Celta Vigo 5-0 Real Racing Club: Stats & xG – Sep 19, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Celta Vigo 5-0 Real Racing Club.

90+3'

I. Vicente

Yellow card for I. Vicente (Real Racing Club) for off the ball foul.

90+2'

P. Durán

Goal! Celta Vigo 5-0 Real Racing Club. P. Durán (Celta Vigo) scores, assisted by H. Álvarez.

90+1'

P. Durán

Attempt saved. P. Durán (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

S. Canales

Yellow card for S. Canales (Real Racing Club) for foul.

89'

H. Burcio

Attempt saved. H. Burcio (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

88'

A. Villalibre

Attempt missed. A. Villalibre (Real Racing Club), header. xG 0.02.

88'

Celta Vigo

Offside, Celta Vigo.

86'

Real Racing Club

Corner, Real Racing Club.

84'

G. Guliashvili

Attempt missed. G. Guliashvili (Real Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.26.

84'

M. Román

Substitution, Celta Vigo: H. Burcio comes on for M. Román.

84'

I. Martín

Substitution, Real Racing Club: Í. Sáinz-Maza comes on for I. Martín.

82'

A. Núñez

Attempt saved. A. Núñez (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

80'

I. Luque

Attempt saved. I. Luque (Real Racing Club), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

78'

P. Durán

Goal! Celta Vigo 4-0 Real Racing Club. P. Durán (Celta Vigo) scores, assisted by H. Álvarez.

77'

P. Ramón

Attempt missed. P. Ramón (Real Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

75'

Y. Zabiri

Substitution, Real Racing Club: G. Guliashvili comes on for Y. Zabiri.

75'

P. Ramón

Yellow card for P. Ramón (Real Racing Club) for foul.

74'

M. Román

Attempt missed. M. Román (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

73'

J. Salinas

Attempt saved. J. Salinas (Real Racing Club), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

73'

Y. Lago

Yellow card for Y. Lago (Celta Vigo) for foul.

69'

M. Román

Goal! Celta Vigo 3-0 Real Racing Club. M. Román (Celta Vigo) scores.

67'

Real Racing Club

Offside, Real Racing Club.

64'

J. Belocian

Yellow card for J. Belocian (Real Racing Club) for foul.

64'

W. Swedberg

Substitution, Celta Vigo: J. Galán comes on for W. Swedberg.

63'

A. Almeida

Substitution, Real Racing Club: S. Canales comes on for A. Almeida.

63'

A. Mantilla

Substitution, Real Racing Club: A. Martín comes on for A. Mantilla.

63'

P. García

Substitution, Real Racing Club: A. Villalibre comes on for P. García.

63'

F. Jutglà

Substitution, Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias comes on for F. Jutglà.

61'

Y. Zabiri

Attempt blocked. Y. Zabiri (Real Racing Club), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

F. Jutglà

Attempt missed. F. Jutglà (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

57'

Y. Zabiri

Yellow card for Y. Zabiri (Real Racing Club) for argument.

56'

Celta Vigo

Offside, Celta Vigo.

52'

Real Racing Club

Corner, Real Racing Club.

48'

Real Racing Club

Corner, Real Racing Club.

47'

P. Ramón

Attempt saved. P. Ramón (Real Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

H. González

Substitution, Celta Vigo: P. Durán comes on for H. González.

46'

J. Rueda

Substitution, Celta Vigo: S. Carreira comes on for J. Rueda.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Racing Club.

45+4'

I. Vicente

Attempt blocked. I. Vicente (Real Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45+3'

J. Rueda

Yellow card for J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) for foul.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

43'

I. Moriba

Goal! Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Racing Club. I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) scores, assisted by M. Román.

42'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

42'

Y. Lago

Attempt blocked. Y. Lago (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

42'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

41'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

41'

J. Rueda

Attempt blocked. J. Rueda (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

41'

Celta Vigo

Corner, Celta Vigo.

