Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad: Stats & xG – Nov 1, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad.

90+2'

B. Turrientes

Attempt blocked. B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.23.

90+2'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

G. Guedes

Substitution, Real Sociedad: J. Ochieng comes on for G. Guedes.

89'

R. Navarro

Substitution, Athletic Club: J. L. Jean comes on for R. Navarro.

89'

N. Williams

Substitution, Athletic Club: O. Sancet comes on for N. Williams.

89'

Y. Berchiche

Substitution, Athletic Club: Y. Álvarez comes on for Y. Berchiche.

88'

O. S. Óskarsson

Attempt saved. O. S. Óskarsson (Real Sociedad), header. xG 0.49.

88'

J. Aramburu

Substitution, Real Sociedad: H. Fort comes on for J. Aramburu.

88'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

87'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

87'

T. Kubo

Attempt missed. T. Kubo (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

84'

Á. Berenguer

Attempt blocked. Á. Berenguer (Athletic Club), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

84'

H. Rincón

Yellow card for H. Rincón (Athletic Club) for foul.

80'

S. Gómez

Attempt missed. S. Gómez (Real Sociedad), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

78'

C. Soler

Attempt missed. C. Soler (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

77'

Athletic Club

Corner, Athletic Club.

77'

P. Canales

Substitution, Athletic Club: B. Prados comes on for P. Canales.

76'

N. Williams

Attempt blocked. N. Williams (Athletic Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

75'

L. Sučić

Substitution, Real Sociedad: T. Kubo comes on for L. Sučić.

75'

J. Gorrotxategi

Substitution, Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes comes on for J. Gorrotxategi.

74'

J. Aramburu

Yellow card for J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) for foul.

73'

C. Soler

Attempt saved. C. Soler (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

73'

G. Guedes

Attempt blocked. G. Guedes (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

73'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

68'

C. Soler

Attempt blocked. C. Soler (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

67'

L. Sučić

Attempt blocked. L. Sučić (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

65'

P. Matarazzo

Yellow card for P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) for argument.

64'

M. Sarr

Yellow card for M. Sarr (Real Sociedad) for argument.

63'

N. Williams

Attempt blocked. N. Williams (Athletic Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

61'

A. Barrenetxea

Substitution, Real Sociedad: O. S. Óskarsson comes on for A. Barrenetxea.

60'

N. Williams

Attempt blocked. N. Williams (Athletic Club), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

56'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

55'

M. Oyarzabal

Yellow card for M. Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) for foul.

52'

C. Soler

Attempt blocked. C. Soler (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

52'

I. Williams

Attempt saved. I. Williams (Athletic Club), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.27.

51'

L. Sučić

Attempt missed. L. Sučić (Real Sociedad), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

49'

I. Williams

Attempt missed. I. Williams (Athletic Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad.

45+4'

I. Williams

Yellow card for I. Williams (Athletic Club) for foul.

45+2'

Á. Berenguer

Goal! Athletic Club 2-1 Real Sociedad. Á. Berenguer (Athletic Club) converts the penalty.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

42'

Athletic Club

Corner, Athletic Club.

38'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

38'

M. Oyarzabal

Attempt saved. M. Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

35'

Real Sociedad

Offside, Real Sociedad.

34'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

34'

A. Barrenetxea

Attempt saved. A. Barrenetxea (Real Sociedad), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

30'

L. Sučić

Goal! Athletic Club 1-1 Real Sociedad. L. Sučić (Real Sociedad) scores.

27'

Athletic Club

Corner, Athletic Club.

21'

Á. Berenguer

Attempt missed. Á. Berenguer (Athletic Club), left-footed shot. xG 0.21.

18'

Real Sociedad

Corner, Real Sociedad.

16'

R. Navarro

Attempt missed. R. Navarro (Athletic Club), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

16'

Athletic Club

Corner, Athletic Club.

14'

I. Williams

Goal! Athletic Club 1-0 Real Sociedad. I. Williams (Athletic Club) scores, assisted by N. Williams.

