Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Villarreal's on a rough patch, but they're heavy favorites at home against a Levante side that's been all over the map.** The Yellow Submarine are bleeding results lately, but their historical dominance over Levante (20 wins in 30) should give them a cushion here. 🔴
Levante have actually been steadier lately with a draw streak, though they just got hammered 4-2 by Barcelona. Villarreal's missing J. Foyth and S. Comesaña to injury, which doesn't help their defensive stability. Levante without E. Eyong and H. Sotelo lose some midfield teeth too.
Key storylines:
- **G. Mikautadze** needs to deliver as Villarreal's lead striker in a must-win home fixture
- **C. Romero** and **R. Veiga** face pressure to organize a backline that's been shaky all season
- **M. Ryan** will be tested heavily — Levante's keeper needs a sharp afternoon to steal something
Expected lineups:
- **Villarreal**: L. Júnior, C. Romero, R. Veiga, P. Navarro, S. Mouriño, A. Moleiro, P. Gueye, N. Saliba, N. Pépé, G. Mikautadze, A. Pérez
- **Levante UD**: M. Ryan, M. Sánchez, A. Mandi, Adri, N. Pérez, J. A. Olasagasti, O. Rey, T. Fernández, E. Bardeli, I. Romero, R. Brugué
Prediction:
**Villarreal 2-1 Levante UD**
Villarreal have the edge at home and a historic advantage, but expect them to grind rather than cruise.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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