39'

I. Vicente

Attempt missed. I. Vicente (Real Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

38'

I. Vicente

Attempt saved. I. Vicente (Real Racing Club), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.11.

36'

F. Jutglà

Attempt saved. F. Jutglà (Celta Vigo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

32'

H. González

Goal! Celta Vigo 1-0 Real Racing Club. H. González (Celta Vigo) converts the penalty.

28'

F. Jutglà

VAR: no penalty for Celta Vigo.

26'

P. García

Attempt saved. P. García (Real Racing Club), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

24'

Real Racing Club

Corner, Real Racing Club.

1'

Kick-off: Celta Vigo vs Real Racing Club.

Where the money is

1168226 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 606371 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

89.5%

-9.5 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.0%

+5.9 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.5%

+4.4 vs price

Half time 4716 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

63.1%

-35.9 vs price

Draw 300.0 · implied 0.3%

24.5%

+24.2 vs price

Away 6.6 · implied 15.2%

12.4%

-2.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 175746 EUR · live

Over 1.59 · implied 62.9%

84.0%

+21.1 vs price

Under 2.66 · implied 37.6%

16.0%

-21.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 27649 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

97.5%

-1.5 vs price

Over 50.0 · implied 2.0%

2.5%

+0.5 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

28' VAR Penalty check · F. Jutglà

32' ⚽ H. González (pen)1–0

43' ⚽ I. Moriba · assist M. Román2–0

Half-time · 2–0

45'⁺³ J. Rueda · Foul

46' 🔁 S. Carreira ◂ J. Rueda

46' 🔁 P. Durán ◂ H. González

57' Y. Zabiri · Argument

63' 🔁 B. Iglesias ◂ F. Jutglà

63' 🔁 A. Villalibre ◂ P. García

63' 🔁 A. Martín ◂ A. Mantilla

63' 🔁 S. Canales ◂ A. Almeida

64' J. Belocian · Foul

64' 🔁 J. Galán ◂ W. Swedberg

69' ⚽ M. Román3–0

73' Y. Lago · Foul

75' 🔁 G. Guliashvili ◂ Y. Zabiri

75' P. Ramón · Foul

78' ⚽ P. Durán · assist H. Álvarez4–0

84' 🔁 Í. Sáinz-Maza ◂ I. Martín

84' 🔁 H. Burcio ◂ M. Román

Full-time · 5–0

90' S. Canales · Foul

90'⁺² ⚽ P. Durán · assist H. Álvarez5–0

90'⁺³ I. Vicente · Off the ball foul

Coaches

Claudio Giráldez

José Alberto López

Recent form

Celta Vigo

LAOmonia Nicosia0-1

DHMálaga CF1-1

DAGetafe1-1

DAReal Sociedad0-0

LHAthletic Club0-2

Real Racing Club

LAFC Barcelona2-7

WHDeportivo Alavés2-1

LARayo Vallecano2-3

WHElche3-2

LAGetafe0-1

About this match

**Celta's looking for spark, Racing just got demolished by Barça** — this is a chance for both teams to reset after rough weeks, but only one can grab momentum at Balaídos. 🔴

Celta's stuck in neutral with three draws in their last five, while Racing crashed 2-7 at Camp Nou and are bleeding confidence. Head-to-head tells the story: Racing have the upper hand historically, but form is king right now.

Key storylines:

- **Celta** desperately need a W after a month of stalemates; missing **Aspas** is a real sting up front
- **Racing** are without suspended **Almeida** and injured pair **Martín** and **Eriksson**, gutting their depth
- **Canales** has to orchestrate Racing's midfield through sheer craft — no margin for error against a hungry Celta side

Expected lineups:

- **Celta Vigo**: Radu, Alonso, Starfelt, Núñez, Rodríguez, Román, Carreira, Jutglà, Durán, El-Abdellaoui
- **Real Racing Club**: Agirrezabala, Salinas, Ramón, Hernando, Mantilla, Martín, Gueye, Vicente, Canales, García, Zabiri

