Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

90+6'

Alemão

Yellow card for Alemão (Rayo Vallecano) for argument.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

90'

R. Moro

Substitution, Osasuna: ? comes on for R. Moro.

89'

Osasuna

Corner, Osasuna.

87'

U. López

Substitution, Rayo Vallecano: G. B. Samake comes on for U. López.

87'

Á. García

Substitution, Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu comes on for Á. García.

86'

R. García

Attempt saved. R. García (Osasuna), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

81'

Alemão

Attempt blocked. Alemão (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

79'

Á. García

Attempt missed. Á. García (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

77'

P. Díaz

Attempt missed. P. Díaz (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

77'

S. Herrera

Yellow card for S. Herrera (Osasuna) for argument.

76'

Osasuna

Offside, Osasuna.

75'

R. García

Attempt saved. R. García (Osasuna), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

75'

Osasuna

Corner, Osasuna.

74'

A. Budimir

Attempt missed. A. Budimir (Osasuna), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

73'

U. Santos

Substitution, Osasuna: R. García comes on for U. Santos.

71'

J. de Frutos

Substitution, Rayo Vallecano: G. Tsitaishvili comes on for J. de Frutos.

71'

S. Camello

Substitution, Rayo Vallecano: Alemão comes on for S. Camello.

69'

J. Moncayola

Substitution, Osasuna: L. Torró comes on for J. Moncayola.

69'

R. García

Substitution, Osasuna: J. Dubasin comes on for R. García.

67'

J. Moncayola

Yellow card for J. Moncayola (Osasuna) for foul.

66'

P. Díaz

Attempt missed. P. Díaz (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

63'

Rayo Vallecano

Corner, Rayo Vallecano.

63'

Á. García

Attempt missed. Á. García (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

61'

S. Camello

Attempt missed. S. Camello (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

60'

Ó. Valentín

Substitution, Rayo Vallecano: P. Díaz comes on for Ó. Valentín.

57'

Osasuna

Offside, Osasuna.

56'

K. Barja

Substitution, Osasuna: R. Moro comes on for K. Barja.

56'

D. Rico

Substitution, Osasuna: A. Bretones comes on for D. Rico.

53'

S. Camello

Attempt missed. S. Camello (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

50'

S. Camello

Goal! Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano. S. Camello (Rayo Vallecano) scores, assisted by A. Pedrosa.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

S. Camello

Attempt missed. S. Camello (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

44'

P. I. Ciss

Attempt blocked. P. I. Ciss (Rayo Vallecano), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

44'

P. I. Ciss

Attempt blocked. P. I. Ciss (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.18.

44'

F. Lejeune

Attempt blocked. F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

44'

Rayo Vallecano

Corner, Rayo Vallecano.

42'

D. Rico

Attempt missed. D. Rico (Osasuna), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

38'

I. Arguibide

Attempt missed. I. Arguibide (Osasuna), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

37'

Á. García

Attempt blocked. Á. García (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

36'

Rayo Vallecano

Corner, Rayo Vallecano.

36'

F. Lejeune

Attempt blocked. F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

35'

F. Lejeune

Attempt blocked. F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

30'

U. López

Attempt missed. U. López (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

27'

A. Osambela

Attempt missed. A. Osambela (Osasuna), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

26'

Osasuna

Corner, Osasuna.

24'

P. I. Ciss

Yellow card for P. I. Ciss (Rayo Vallecano) for foul.

21'

A. Osambela

Yellow card for A. Osambela (Osasuna) for foul.

18'

K. Barja

Attempt missed. K. Barja (Osasuna), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.09.

16'

I. Arguibide

Attempt blocked. I. Arguibide (Osasuna), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

16'

A. Budimir

Goal! Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano. A. Budimir (Osasuna) scores.

10'

Osasuna

Corner, Osasuna.

6'

Rayo Vallecano

Corner, Rayo Vallecano.

5'

Á. García

Attempt blocked. Á. García (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

4'

Rayo Vallecano

Corner, Rayo Vallecano.

4'

J. de Frutos

Attempt saved. J. de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

2'

Á. García

Attempt missed. Á. García (Rayo Vallecano), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

1'

K. Barja

Attempt blocked. K. Barja (Osasuna), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano.

Where the money is

1693083 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1060248 EUR · live

Home 65.0 · implied 1.5%

50.5%

+49.0 vs price

Draw 1.03 · implied 97.1%

29.0%

-68.1 vs price

Away 130.0 · implied 0.8%

20.5%

+19.7 vs price

Half time 3898 EUR · live

Home 1.28 · implied 78.1%

66.2%

-12.0 vs price

Away 29.0 · implied 3.4%

17.3%

+13.8 vs price

Draw 5.1 · implied 19.6%

16.6%

-3.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 381801 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

