Valencia 1-2 Villarreal: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 24, 2026

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La Liga ·Sat 24 Oct

Valencia

1–2

HT 1–0

Full time

Villarreal

Mestalla, Valencia · Ref: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Valencia 1-2 Villarreal.

90+6'

G. Mikautadze

Goal! Valencia 1-2 Villarreal. G. Mikautadze (Villarreal) scores, assisted by A. Moleiro.

90+2'

F. Ugrinić

Attempt saved. F. Ugrinić (Valencia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

89'

H. Elliott

Yellow card for H. Elliott (Valencia) for argument.

89'

H. Elliott

Second yellow card for H. Elliott (Valencia), who is sent off.

88'

H. Duro

Attempt missed. H. Duro (Valencia), header. xG 0.05.

87'

T. Buchanan

Substitution, Villarreal: P. Navarro comes on for T. Buchanan.

85'

C. Tárrega

Attempt missed. C. Tárrega (Valencia), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

85'

Valencia

Corner, Valencia.

83'

Valencia

Corner, Valencia.

82'

Villarreal

Offside, Villarreal.

82'

G. Moreno

Substitution, Villarreal: S. Comesaña comes on for G. Moreno.

79'

P. Gueye

Red card! P. Gueye (Villarreal) is sent off for violent conduct.

78'

P. Gueye

VAR: card upgraded for P. Gueye (Villarreal).

77'

P. Maffeo

Substitution, Valencia: F. Ugrinić comes on for P. Maffeo.

77'

J. De Haas

Substitution, Valencia: H. Duro comes on for J. De Haas.

74'

A. Moleiro

Attempt missed. A. Moleiro (Villarreal), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

70'

D. Raba

Substitution, Valencia: A. Martínez comes on for D. Raba.

70'

J. Guerra

Substitution, Valencia: H. Elliott comes on for J. Guerra.

69'

A. Freeman

Goal! Valencia 1-1 Villarreal. A. Freeman (Villarreal) scores, assisted by S. Cardona.

66'

A. Moleiro

Attempt blocked. A. Moleiro (Villarreal), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

66'

A. Pérez

Substitution, Villarreal: G. Mikautadze comes on for A. Pérez.

65'

J. Foyth

Substitution, Villarreal: S. Cardona comes on for J. Foyth.

65'

I. Akhomach

Substitution, Villarreal: A. Moleiro comes on for I. Akhomach.

64'

T. Buchanan

Attempt blocked. T. Buchanan (Villarreal), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

62'

G. Rodríguez

Yellow card for G. Rodríguez (Valencia) for foul.

61'

T. Buchanan

Attempt missed. T. Buchanan (Villarreal), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

P. Maffeo

Yellow card for P. Maffeo (Valencia) for argument.

59'

A. Danjuma

Attempt blocked. A. Danjuma (Valencia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

59'

T. Buchanan

Yellow card for T. Buchanan (Villarreal) for argument.

58'

A. Danjuma

Attempt saved. A. Danjuma (Valencia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

58'

Valencia

Corner, Valencia.

57'

I. Akhomach

Attempt missed. I. Akhomach (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

56'

T. Buchanan

Attempt missed. T. Buchanan (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

56'

Valencia

Offside, Valencia.

55'

C. Tárrega

Attempt saved. C. Tárrega (Valencia), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

54'

Valencia

Corner, Valencia.

54'

C. Tárrega

Attempt missed. C. Tárrega (Valencia), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

54'

Valencia

Offside, Valencia.

53'

J. L. Gayà

Attempt saved. J. L. Gayà (Valencia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

53'

Valencia

Corner, Valencia.

50'

P. Gueye

Attempt blocked. P. Gueye (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

50'

G. Moreno

Attempt missed. G. Moreno (Villarreal), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

50'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

49'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Valencia 1-0 Villarreal.

45+5'

Valencia

Corner, Valencia.

45+1'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

45'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

45'

A. Pérez

Attempt missed. A. Pérez (Villarreal), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

43'

A. Pérez

Yellow card for A. Pérez (Villarreal) for foul.

38'

Pepelu

Goal! Valencia 1-0 Villarreal. Pepelu (Valencia) converts the penalty.

37'

R. Veiga

Yellow card for R. Veiga (Villarreal) for foul.

36'

D. Raba

VAR: no penalty for Valencia.

34'

D. Raba

Yellow card for D. Raba (Valencia) for foul.

32'

Villarreal

Offside, Villarreal.

30'

P. Gueye

Attempt missed. P. Gueye (Villarreal), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

30'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

29'

I. Akhomach

Attempt blocked. I. Akhomach (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

28'

P. Gueye

Attempt missed. P. Gueye (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

25'

P. Gueye

Attempt missed. P. Gueye (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

25'

P. Gueye

Attempt missed. P. Gueye (Villarreal), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

25'

C. Macia

Attempt missed. C. Macia (Villarreal), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

19'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

18'

T. Buchanan

Attempt saved. T. Buchanan (Villarreal), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

18'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

14'

D. Otorbi

Substitution, Valencia: D. Raba comes on for D. Otorbi.

11'

Villarreal

Corner, Villarreal.

P. Gueye

Attempt missed. P. Gueye (Villarreal), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

Kick-off: Valencia vs Villarreal.