Prediction:

**Celta Vigo 2–1 Real Racing Club**

Celta have the slight edge at home and Racing's absences pile up too high. Racing can nick one on the counter, but Celta's desperation pays off. 💚

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 4 SurESPN4 Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

City

Vigo

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

3.67 yellows/match · 51 matches

Kickoff

19 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Celta Vigo 3-4-3 · 4-1-4-1 Real Racing Club

13 I. Radu 7.8 15 A. Núñez 7.0 18 Y. Lago 7.2 21 S. Cáceres 7.4 5 S. Carreira 7.8 ↑ 46' 6 I. Moriba 8.7 30 H. Burcio 6.4 ↑ 84' 23 H. Álvarez 8.1 11 P. Durán 8.4 ↑ 46' 7 B. Iglesias 6.5 ↑ 63' 22 J. Galán 7.2 ↑ 64' 13 J. Agirrezabala 5.9 20 S. Canales 6.1 ↑ 63' 5 P. Ramón 6.2 24 J. Belocian 5.8 17 J. Salinas 5.8 3 A. Martín 6.0 ↑ 63' 12 A. Villalibre 6.6 ↑ 63' 6 Í. Sáinz-Maza 6.5 ↑ 84' 10 I. Vicente 6.0 19 I. Luque 6.6 7 G. Guliashvili 6.4 ↑ 75'

Substitutes

1GA. Bayındır 3DM. Alonso 20DJ. Rodríguez 4DA. Faye 2DC. Starfelt 8MM. Román↓ 84'8.9 16MH. González↓ 46'7.6 17MJ. Rueda↓ 46'6.2 14MA. Febas 19FW. Swedberg↓ 64'6.6 9FF. Jutglà↓ 63'6.3 24FC. Driouech

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Substitutes

31GL. Gómez 2DA. Mantilla↓ 63'6.4 22DP. Felipe 16DF. González 4DM. Hernando 8MA. Almeida↓ 63'7.3 23MI. Martín↓ 84'6.6 15MP. García↓ 63'5.8 18MM. Prati 14MM. Gueye 21FY. Zabiri↓ 75'6.1 9FJ. C. Arana

Coach: José Alberto López

Top stats

41%Possession59%

2.14Expected goals (xG)0.75

13Total shots11

9Shots on target5

3Big chances1

3Corners3

Shots

2Shots off target4

2Blocked shots2

8Shots inside box6

5Shots outside box5

3Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed1

0.25Goals prevented-1.33

Attack

18Touches in box17

48Final third entries64

3Offsides1

10Free kicks13

1Fouled in final third4

Passing

431Passes605

372Accurate passes538

29/50 (58%)Long balls9/25 (36%)

3/7 (43%)Crosses2/15 (13%)

9Throw-ins16

Duels

48Duels52

39/76 (51%)Ground duels37/76 (49%)

4/13 (31%)Aerial duels9/13 (69%)

6/12 (50%)Dribbles11/24 (46%)

8Dispossessed11

Defending

24Tackles14

54Tackles won43

16Interceptions4

15Clearances12

54Recoveries54

Discipline

13Fouls11

2Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

0Big saves1

13Goal kicks5

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Celta 52%

24%

Racing Club 23%

1X2Celta to win 52% · 2.15 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 4.00 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.95 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 24% · 2.74 @ 1xBet

Who winsCelta to win (DNB) 58% · 1.36 @ 888Sport

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

1X2Racing Club to win 23% · 4.05 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.82

Celta Vigo

3.90

Draw

4.05

Real Racing Club

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Celta Vigo or Draw

1.22

Celta Vigo or Real Racing Club

1.95

Draw or Real Racing Club

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

14.25

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.65

Over 2.50

2.21

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.55

Over 3.50

1.44

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.40

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.33

Celta Vigo

3.00

Real Racing Club

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.07

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.49

Over 8.50

2.41

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.86

Over 9.50

1.92

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.30

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.88

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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