78.3%

-17.0 vs price

Over 17.5 · implied 5.7%

21.7%

+16.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 4632 EUR · live

Under 1.09 · implied 91.7%

86.8%

-5.0 vs price

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

13.2%

+4.1 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

16' ⚽ A. Budimir1–0

21' A. Osambela · Foul

24' P. I. Ciss · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

50' ⚽ S. Camello · assist A. Pedrosa1–1

56' 🔁 A. Bretones ◂ D. Rico

56' 🔁 R. Moro ◂ K. Barja

60' 🔁 P. Díaz ◂ Ó. Valentín

67' J. Moncayola · Foul

69' 🔁 J. Dubasin ◂ R. García

69' 🔁 L. Torró ◂ J. Moncayola

71' 🔁 Alemão ◂ S. Camello

71' 🔁 G. Tsitaishvili ◂ J. de Frutos

73' 🔁 R. García ◂ U. Santos

77' S. Herrera · Argument

87' 🔁 I. Balliu ◂ Á. García

87' 🔁 G. B. Samake ◂ U. López

Full-time · 1–1

90' 🔁 ◂ R. Moro

90'⁺⁶ Alemão · Argument

Coaches

Luis Miguel Ramis

Benat San Jose

Recent form

Osasuna

LAAtlético Madrid0-4

LHEspanyol0-2

LADeportivo Alavés2-5

WHGetafe1-0

WACelta Vigo2-1

Rayo Vallecano

WHEspanyol2-1

LAReal Madrid1-4

WHReal Racing Club3-2

LAFC Barcelona2-5

DHDeportivo Alavés1-1

About this match

**Osasuna's been getting battered this month, but Rayo rolls in equally thin on bodies** — this one's got lower-league tournament energy, not premium La Liga clash. 🔥

Osasuna are 0-2-3 in their last five and just took a 5-2 spanking at Alavés; Rayo have steadied the ship (2W-1D in recent games) but showed vulnerability away at the Bernabéu (1-4). History favors the hosts — Osasuna lead the H2H 13-10 — though both squads are missing serious depth.

Key storylines:

- **Osasuna's injury crisis** (Oroz, Herrando, Gómez out) is piling pressure on attacking creators like **Budimir** and **Barja** to carry the load
- **Rayo's defensive resilience** anchored by **Lejeune** and **Rațiu** will be tested against a desperate home side looking to snap a rough run
- Both teams chasing quick points; neither can afford another bad result, so expect intensity over slickness

Expected lineups:

- **Osasuna**: S. Herrera, Catena, Bretones, Arguibide, Boyomo, Moncayola, Muñoz, Budimir
- **Rayo Vallecano**: Audero, Lejeune, Rațiu, Pedrosa, Balliu, López, Ciss, Camello

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — both teams scramble for cohesion without their injured starters, neither clinical enough to break through cleanly.

Where to watch

M+ LaLiga TV

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio El Sadar

City

Pamplona

Referee

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid

5.90 yellows/match · 49 matches

Kickoff

19 Sep, 12:00 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Osasuna 5-4-1 · 4-3-3 Rayo Vallecano

13 A. Fernández 6.5 27 I. Arguibide 6.4 29 A. Osambela 6.5 24 A. Catena 7.1 9 R. García 6.5 ↑ 73' 23 A. Bretones 6.8 ↑ 56' 21 J. Dubasin 6.4 ↑ 69' 6 L. Torró 6.6 ↑ 69' 8 I. Muñoz 6.0 18 R. Moro 6.7 ↑ 56' 17 A. Budimir 7.7 25 E. Audero 6.5 2 A. Rațiu 7.2 15 M. Sadick 6.5 24 F. Lejeune 6.7 17 A. Pedrosa 6.9 20 I. Balliu 6.6 ↑ 87' 6 P. I. Ciss 7.1 4 P. Díaz 6.7 ↑ 60' 14 G. Tsitaishvili 6.2 ↑ 71' 9 Alemão 6.5 ↑ 71' 36 G. B. Samake 6.7 ↑ 87'

Substitutes

1GS. Herrera 31GR. Fernandez 15DD. Rico↓ 56'6.6 35DU. Santos↓ 73'6.0 22DE. Boyomo 48DR. Yeboah 7MJ. Moncayola↓ 69'6.3 20MR. Del Castillo 26MM. Echegoyen 11FK. Barja↓ 56'6.5 30FA. Bonel

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Substitutes

1GD. Cárdenas 26DM. d. l. Sías 22DP. Fernández 3DM. Kumbulla 8MU. López↓ 87'7.2 23MÓ. Valentín↓ 60'6.7 18MÁ. García↓ 87'6.2 37MR. Belaid 21MF. Pérez 10FS. Camello↓ 71'7.7 19FJ. de Frutos↓ 71'6.9

Coach: Benat San Jose

Top stats

37%Possession63%

0.53Expected goals (xG)1.01

10Total shots19

3Shots on target2

1Big chances1

4Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target9

2Blocked shots8

9Shots inside box6

1Shots outside box13

1Big chances scored1

-0.57Goals prevented-0.21

Attack

21Touches in box14

59Final third entries60

2Offsides0

13Free kicks21

0Fouled in final third4

Passing

269Passes474

188Accurate passes395

27/64 (42%)Long balls14/47 (30%)

1/17 (6%)Crosses3/19 (16%)

14Throw-ins29

Duels

39Duels61

26/74 (35%)Ground duels48/74 (65%)

11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)

5/15 (33%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)

11Dispossessed5

Defending

9Tackles21

56Tackles won52

8Interceptions4

24Clearances36

42Recoveries43

Discipline

21Fouls13

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

1Big saves1

10Goal kicks7

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Osasuna 38%

29%

Rayo Vallecano 33%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 29% · 2.44 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ William Hill

1X2Rayo Vallecano to win 33% · 3.15 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.21 @ 1xBet

Who winsOsasuna to win (DNB) 56% · 2.00 @ Betsson

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle

1X2Osasuna to win 38% · 2.80 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.50

Osasuna

3.30

Draw

2.80

Rayo Vallecano

Double Chanceconsensus

1.36

Osasuna or Draw

1.33

Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano

1.56

Draw or Rayo Vallecano

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.74

Yes

2.00

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.31

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.01

Over 2.50

1.81

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.45

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.25

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.91

Osasuna

1.81

Rayo Vallecano

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.40

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.45

Over 8.50

2.53

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.80

Over 9.50

1.94

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.25

Over 10.50

1.58

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.88

Over 11.50

1.33

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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