Where the money is

1778828 EUR matched · captured 6 days, 6 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1254470 EUR · live

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

50.6%

-47.4 vs price

Draw 90.0 · implied 1.1%

30.0%

+28.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

19.6%

+19.5 vs price

Half time 272 EUR

Draw 2.44 · implied 41.0%

57.2%

+16.2 vs price

Away 2.82 · implied 35.5%

23.8%

-11.7 vs price

Home 4.1 · implied 24.4%

19.1%

-5.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 358821 EUR · live

Under 1.08 · implied 92.6%

53.6%

-39.0 vs price

Over 13.5 · implied 7.4%

46.4%

+39.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 8 EUR

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

92.7%

+79.5 vs price

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

7.3%

-79.7 vs price

17 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

14' 🔁 D. Raba ◂ D. Otorbi

34' D. Raba · Foul

36' VAR Penalty check · D. Raba

37' R. Veiga · Foul

38' ⚽ Pepelu (pen)1–0

43' A. Pérez · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

59' T. Buchanan · Argument

60' P. Maffeo · Argument

62' G. Rodríguez · Foul

65' 🔁 A. Moleiro ◂ I. Akhomach

65' 🔁 S. Cardona ◂ J. Foyth

66' 🔁 G. Mikautadze ◂ A. Pérez

69' ⚽ A. Freeman · assist S. Cardona1–1

70' 🔁 H. Elliott ◂ J. Guerra

70' 🔁 A. Martínez ◂ D. Raba

77' 🔁 H. Duro ◂ J. De Haas

77' 🔁 F. Ugrinić ◂ P. Maffeo

78' VAR Card check · P. Gueye

79' P. Gueye · Violent conduct

82' 🔁 S. Comesaña ◂ G. Moreno

87' 🔁 P. Navarro ◂ T. Buchanan

89' H. Elliott · Argument

Full-time · 1–2

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ G. Mikautadze · assist A. Moleiro1–2

Coaches

Javier Aguirre

Iñigo Pérez

Recent form

Valencia

DHAthletic Club0-0

DAReal Racing Club2-2

LHReal Sociedad2-3

WADeportivo Alavés1-0

LASevilla0-1

Villarreal

LALiverpool FC3-4

DHElche0-0

WHSSC Napoli3-1

LAReal Madrid0-1

WHLevante UD3-1

About this match

**Valencia host Villarreal in a classic mid-table La Liga scrap** — both sides hunting consistency after fitful starts to the season. 🔥

Valencia's drawing a lot (2D in last 5) and struggling to close out wins, while **Villarreal** are the form team here with 2 wins, though they just got battered 3-4 by Liverpool. Head-to-head leans slightly Villarreal's way historically, but don't sleep on home advantage at Mestalla.

Key storylines:

- **Valencia's injury crisis** is real — López, Foulquier, Canós, and Sadiq all out leaves them threadbare in attack and defense, forcing creative XI shuffles around Pepelu and **A. Danjuma**.
- **Villarreal's intensity** when firing (that 3-1 demolition of Napoli was chef's kiss) can wreck Valencia's shaky back line, but they've also shown defensive brittleness.
- This is a vintage "70-30 draw risk" matchup — both sides capable of grinding it out but neither consistently breaking the other down.

Expected lineups:

- **Valencia**: S. Dimitrievski, C. Tárrega, M. Diakhaby, I. Córdoba, J. L. Gayà, P. Maffeo, R. Sato, J. Guerra, Pepelu, L. Rioja, A. Danjuma
- **Villarreal**: L. Júnior, C. Romero, R. Veiga, P. Navarro, S. Cardona, P. Gueye, A. Moleiro, S. Comesaña, I. Akhomach, G. Mikautadze, A. Pérez

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — both teams leave it all on the pitch but neither quite has the personnel punch to nick it.

Where to watch

Disney+ PremiumM+ LaLiga TV

Match facts

Stadium

Mestalla

City

Valencia

Referee

Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

4.91 yellows/match · 32 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Top stats

39%Possession61%

1.13Expected goals (xG)1.5

9Total shots19

5Shots on target3

1Big chances2

6Corners9

Shots

3Shots off target12

1Blocked shots4

7Shots inside box11

2Shots outside box8

1Big chances scored2

-1.31Goals prevented0.28

Attack

17Touches in box42

34Final third entries70

2Offsides2

8Free kicks18

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

332Passes539

250Accurate passes465

17/49 (35%)Long balls27/55 (49%)

5/16 (31%)Crosses4/16 (25%)

17Throw-ins16

Duels

48Duels52

30/68 (44%)Ground duels38/68 (56%)

11/17 (65%)Aerial duels6/17 (35%)

6/10 (60%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)

11Dispossessed8

Defending

15Tackles15

47Tackles won60

5Interceptions11

29Clearances22

38Recoveries48

Discipline

18Fouls9

5Yellow cards3

1Red cards1

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

1Big saves1

14Goal kicks4

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Valencia 30%

27%

Villarreal 43%

1X2Villarreal to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365

Who winsVillarreal to win (DNB) 52% · 1.53 @ Betway

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.85 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.64 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle

1X2Valencia to win 30% · 3.44 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.35

Valencia

3.60

Draw

2.10

Villarreal

Double Chanceconsensus

1.71

Valencia or Draw

1.27

Valencia or Villarreal

1.30

Draw or Villarreal

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.60

Yes

2.25

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.26

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.71

Over 2.50

2.14

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.44

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.31

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.40

Valencia

1.51

Villarreal

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.42

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.45

Over 8.50

2.55

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.84

Over 9.50

1.91

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.26

Over 10.50

1.59

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.01

Over 11.50

1.32

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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