Attempt missed. A. Tchouaméni (Real Madrid), header from a corner. xG 0.04.
6'
Real Madrid
Corner, Real Madrid.
6'
D. Simeone
Yellow card for D. Simeone (Atlético Madrid) for argument.
1'
Atlético Madrid
Offside, Atlético Madrid.
1'
Kick-off: Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid.
Where the money is
4528762 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds2895059 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
55.5%
+55.4 vs price
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
39.4%
-58.6 vs price
Draw
55.0 · implied 1.8%
5.1%
+3.2 vs price
Half time7132 EUR · live
Away
2.8 · implied 35.7%
73.4%
+37.7 vs price
Home
4.3 · implied 23.3%
15.0%
-8.3 vs price
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
11.6%
-30.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals640518 EUR · live
Under
1.37 · implied 73.0%
72.4%
-0.6 vs price
Over
3.65 · implied 27.4%
27.6%
+0.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals16887 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
73.3%
-16.8 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
26.7%
+16.7 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'D. Simeone· Argument
35'Pubill· Foul
38'C. Romero· Foul
38'VARCard check· C. Romero
Half-time · 0–0
46'🔁Koke◂ Pubill
49'D. Dumfries· Argument
51'VARCard check· D. Huijsen
52'D. Huijsen· Professional foul last man
53'⚽A. Grimaldo(pen)1–0
54'🔁Y. Diomande◂ Vinícius Jr.
54'🔁A. Rüdiger◂ A. Güler
59'⚽J. David· assist G. Simeone2–0
62'🔁J. Álvarez◂ J. David
67'🔁A. Lookman◂ A. Baena
71'🔁E. Camavinga◂ A. Tchouaméni
78'J. Bellingham· Foul
82'🔁B. Silva◂ J. Bellingham
89'⚽A. Rüdiger· assist B. Silva2–1
89'🔁M. Hjulmand◂ K. Lee
89'🔁R. Le Normand◂ C. Romero
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Diego Simeone
José Mourinho
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
WHOsasuna4-0
WAReal Sociedad3-0
LALiverpool FC1-2
LAAthletic Club0-3
WASevilla3-1
Real Madrid
WAElche3-2
WHRayo Vallecano4-1
WHInter2-1
LAReal Betis0-1
WHMálaga CF4-0
About this match
**The Madrid derby is back, and Atlético are absolutely flying.** Real Madrid's injury ward is looking like a hospital wing, but don't sleep on their depth. 🔴⚪
Atlético have won three straight and crushed Real Sociedad away; Real Madrid are 4-1 in their last five despite missing half their squad. This feels like **peak Simeone setup** — compact, ruthless, and tailor-made to frustrate a patched-together visitor.
Key storylines:
- **Atlético's attack vs Real Madrid's makeshift back line** — Lookman and David have been clinical, and with Militão, Mendy, and Asencio all out, Los Blancos are vulnerable at the back
- **Bellingham and Valverde's midfield burden** — without multiple defenders, Real's engine needs to work overtime to shield a jury-rigged defence
- **Koke and Llorente controlling tempo** — Atlético's midfield has been tidy and controlling; this is where they can dominate and set the tone early
Expected lineups:
- **Atlético Madrid**: J. Oblak, A. Solà, D. Hancko, M. Llorente, Pubill, A. Grimaldo, K. Lee, A. Baena, Koke, A. Lookman, J. David
- **Real Madrid**: T. Courtois, D. Huijsen, I. Konaté, J. Martínez, Á. Carreras, F. Valverde, J. Bellingham, Vinícius Jr., A. Güler, K. Mbappé, Y. Diomande
Prediction:
**Atlético Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid.** Atlético have the form, the setup, and the injury advantage here; this is their moment. 🎯
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