedad1-2
LHReal Madrid1-2
WHLevante UD3-0
About this match
**Rayo's injury crisis meets Espanyol's hot streak** — this is the kind of mid-table scrap where absences matter, and Vallecano are running on fumes. 📉
Rayo have been battered lately (three losses in five, including heavy defeats to Madrid and Barça), while Espanyol are riding a two-win stretch and looking sharp on the road. The away side's got momentum; Vallecano's got a crowded medical room.
Key storylines:
- **Rayo Vallecano** are without five players including de Frutos and Palazón — depth will be tested hard
- **Espanyol's defensive shape** (Hilali, Hinojo, Núñez holding) has looked solid in recent wins
- **S. Camello** and **Á. García** need to spark something for Vallecano in attack or this gets ugly fast
Expected lineups:
- **Rayo Vallecano**: D. Cárdenas, A. Pedrosa, F. Lejeune, P. I. Ciss, A. Rațiu, U. López, Ó. Valentín, Á. García, P. Díaz, Alemão, S. Camello
- **Espanyol**: M. Dmitrović, O. E. Hilali, R. Hinojo, U. Núñez, C. Riedel, E. Expósito, T. Dolan, R. Fernández, J. Hernández, M. Fernández, B. Zaragoza
Prediction:
**Espanyol 2–1 Rayo Vallecano**
Espanyol's form and Vallecano's personnel problems give the visitors a slight edge on the road. 🎯
Where to watch
M+ LaLiga TV
ESPN +ESPN 2 ArgentinaESPN 2 Sur
Prime Video
Arena Sport Premium 1Sport Klub 1 HR
Prime Video
Canal+
Canal+
Canal+
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 2 Sur
BetanoPrime VideoYouTube - CazéTV
Canal+
Canal+
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 2 Sur
Canal+
Canal+
Nova Sport 4
DAZN
Canal+
ESPN 2 Sur
LaLiga TV (Bar)M+ LaLiga TVPrime Video
Canal+
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
Canal+
Canal+
Canal+
Canal+
ESPN +
ESPN Deportes
Canal+
ESPN +
Sport Klub 1 HR
Spíler2
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
DAZN
Canal+
ESPN Deportes
Canal+
ESPN +
Canal+
Canal+
ESPN +
TV2 PlayTV2 Sport PremiumViaplay
ESPN +
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN +ESPN 2 Sur
ESPN Deportes
ESPN +ESPN 2 Sur
Prima Sport 1
Arena Sport Premium 1
Canal+
Nova Sport 4
Canal+
Canal+
ESPN +
Canal+
Canal+
S Sport
MEGOGO Football 1
ESPN Deportes
ESPN +ESPN AppESPN DeportesPrime VideofuboTV
ESPN +ESPN 2 Sur
ESPN +
ESPN Deportes
S Sport
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
City
Leganes
Kickoff
15 Sep, 17:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Highlights & clips
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Espanyol
25
E. Audero
7.0
2
A. Rațiu
6.8
24
F. Lejeune
6.9
23
Ó. Valentín
7.4
↑ 61'
17
A. Pedrosa
8.1
36
G. B. Samake
6.6
↑ 61'
6
P. I. Ciss
7.7
21
F. Pérez
6.6
↑ 76'
4
P. Díaz
7.0
20
I. Balliu
6.7
↑ 84'
9
Alemão
6.6
↑ 76'
13
M. Dmitrović
6.3
23
O. E. Hilali
7.1
5
C. Riedel
6.6
6
L. Cabrera
6.0
8
E. Expósito
6.9
↑ 46'
10
P. Lozano
6.5
↑ 84'
18
M. Fernández
6.7
↑ 46'
22
Á. Calatrava
6.4
↑ 74'
15
B. Zaragoza
6.8
↑ 46'
3
Q. Hartman
7.2
9
R. Fernández
7.5
Top stats
55%Possession45%
1.52Expected goals (xG)1.49
16Total shots19
2Shots on target5
2Big chances1
3Corners5
Shots
10Shots off target7
4Blocked shots7
9Shots inside box12
7Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
0.39Goals prevented-0.84
Attack
21Touches in box35
55Final third entries51
0Offsides2
15Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
450Passes361
370Accurate passes285
30/76 (39%)Long balls26/49 (53%)
3/8 (38%)Crosses7/21 (33%)
19Throw-ins23
Duels
52Duels48
33/55 (60%)Ground duels22/55 (40%)
12/31 (39%)Aerial duels19/31 (61%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)
4Dispossessed9
Defending
15Tackles10
60Tackles won50
15Interceptions7
32Clearances22
50Recoveries40
Discipline
10Fouls15
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves0
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 2.10 @ betfair
Who winsRayo Vallecano to win (DNB) 66% · 1.70 @ Betano
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.65 @ betfair
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.30 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ Pinnacle
1X2Rayo Vallecano to win 43% · 2.60 @ Bet365
1X2Espanyol to win 29% · 3.90 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.20 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.74 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
3.40
Draw
3.15
Espanyol
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Rayo Vallecano or Draw
1.30
Rayo Vallecano or Espanyol
1.75
Draw or Espanyol
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.98
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.20
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.52
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.94
Over 2.50
1.87
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.36
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Rayo Vallecano
2.10
Espanyol
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
2.90
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.96
Over 9.50
1.82
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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