Attempt saved. G. Villar (Elche), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.
1'
Kick-off: Elche vs Celta Vigo.
Where the money is
619392 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 4 days ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds339704 EUR · live
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
53.3%
-40.2 vs price
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
30.4%
+27.5 vs price
Home
42.0 · implied 2.4%
16.3%
+13.9 vs price
Half time1679 EUR · live
Draw
1.77 · implied 56.5%
55.5%
-1.0 vs price
Away
4.0 · implied 25.0%
30.2%
+5.2 vs price
Home
5.0 · implied 20.0%
14.3%
-5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals110823 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.1%
-15.9 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.9%
+16.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals9674 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
97.8%
-0.3 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
2.2%
-0.3 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'Y. Lago· Foul
Half-time · 0–0
59'🔁A. Osorio◂ T. Morente
59'J. Rueda· Foul
60'🔁B. Iglesias◂ P. Durán
71'🔁L. Cepeda◂ F. Niño
71'🔁M. Neto◂ G. Villar
71'🔁S. Carreira◂ J. Galán
71'🔁C. Driouech◂ H. Álvarez
71'🔁W. Swedberg◂ F. Jutglà
81'A. Febas· Foul
83'🔁H. Burcio◂ A. Febas
87'🔁F. Buonanotte◂ T. Lemar
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1M. Aguado· Foul
Coaches
Martin Anselmi
Claudio Giráldez
Recent form
Elche
WAEspanyol3-1
LHReal Madrid2-3
DAAthletic Club1-1
LHReal Sociedad2-3
LAReal Racing Club2-3
Celta Vigo
WHReal Racing Club5-0
LAOmonia Nicosia0-1
DHMálaga CF1-1
DAGetafe1-1
DAReal Sociedad0-0
About this match
**Elche's hunting for their second win of the season, but Celta roll into Valero with momentum after thrashing Real Racing 5-0.** This is a clash between two teams heading in opposite directions — one desperate for consistency, the other suddenly clicking. 🔥
Elche have been a mess lately (1W in 5), though they did pick up a road win at Espanyol recently. Celta, by contrast, are on a roll despite missing a bunch of key players — **I. Aspas** is nowhere near the squad, which is huge for them.
Key storylines:
- **Elche's injury crisis deepens** with B. Sangaré and Y. Santiago both sidelined, forcing defensive shuffles heading into this one - **Celta's attacking depth tested** without I. Aspas, but W. Swedberg and F. Jutglà have shown they can carry the load - **Head-to-head leans Celta** (14 wins to Elche's 10 historically), and their recent form backs that up
Expected lineups:
- **Elche**: M. Dituro, V. Chust, P. Bigas, M. Barzić, L. Cepeda, G. Villar, F. Niño - **Celta Vigo**: I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, I. Moriba, W. Swedberg, F. Jutglà, H. González
Prediction:
**Celta Vigo 2-1 Elche**. Celta's form edge and Elche's injury woes point to a visitor's win, though the hosts will scrap. 📊
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed
quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the
published calls at 87.0%.
Highlight
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