Deportivo Alavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid: Stats & xG

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La Liga ·Sat 10 Oct

Deportivo Alavés

1–2

HT 1–1

Full time

Atlético Madrid

Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz · Ref: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Deportivo Alavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid.

90+6'

J. Álvarez

Attempt blocked. J. Álvarez (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+2'

J. Cardoso

Yellow card for J. Cardoso (Atlético Madrid) for foul.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

87'

C. Romero

Goal! Deportivo Alavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid. C. Romero (Atlético Madrid) scores, assisted by A. Baena.

85'

M. Díaz

Attempt missed. M. Díaz (Deportivo Alavés), right-footed shot. xG 0.34.

84'

A. Baena

Attempt saved. A. Baena (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

84'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

80'

A. Baena

Attempt blocked. A. Baena (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

80'

D. Hancko

Attempt missed. D. Hancko (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.18.

80'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

79'

D. Suárez

Substitution, Deportivo Alavés: A. Mañas comes on for D. Suárez.

79'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

77'

J. Álvarez

Attempt blocked. J. Álvarez (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

77'

A. Grimaldo

Attempt saved. A. Grimaldo (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

77'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

74'

M. Llorente

Attempt blocked. M. Llorente (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

A. Sørloth

Attempt blocked. A. Sørloth (Atlético Madrid), header. xG 0.26.

73'

A. Baena

Attempt blocked. A. Baena (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

73'

G. Simeone

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: A. Sørloth comes on for G. Simeone.

73'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

71'

N. Valentini

Substitution, Deportivo Alavés: V. Koski comes on for N. Valentini.

66'

M. Llorente

Attempt saved. M. Llorente (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

65'

M. Díaz

Attempt blocked. M. Díaz (Deportivo Alavés), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

64'

A. Blanco

Substitution, Deportivo Alavés: C. Benavídez comes on for A. Blanco.

64'

T. Martínez

Substitution, Deportivo Alavés: M. Díaz comes on for T. Martínez.

64'

L. Boyé

Substitution, Deportivo Alavés: A. Guevara comes on for L. Boyé.

62'

J. Álvarez

Off the woodwork! J. Álvarez (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

62'

R. Le Normand

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: D. Hancko comes on for R. Le Normand.

61'

Á. Pérez

Red card! Á. Pérez (Deportivo Alavés) is sent off for foul.

60'

Á. Pérez

VAR: card upgraded for Á. Pérez (Deportivo Alavés).

57'

P. Barrios

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: K. Lee comes on for P. Barrios.

56'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

55'

C. Romero

Attempt blocked. C. Romero (Atlético Madrid), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

55'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

55'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

50'

A. Rebbach

Attempt blocked. A. Rebbach (Deportivo Alavés), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

48'

Atlético Madrid

Offside, Atlético Madrid.

46'

J. David

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: A. Baena comes on for J. David.

46'

A. Lookman

Substitution, Atlético Madrid: J. Álvarez comes on for A. Lookman.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Atlético Madrid.

45+6'

L. Boyé

Goal! Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Atlético Madrid. L. Boyé (Deportivo Alavés) converts the penalty.

45+1'

R. Le Normand

Yellow card for R. Le Normand (Atlético Madrid) for foul.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

A. Lookman

Yellow card for A. Lookman (Atlético Madrid) for foul.

45'

Á. Pérez

Attempt saved. Á. Pérez (Deportivo Alavés), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

43'

A. Lookman

Attempt blocked. A. Lookman (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.21.

38'

G. Simeone

Attempt blocked. G. Simeone (Atlético Madrid), header. xG 0.03.

37'

T. Martínez

Attempt saved. T. Martínez (Deportivo Alavés), header from a set piece. xG 0.01.

36'

A. Grimaldo

Attempt missed. A. Grimaldo (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

33'

A. Grimaldo

Goal! Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Atlético Madrid. A. Grimaldo (Atlético Madrid) scores, assisted by J. David.

30'

P. Barrios

Attempt missed. P. Barrios (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

30'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

23'

A. Lookman

Attempt blocked. A. Lookman (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

20'

M. Llorente

Attempt saved. M. Llorente (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

16'

A. Lookman

Attempt blocked. A. Lookman (Atlético Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

14'

Atlético Madrid

Corner, Atlético Madrid.

14'

J. David

Attempt saved. J. David (Atlético Madrid), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.

13'

Deportivo Alavés

Offside, Deportivo Alavés.

Atlético Madrid

Offside, Atlético Madrid.

Á. Pérez

Attempt missed. Á. Pérez (Deportivo Alavés), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

Á. Pérez

Attempt missed. Á. Pérez (Deportivo Alavés), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

Kick-off: Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid.

