Attempt saved. D. Larrubia (Málaga CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.
1'
Kick-off: Málaga CF vs Espanyol.
Where the money is
1990927 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds1184190 EUR · live
Away
150.0 · implied 0.7%
60.4%
+59.7 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
27.5%
-70.5 vs price
Home
80.0 · implied 1.2%
12.1%
+10.8 vs price
Half time1490 EUR · live
Away
1.3 · implied 76.9%
42.8%
-34.2 vs price
Draw
5.1 · implied 19.6%
42.4%
+22.8 vs price
Home
34.0 · implied 2.9%
14.8%
+11.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals218536 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
65.5%
-28.9 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
34.5%
+29.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals7914 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
91.4%
+5.9 vs price
Over
7.6 · implied 13.2%
8.6%
-4.6 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'⚽B. Zaragoza· assist J. Hernández0–1
24'J. Hernández· Foul
28'C. Puga· Argument
28'B. Zaragoza· Argument
41'Chupete· Foul
Half-time · 0–1
57'🔁U. González◂ J. Hernández
60'O. E. Hilali· Foul
62'🔁C. Dotor◂ J. Muñoz
62'🔁A. Niño◂ R. Rodríguez
62'🔁A. Aznou◂ C. Puga
66'C. Dotor· Foul
73'🔁Á. Calatrava◂ B. Zaragoza
74'🔁I. Merino◂ F. Calero
82'🔁H. Abaida◂ P. Martínez
82'🔁M. Fernández◂ T. Dolan
82'🔁P. Milla◂ E. Expósito
82'🔁R. Hinojo◂ R. Fernández
84'C. Riedel· Foul
87'R. Hinojo· Foul
89'A. Aznou· Foul
Full-time · 1–1
90'+3⚽A. Niño· assist R. Garrido1–1
Coaches
Juan Funes
Manolo Gonzalez
Recent form
Málaga CF
LAGetafe0-1
LHVillarreal1-3
DACelta Vigo1-1
DHLevante UD0-0
LAReal Madrid0-4
Espanyol
LHElche1-3
LARayo Vallecano1-2
WAOsasuna2-0
DHSevilla1-1
LAReal Sociedad1-2
About this match
**Málaga's in the mud, Espanyol's barely treading water** — two La Liga strugglers desperate to stop the bleeding at La Rosaleda. 🔴
Málaga are winless in five with defensive reinforcements missing (Ochoa, Murillo, Calero all out), while Espanyol grabbed one win recently vs Osasuna but have conceded 8 goals in their last three. Neither team screams "confidence" right now.
Key storylines:
- **Málaga's injury crisis** compounds their form slump — Murillo and Ochoa out means the backline's threadbare heading into a volatile matchup - **Espanyol's attacking fragility** — losing Puado (ACL) is brutal, and R. Fernández will carry massive load up front - **Head-to-head edge leans Espanyol** — 23 wins to Málaga's 20 in the last 58 meetings, though recent form favors neither
Expected lineups:
- **Málaga CF**: A. Herrero, R. Garrido, Á. Recio, E. Galilea, C. Puga, I. Merino, J. Muñoz, C. Dotor, D. Lorenzo, D. Larrubia, Chupete - **Espanyol**: M. Dmitrović, R. Hinojo, U. Núñez, L. Cabrera, O. E. Hilali, E. Expósito, U. González, B. Zaragoza, Á. Calatrava, T. Dolan, R. Fernández
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams too fragile to dominate, too desperate to lose. Coin flip energy. ⚪
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed
quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the
published calls at 86.9%.
Highlight
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