Attempt missed. H. Duro (Valencia), header from a corner. xG 0.06.
7'
Valencia
Corner, Valencia.
1'
Kick-off: Valencia vs Athletic Club.
Where the money is
1645027 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds1029092 EUR · live
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
50.6%
-44.6 vs price
Away
240.0 · implied 0.4%
35.7%
+35.3 vs price
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
13.7%
+8.7 vs price
Half time1522 EUR · live
Draw
1.63 · implied 61.3%
62.6%
+1.3 vs price
Away
4.9 · implied 20.4%
24.1%
+3.6 vs price
Home
5.6 · implied 17.9%
13.3%
-4.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals158455 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.6%
-11.4 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
12.4%
+11.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals4734 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
90.1%
-7.9 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
9.8%
+7.8 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
19'D. Raba· Foul
38'A. Laporte· Foul
42'B. Gerenabarrena· Handball
Half-time · 0–0
46'🔁M. Jauregizar◂ B. Gerenabarrena
54'🔁D. Otorbi◂ H. Duro
54'🔁L. Rioja◂ D. Raba
57'I. R. d. Galarreta· Foul
63'🔁A. Rego Mora◂ I. R. d. Galarreta
63'🔁G. Guruzeta◂ I. Williams
63'🔁J. Areso◂ J. L. Jean
68'🔁M. Sannadi◂ G. Guruzeta
74'🔁H. Elliott◂ J. De Haas
85'🔁J. Vázquez◂ J. L. Gayà
86'🔁F. Ugrinić◂ G. Rodríguez
87'Pepelu· Foul
Full-time · 0–0
90'C. Tárrega· Foul
Coaches
Javier Aguirre
Edin Terzić
Recent form
Valencia
DAReal Racing Club2-2
LHReal Sociedad2-3
WADeportivo Alavés1-0
LASevilla0-1
LHFC Barcelona0-5
Athletic Club
WAReal Sociedad1-0
DHDeportivo Alavés0-0
DHElche1-1
WHAtlético Madrid3-0
WACelta Vigo2-0
About this match
**Valencia's injury crisis meets Athletic's hot streak** — the home side is limping along with five players out while Athletic rolls into Mestalla undefeated in five. This has all the hallmarks of a potential upset. ⚽
Valencia are 1W-1D-3L over their last five, cracks showing everywhere. Athletic, meanwhile, sit pretty at 3W-2D with zero losses in that span. The injury toll on Valencia's defense — **Tárrega, López, Foulquier all sidelined** — leaves them thin at the back.
Key storylines:
- **Athletic's defensive wall** holding firm despite losing **Williams** and **Sancet**; **Berchiche** and **Álvarez** have been rock solid - **Valencia's attacking outlet**: **Danjuma** will need to carry the load in transition, but service could be dodgy with midfield stretched - **De Haas and Córdoba** facing serious pressure from **Guruzeta** and **Williams** up top for Athletic
Expected lineups:
- **Valencia**: S. Dimitrievski, J. De Haas, M. Diakhaby, I. Córdoba, J. L. Gayà, P. Maffeo, R. Sato, Pepelu, G. Rodríguez, A. Danjuma - **Athletic Club**: U. Simón, Y. Berchiche, A. Paredes, Y. Álvarez, I. R. d. Galarreta, B. Gerenabarrena, Á. Berenguer, P. Canales, I. Williams, G. Guruzeta
Prediction:
**Athletic 1-1 Valencia**. Home advantage keeps Valencia competitive, but Athletic's form and Valencia's defensive issues feel like a coin flip. Lean Athletic's lean.
Where to watch
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No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed
quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the
published calls at 86.9%.
Highlight
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