Where the money is

1170930 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 770548 EUR · live

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

85.5%

-12.5 vs price

Draw 50.0 · implied 2.0%

10.6%

+8.6 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.9%

+3.8 vs price

Half time 811 EUR · live

Draw 2.2 · implied 45.5%

65.6%

+20.1 vs price

Home 5.3 · implied 18.9%

31.6%

+12.7 vs price

Away 2.82 · implied 35.5%

2.7%

-32.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 210356 EUR · live

Under 1.6 · implied 62.5%

61.2%

-1.3 vs price

Over 2.68 · implied 37.3%

38.8%

+1.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1633 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

93.1%

-0.3 vs price

Over 14.0 · implied 7.1%

6.9%

-0.3 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

33' ⚽ A. Grimaldo · assist J. David0–1

Half-time · 1–1

45' A. Lookman · Foul

45'⁺¹ R. Le Normand · Foul

45'⁺⁶ ⚽ L. Boyé (pen)1–1

46' 🔁 J. Álvarez ◂ A. Lookman

46' 🔁 A. Baena ◂ J. David

57' 🔁 K. Lee ◂ P. Barrios

60' VAR Card check · Á. Pérez

61' Á. Pérez · Foul

62' 🔁 D. Hancko ◂ R. Le Normand

64' 🔁 A. Guevara ◂ L. Boyé

64' 🔁 M. Díaz ◂ T. Martínez

64' 🔁 C. Benavídez ◂ A. Blanco

71' 🔁 V. Koski ◂ N. Valentini

73' 🔁 A. Sørloth ◂ G. Simeone

79' 🔁 A. Mañas ◂ D. Suárez

87' ⚽ C. Romero · assist A. Baena1–2

Full-time · 1–2

90'⁺² J. Cardoso · Foul

Coaches

Quique Sánchez Flores

Diego Simeone

Recent form

Deportivo Alavés

DAAthletic Club0-0

LHValencia0-1

LAReal Racing Club1-2

WHOsasuna5-2

WHVillarreal1-0

Atlético Madrid

WHReal Madrid2-1

WHOsasuna4-0

WAReal Sociedad3-0

LALiverpool FC1-2

LAAthletic Club0-3

About this match

**Atleti rolls into Vitoria looking to keep the juggernaut rolling** — Diego Simeone's side has demolished everything lately, and Alavés are in a rougher patch defensively. 🔴⚪

Atlético have won 3 of their last 5 with back-to-back routs (4-0, 3-0), while Alavés are creaky, stuck between draws and losses after shipping goals to Valencia and Racing. The visitors have absolutely owned this fixture down the years — 14 wins in 26 H2H meetings.

Key storylines:

- **Atlético's attacking firepower** vs Alavés' injury-ravaged backline (Garcés and M. Rodriguez both out with ligament damage)
- **Koke and J. Cardoso** orchestrating possession for Madrid against a side fighting for rhythm
- Can **L. Boyé and M. Díaz** spark anything for the hosts, or is this looking like another Simeone clinic?

Expected lineups:

- **Deportivo Alavés**: A. Sivera, J. Otto, N. Valentini, Á. Pérez, D. Suárez, A. Blanco, L. Boyé, M. Díaz
- **Atlético Madrid**: J. Oblak, D. Hancko, J. Domínguez, M. Llorente, A. Grimaldo, Koke, J. Cardoso, A. Lookman, J. David

Prediction:

**Atlético Madrid 2-0 Deportivo Alavés**. Atleti have the class and form; Alavés are too banged up to trouble them. 📍

Where to watch

Disney+ PremiumM+ LaLiga TV

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio de Mendizorroza

City

Vitoria-Gasteiz

Referee

Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

4.76 yellows/match · 42 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 14:15 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Top stats

32%Possession68%

1.3Expected goals (xG)2.05

8Total shots22

3Shots on target7

1Big chances2

0Corners10

Shots

3Shots off target4

2Blocked shots11

5Shots inside box11

3Shots outside box11

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored2

-0.9Goals prevented0.12

Attack

7Touches in box33

45Final third entries74

1Offsides2

13Free kicks11

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

340Passes706

276Accurate passes642

23/49 (47%)Long balls21/46 (46%)

1/4 (25%)Crosses4/19 (21%)

14Throw-ins22

Duels

49Duels51

41/82 (50%)Ground duels41/82 (50%)

9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)

8/19 (42%)Dribbles12/23 (52%)

8Dispossessed10

Defending

21Tackles19

52Tackles won84

15Interceptions11

19Clearances10

52Recoveries53

Discipline

11Fouls14

1Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

1Big saves0

6Goal kicks5

2Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Alavés 22%

26%

Atlético Madrid 52%

1X2Atlético Madrid to win 52% · 2.20 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.40 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 26% · 2.62 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.06 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

Who winsAlavés to win (DNB) 51% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Alavés to win 22% · 4.30 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.32

Deportivo Alavés

3.75

Draw

1.82

Atlético Madrid

Double Chanceconsensus

1.93

Deportivo Alavés or Draw

1.25

Deportivo Alavés or Atlético Madrid

1.22

Draw or Atlético Madrid

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

2.00

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

11.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.82

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.36

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.00

Deportivo Alavés

1.33

Atlético Madrid

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.38

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.45

Over 8.50

2.49

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.80

Over 9.50

1.94

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.32

Over 10.50

1.56

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.00

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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