11'

P. Canales

Attempt blocked. P. Canales (Athletic Club), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

11'

Athletic Club

Corner, Athletic Club.

10'

Á. Berenguer

Attempt blocked. Á. Berenguer (Athletic Club), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

6'

M. Sannadi

Substitution, Athletic Club: R. Navarro comes on for M. Sannadi.

2'

Á. Berenguer

Attempt missed. Á. Berenguer (Athletic Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.95.

1'

Kick-off: Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad.

Where the money is

2719551 EUR matched · captured 2 days, 23 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1922744 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

86.1%

-12.9 vs price

Draw 680.0 · implied 0.1%

7.1%

+6.9 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.8%

+6.7 vs price

Half time 442 EUR

Draw 2.5 · implied 40.0%

63.5%

+23.5 vs price

Away 4.3 · implied 23.3%

27.6%

+4.3 vs price

Home 2.72 · implied 36.8%

13.4%

-23.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 118489 EUR · live

Over 1.22 · implied 82.0%

71.3%

-10.7 vs price

Under 5.5 · implied 18.2%

28.7%

+10.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 67 EUR

Over 7.4 · implied 13.5%

71.9%

+58.4 vs price

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

28.1%

-59.6 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

6' 🔁 R. Navarro ◂ M. Sannadi

14' ⚽ I. Williams · assist N. Williams1–0

30' ⚽ L. Sučić1–1

Half-time · 2–1

45'⁺² ⚽ Á. Berenguer (pen)2–1

45'⁺⁴ I. Williams · Foul

55' M. Oyarzabal · Foul

61' 🔁 O. S. Óskarsson ◂ A. Barrenetxea

64' M. Sarr · Argument

65' P. Matarazzo · Argument

74' J. Aramburu · Foul

75' 🔁 B. Turrientes ◂ J. Gorrotxategi

75' 🔁 T. Kubo ◂ L. Sučić

77' 🔁 B. Prados ◂ P. Canales

84' H. Rincón · Foul

88' 🔁 H. Fort ◂ J. Aramburu

89' 🔁 Y. Álvarez ◂ Y. Berchiche

89' 🔁 O. Sancet ◂ N. Williams

89' 🔁 J. L. Jean ◂ R. Navarro

89' 🔁 J. Ochieng ◂ G. Guedes

Full-time · 2–1

Coaches

Edin Terzić

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Recent form

Athletic Club

WAAE Prat6-1

WHGetafe4-0

LALevante UD1-3

DAValencia0-0

WAReal Sociedad1-0

Real Sociedad

WHLevante UD2-1

WALillestrøm SK6-0

WAMálaga CF5-2

DARoyale Union Saint-Gilloise1-1

WHDeportivo de A Coruña3-2

About this match

**Basque bragging rights get spicy as Athletic Club host Real Sociedad** — two of Spain's most form-conscious outfits collide at San Mamés in a derby with real playoff implications.

Athletic are red-hot after dismantling Getafe 4-0 but stumbled badly at Levante. Real Sociedad's 4W-1D streak is the scarier resume heading in, though — they're clicking like few other clubs in La Liga right now. This H2H tilts slightly Sociedad's way historically, but the home crowd could be the equalizer.

Key storylines:

- **Athletic's fringe attacking depth** gets tested with **I. Williams** and **P. Canales** carrying the load while regular starters deal with injuries
- **Real Sociedad's midfield balance** anchored by **L. Sučić** and **C. Soler** will try to control the tempo against a Bilbao side hungry to bounce back
- **A. Laporte** and **M. Sarr** marshalling the backlines — a defensive chess match in the making

Expected lineups:

- **Athletic Club**: U. Simón, Y. Berchiche, A. Laporte, A. Paredes, H. Rincón, B. Gerenabarrena, Y. Álvarez, Á. Berenguer, P. Canales, I. Williams, M. Sannadi
- **Real Sociedad**: Á. Remiro, S. Gómez, J. Martin, M. Sarr, J. Aramburu, L. Sučić, C. Soler, Y. Herrera, J. Gorrotxategi, M. Oyarzabal, G. Guedes

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — both sides too organized and in-form to break through cleanly. Lean slight edge to Athletic at home, but Sociedad's recent form keeps this tight.

