FC Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid: Stats, xG & Lineups

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La Liga ·Sun 25 Oct

FC Barcelona

1–2

HT 0–1

Full time

Real Madrid

Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona · Ref: Juan Martinez Munuera

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FC Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid.

90+8'

Real Madrid

Offside, Real Madrid.

90+6'

K. Adeyemi

Yellow card for K. Adeyemi (FC Barcelona) for argument.

90+6'

A. Balde

Yellow card for A. Balde (FC Barcelona) for foul.

90+4'

A. Güler

Substitution, Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold comes on for A. Güler.

90+4'

Y. Diomande

Substitution, Real Madrid: C. Espí comes on for Y. Diomande.

90+4'

K. Mbappé

Yellow card for K. Mbappé (Real Madrid) for argument.

90+2'

M. Cucurella

Yellow card for M. Cucurella (Real Madrid) for argument.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

87'

K. Mbappé

Goal! FC Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid. K. Mbappé (Real Madrid) scores, assisted by E. Camavinga.

86'

Raphinha

Substitution, FC Barcelona: G. Jesus comes on for Raphinha.

85'

A. Gordon

Substitution, FC Barcelona: K. Adeyemi comes on for A. Gordon.

84'

A. Gordon

Yellow card for A. Gordon (FC Barcelona) for foul.

83'

FC Barcelona

Corner, FC Barcelona.

83'

L. Yamal

Attempt blocked. L. Yamal (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

81'

L. Yamal

Attempt blocked. L. Yamal (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

80'

B. Silva

Substitution, Real Madrid: E. Camavinga comes on for B. Silva.

79'

FC Barcelona

Corner, FC Barcelona.

79'

F. de Jong

Attempt blocked. F. de Jong (FC Barcelona), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

78'

J. Bellingham

Attempt blocked. J. Bellingham (Real Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

78'

L. Yamal

Attempt missed. L. Yamal (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

74'

L. Yamal

Attempt missed. L. Yamal (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

74'

F. López

Substitution, FC Barcelona: F. de Jong comes on for F. López.

71'

A. Güler

Attempt saved. A. Güler (Real Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

69'

Real Madrid

Corner, Real Madrid.

67'

FC Barcelona

Offside, FC Barcelona.

66'

G. Martín

Attempt saved. G. Martín (FC Barcelona), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

65'

Raphinha

Attempt blocked. Raphinha (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

65'

FC Barcelona

Corner, FC Barcelona.

63'

A. Güler

Attempt saved. A. Güler (Real Madrid), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

62'

F. Valverde

Substitution, Real Madrid: D. Dumfries comes on for F. Valverde.

61'

Raphinha

Goal! FC Barcelona 1-1 Real Madrid. Raphinha (FC Barcelona) scores, assisted by Pedri.

61'

FC Barcelona

Corner, FC Barcelona.

59'

Real Madrid

Corner, Real Madrid.

55'

Raphinha

Attempt blocked. Raphinha (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

54'

Real Madrid

Corner, Real Madrid.

49'

FC Barcelona

Corner, FC Barcelona.

46'

A. Tchouaméni

Yellow card for A. Tchouaméni (Real Madrid) for foul.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FC Barcelona 0-1 Real Madrid.

45+2'

Y. Diomande

Attempt missed. Y. Diomande (Real Madrid), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.

45+1'

Real Madrid

Offside, Real Madrid.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

Rodri

Attempt saved. Rodri (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

44'

L. Yamal

Attempt missed. L. Yamal (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.32.

41'

K. Mbappé

Goal! FC Barcelona 0-1 Real Madrid. K. Mbappé (Real Madrid) scores.

34'

FC Barcelona

Corner, FC Barcelona.

34'

A. Gordon

Attempt saved. A. Gordon (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

33'

Raphinha

Attempt missed. Raphinha (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

33'

K. Mbappé

Attempt missed. K. Mbappé (Real Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

30'

X. Espart

Substitution, FC Barcelona: A. Balde comes on for X. Espart.

28'

FC Barcelona

Offside, FC Barcelona.

26'

A. Güler

Attempt blocked. A. Güler (Real Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

26'

Real Madrid

Corner, Real Madrid.

24'

Raphinha

Attempt missed. Raphinha (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

23'

F. López

Attempt blocked. F. López (FC Barcelona), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

Raphinha

Attempt missed. Raphinha (FC Barcelona), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

19'

Real Madrid

Corner, Real Madrid.

18'

Real Madrid

Corner, Real Madrid.

18'

A. Güler

Attempt saved. A. Güler (Real Madrid), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

15'

A. Gordon

Attempt saved. A. Gordon (FC Barcelona), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

Real Madrid

Offside, Real Madrid.

A. Gordon

Attempt saved. A. Gordon (FC Barcelona), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

A. Güler

Attempt missed. A. Güler (Real Madrid), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

Kick-off: FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid.

