How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds247886 EUR · live
Away
3.3 · implied 30.3%
58.0%
+27.7 vs price
Draw
3.1 · implied 32.3%
21.6%
-10.7 vs price
Home
2.7 · implied 37.0%
20.4%
-16.7 vs price
Half time1430 EUR · live
Draw
1.88 · implied 53.2%
43.7%
-9.5 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
39.7%
+14.7 vs price
Away
4.1 · implied 24.4%
16.5%
-7.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals62026 EUR · live
Under
1.56 · implied 64.1%
81.6%
+17.5 vs price
Over
2.78 · implied 36.0%
18.4%
-17.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals5666 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
89.5%
-6.6 vs price
Over
32.0 · implied 3.1%
10.4%
+7.3 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Benat San Jose
Edin Terzić
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano
DAOsasuna1-1
WHEspanyol2-1
LAReal Madrid1-4
WHReal Racing Club3-2
LAFC Barcelona2-5
Athletic Club
WAReal Sociedad1-0
DHDeportivo Alavés0-0
DHElche1-1
WHAtlético Madrid3-0
WACelta Vigo2-0
About this match
**Rayo's got momentum but Athletic are absolutely flying** — this is a classic David-vs-Goliath vibe on paper, except Athletic just won't stop winning. 🔥
Rayo have turned it on lately (2W-1D from their last three), but Athletic's streak is **genuinely scary**: three straight wins, zero losses in their last five. Head-to-head favors Athletic heavily, but Vallecas is a fortress and Rayo will make this uncomfortable.
Key storylines:
- **Rayo's attack vs Athletic's defense**: S. Camello and I. Palazón need to create chaos on a ground where they're dangerous, but Athletic's backline has been rock-solid. - **Athletic's midfield control**: I. R. d. Galarreta and B. Gerenabarrena will dictate tempo; Rayo's U. López and Ó. Valentín have to match their work rate or get steamrolled. - **Injury shuffle**: Rayo missing A. Batalla and L. Felipe; Athletic without D. Vivian, N. Williams, and U. Eguíluz — both squads stretched but Athletic's form papers over the cracks.
Expected lineups:
- **Rayo Vallecano**: D. Cárdenas, A. Pedrosa, F. Lejeune, M. Sadick, P. I. Ciss, U. López, I. Palazón, Á. García, S. Camello - **Athletic Club**: U. Simón, Y. Berchiche, A. Paredes, Y. Álvarez, Á. Berenguer, O. Sancet, I. Williams, G. Guruzeta
Prediction:
**1-2 Athletic Club**. Rayo will fight tooth and nail at home, but Athletic's winning machine just feels too sharp right now. Slight edge Bilbao. ⚪
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed
quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the
published calls at 87.2%.
Highlight
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