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium

Match facts

Stadium

San Mamés

City

Bilbao

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez

4.49 yellows/match · 59 matches

Kickoff

01 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Competition

La Liga

Highlights & clips

Athletic Club 4-4-2 · 4-4-2 Real Sociedad

1 U. Simón 7.3 15 H. Rincón 7.5 3 D. Vivian 7.3 14 A. Laporte 6.5 31 J. L. Jean ↑ 89' 7 Á. Berenguer 5.5 6 B. Prados 6.5 ↑ 77' 24 B. Gerenabarrena 6.9 5 Y. Álvarez ↑ 89' 23 R. Navarro 6.8 ↑ 6' 9 I. Williams 7.1 1 Á. Remiro 6.0 22 H. Fort ↑ 88' 6 J. Martin 6.8 19 M. Sarr 8.1 17 S. Gómez 6.6 12 J. Ochieng ↑ 89' 8 B. Turrientes 6.6 ↑ 75' 18 C. Soler 7.3 9 O. S. Óskarsson 6.6 ↑ 61' 14 T. Kubo 6.5 ↑ 75' 10 M. Oyarzabal 6.6

Substitutes

13GÁ. Padilla 17DY. Berchiche↓ 89'6.8 4DA. Paredes 12DJ. Areso 10MN. Williams↓ 89'7.5 28MP. Canales↓ 77'6.5 8MO. Sancet↑ 89' 18MM. Jauregizar 20MA. Rego Mora 22MN. Serrano 21FM. Sannadi↓ 6' 34FJ. V. Hurtado

Coach: Edin Terzić

Substitutes

32GA. Fraga 13GU. Marrero 2DJ. Aramburu↓ 88'6.4 5DI. Zubeldia 3DA. Muñoz 16DJ. Pacheco 24ML. Sučić↓ 75'7.4 4MJ. Gorrotxategi↓ 75'7.0 7MA. Barrenetxea↓ 61'6.6 11MG. Guedes↓ 89'6.3 15MP. Marín 21MY. Herrera

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo

Top stats

38%Possession62%

2.93Expected goals (xG)1.4

13Total shots14

3Shots on target5

5Big chances2

5Corners8

Shots

4Shots off target4

6Blocked shots5

10Shots inside box9

3Shots outside box5

2Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed2

0.27Goals prevented-0.9

Attack

24Touches in box20

51Final third entries63

0Offsides2

12Free kicks11

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

366Passes597

307Accurate passes514

26/61 (43%)Long balls16/34 (47%)

1/13 (0%)Crosses7/24 (29%)

16Throw-ins21

Duels

42Duels58

26/58 (45%)Ground duels32/58 (55%)

7/20 (35%)Aerial duels13/20 (65%)

6/18 (33%)Dribbles2/4 (50%)

7Dispossessed5

Defending

7Tackles19

43Tackles won53

14Interceptions8

20Clearances17

40Recoveries46

Discipline

11Fouls13

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

2Big saves0

7Goal kicks5

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Athletic Club 48%

26%

Real Sociedad 26%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle

Who winsAthletic Club to win (DNB) 65% · 1.47 @ Betano

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.37 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Athletic Club to win 48% · 2.40 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.33 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 26% · 2.62 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.01 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.41 @ 1xBet

1X2Real Sociedad to win 26% · 3.68 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.00

Athletic Club

3.65

Draw

3.75

Real Sociedad

Double Chanceconsensus

1.25

Athletic Club or Draw

1.25

Athletic Club or Real Sociedad

1.80

Draw or Real Sociedad

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.12

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

4.02

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.02

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.90

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.45

Athletic Club

2.62

Real Sociedad

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.19

Over 7.50

3.73

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.37

Over 8.50

2.75

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.65

Over 9.50

2.10

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.17

Over 10.50

1.66

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.72

Over 11.50

1.38

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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