Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo — live & stats

Where the money is

3261576 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2232719 EUR · live

Home 40.0 · implied 2.5%

64.6%

+62.1 vs price

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

25.1%

-70.1 vs price

Away 48.0 · implied 2.1%

10.3%

+8.2 vs price

Half time 9218 EUR · live

Home 2.8 · implied 35.7%

74.3%

+38.5 vs price

Away 8.0 · implied 12.5%

15.1%

+2.6 vs price

Draw 1.96 · implied 51.0%

10.6%

-40.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 203804 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

76.1%

-22.9 vs price

Over 400.0 · implied 0.2%

23.9%

+23.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 12444 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

91.6%

-4.5 vs price

Over 27.0 · implied 3.7%

8.4%

+4.6 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

22' Y. Herrera · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

52' Y. Lago · Foul

57' M. Alonso · Foul

61' 🔁 L. Sučić ◂ T. Kubo

61' 🔁 J. Gorrotxategi ◂ Y. Herrera

63' 🔁 I. Aspas ◂ W. Swedberg

63' 🔁 P. Durán ◂ A. Antañón

69' 🔁 C. Driouech ◂ F. Jutglà

71' 🔁 A. Marchal ◂ A. Barrenetxea

71' 🔁 G. Guedes ◂ O. S. Óskarsson

79' C. Driouech · Foul

81' L. Sučić · Off the ball foul

84' 🔁 J. Rodríguez ◂ J. Rueda

84' 🔁 J. Galán ◂ A. Núñez

88' 🔁 C. Soler ◂ B. Turrientes

Full-time · 0–0

Coaches

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Claudio Giráldez

Recent form

Real Sociedad

WHEspanyol2-1

LAReal Madrid1-4

LAReal Betis0-1

LAChelsea1-3

LA1. FC Köln1-2

Celta Vigo

LHAthletic Club0-2

LHOsasuna1-2

DAValencia0-0

DASSC Napoli1-1

WASassuolo4-1

Where to watch

Disney+ PremiumM+ LaLiga TV

Match facts

Stadium

Reale Arena

City

San Sebastian

Referee

Victor Garcia Verdura

3.63 yellows/match · 27 matches

Kickoff

03 Sep, 19:00 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3 Celta Vigo

1 Á. Remiro 7.2 2 J. Aramburu 7.4 5 I. Zubeldia 7.2 6 J. Martin 7.0 17 S. Gómez 7.3 4 J. Gorrotxategi 6.8 ↑ 61' 18 C. Soler 6.6 ↑ 88' 24 L. Sučić 6.4 ↑ 61' 10 M. Oyarzabal 6.6 11 G. Guedes 6.9 ↑ 71' 29 A. Marchal 6.5 ↑ 71' 13 I. Radu 8.2 20 J. Rodríguez 6.7 ↑ 84' 18 Y. Lago 6.9 3 M. Alonso 7.5 22 J. Galán 6.7 ↑ 84' 8 M. Román 6.8 6 I. Moriba 7.1 5 S. Carreira 6.9 10 I. Aspas 6.7 ↑ 63' 24 C. Driouech 6.7 ↑ 69' 11 P. Durán 6.3 ↑ 63'

Substitutes

13GU. Marrero 34DL. Beitia 19DM. Sarr 22DH. Fort 3DA. Muñoz 8MB. Turrientes↓ 88'7.1 14MT. Kubo↓ 61'6.9 7MA. Barrenetxea↓ 71'6.9 21MY. Herrera↓ 61'6.7 12MJ. Ochieng 23MA. Zakharyan 9FO. S. Óskarsson↓ 71'6.8

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo

Substitutes

1GA. Bayındır 15DA. Núñez↓ 84'7.0 2DC. Starfelt 4DA. Faye 19MW. Swedberg↓ 63'6.9 17MJ. Rueda↓ 84'6.2 28MA. Antañón↓ 63'6.1 16MH. González 30MH. Burcio 23MH. Álvarez 9FF. Jutglà↓ 69'6.5 39FJ. El-Abdellaoui

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Top stats

51%Possession49%

1.05Expected goals (xG)0.43

16Total shots7

5Shots on target2

1Big chances1

11Corners3

Shots

3Shots off target3

8Blocked shots2

6Shots inside box3

10Shots outside box4

1Big chances missed1

0.11Goals prevented1.04

Attack

23Touches in box15

49Final third entries64

2Offsides1

11Free kicks15

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

526Passes522

452Accurate passes452

23/39 (59%)Long balls28/54 (52%)

3/25 (12%)Crosses0/10 (0%)

14Throw-ins15

Duels

57Duels43

40/71 (56%)Ground duels31/71 (44%)

14/23 (61%)Aerial duels9/23 (39%)

9/14 (64%)Dribbles3/13 (23%)

9Dispossessed10

Defending

20Tackles14

65Tackles won86

6Interceptions8

22Clearances25

50Recoveries52

Discipline

15Fouls11

2Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

0Big saves2

10Goal kicks4

1Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Real Sociedad 50%

27%

Celta 24%

Who winsReal Sociedad to win (DNB) 65% · 1.35 @ William Hill

1X2Real Sociedad to win 50% · 2.25 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 27% · 2.63 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.74 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.40 @ Unibet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.75 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.06 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle

1X2Celta to win 24% · 4.25 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.80

Real Sociedad

3.75

Draw

4.40

Celta Vigo

Double Chanceconsensus

1.21

Real Sociedad or Draw

1.25

Real Sociedad or Celta Vigo

1.91

Draw or Celta Vigo

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.73

Yes

2.02

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

2.65

YES

1.42

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

4.50

YES

1.17

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.27

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.75

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

11.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.72

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.85

Over 2.50

1.94

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.36

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.12

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.33

Real Sociedad

3.15

Celta Vigo

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.33

Over 7.50

2.82

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.64

Over 8.50

2.17

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.05

Over 9.50

1.70

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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