Where the money is

12846444 EUR matched · captured 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 9723042 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

63.2%

+63.1 vs price

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

26.2%

-72.8 vs price

Draw 260.0 · implied 0.4%

10.6%

+10.2 vs price

Half time 5144 EUR

Home 2.06 · implied 48.5%

63.2%

+14.7 vs price

Away 4.4 · implied 22.7%

25.8%

+3.1 vs price

Draw 3.5 · implied 28.6%

11.0%

-17.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 1137808 EUR · live

Over 2.66 · implied 37.6%

69.1%

+31.5 vs price

Under 1.6 · implied 62.5%

30.9%

-31.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 10218 EUR

Over 3.0 · implied 33.3%

62.5%

+29.1 vs price

Under 1.49 · implied 67.1%

37.5%

-29.6 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

30' 🔁 A. Balde ◂ X. Espart

41' ⚽ K. Mbappé0–1

Half-time · 0–1

46' A. Tchouaméni · Foul

61' ⚽ Raphinha · assist Pedri1–1

62' 🔁 D. Dumfries ◂ F. Valverde

74' 🔁 F. de Jong ◂ F. López

80' 🔁 E. Camavinga ◂ B. Silva

84' A. Gordon · Foul

85' 🔁 K. Adeyemi ◂ A. Gordon

86' 🔁 G. Jesus ◂ Raphinha

87' ⚽ K. Mbappé · assist E. Camavinga1–2

Full-time · 1–2

90'⁺² M. Cucurella · Argument

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 C. Espí ◂ Y. Diomande

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 T. Alexander-Arnold ◂ A. Güler

90'⁺⁴ K. Mbappé · Argument

90'⁺⁶ A. Balde · Foul

90'⁺⁶ K. Adeyemi · Argument

Coaches

Hans-Dieter Flick

José Mourinho

Recent form

FC Barcelona

LAParis Saint-Germain2-4

WAReal Betis5-2

WAGalatasaray4-1

WHGetafe3-0

WASevilla3-1

Real Madrid

WHRB Leipzig4-1

WHSevilla4-1

WAAS Roma4-3

WHVillarreal1-0

LAAtlético Madrid1-2

About this match

**El Clásico is back, and both squads are rolling — but injuries are reshaping the script.** 🔥 Barcelona's on a four-win streak while Madrid's matching pace despite losing Vinícius Jr. to suspension. This feels wide open.

Both teams are clinical in attack right now. Barcelona's mixing youth (**L. Yamal, K. Adeyemi**) with prime playmakers; Madrid's missing their talismanic left-winger but **K. Mbappé** and **Endrick** are ready to do damage. Barcelona's backline is stretched thin without **Koundé** and **Christensen**.

Key storylines:

- **L. Yamal** has to keep Barcelona's width sharp with Madrid's defense reshuffled
- **K. Mbappé** needs to impose himself early with Vinícius sidelined and Rodrygo out
- Barcelona's injury pile (four defenders/mids unavailable) vs. Real Madrid's suspension of their best winger — who's more compromised?

Expected lineups:

- **FC Barcelona**: J. García, P. Cubarsí, X. Espart, E. García, L. Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, K. Adeyemi, G. Jesus
- **Real Madrid**: T. Courtois, I. Konaté, M. Cucurella, A. Rüdiger, F. Valverde, J. Bellingham, K. Mbappé, Endrick

Prediction:

**2-2 draw.** Both teams have the firepower to cut through makeshift defenses, but neither has the full squad edge to dominate. Classic Clásico chaos. ⚽

Where to watch

Disney+ PremiumZAP

Match facts

Stadium

Spotify Camp Nou

City

Barcelona

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera

4.47 yellows/match · 47 matches

Kickoff

25 Oct, 20:00 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Top stats

62%Possession38%

1.19Expected goals (xG)1.94

18Total shots10

6Shots on target5

2Big chances4

6Corners6

Shots

6Shots off target3

6Blocked shots2

11Shots inside box6

7Shots outside box4

0Big chances scored2

2Big chances missed2

0.14Goals prevented0.22

Attack

36Touches in box24

55Final third entries42

3Offsides3

11Free kicks15

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

639Passes380

569Accurate passes320

6/19 (32%)Long balls27/50 (54%)

2/14 (14%)Crosses1/11 (9%)

19Throw-ins8

Duels

46Duels54

36/85 (42%)Ground duels49/85 (58%)

8/11 (73%)Aerial duels3/11 (27%)

9/23 (39%)Dribbles12/22 (55%)

9Dispossessed6

Defending

16Tackles23

56Tackles won61

7Interceptions14

16Clearances30

46Recoveries54

Discipline

15Fouls11

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

1Big saves1

7Goal kicks8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Barcelona 59%

17%

Real Madrid 23%

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 58% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 80% · 2.23 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 72% · 2.00 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 91% · 1.40 @ 1xBet

1X2Barcelona to win 59% · 1.86 @ 1xBet

Who winsBarcelona to win (DNB) 73% · 1.33 @ Betway

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.29 @ betfair

1X2Real Madrid to win 23% · 3.90 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 17% · 3.44 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.57

FC Barcelona

5.50

Draw

4.00

Real Madrid

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

FC Barcelona or Draw

1.13

FC Barcelona or Real Madrid

2.30

Draw or Real Madrid

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.29

Yes

3.42

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

12.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

11.60

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.03

Over 1.50

10.43

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.17

Over 2.50

4.83

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.51

Over 3.50

2.52

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.15

Over 4.50

1.71

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.31

FC Barcelona

3.20

Real Madrid

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.12

Over 7.50

4.69

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.26

Over 8.50

3.18

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.50

Over 9.50

2.41

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.85

Over 10.50

1.97

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.25

Over 11.50

1.58

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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