Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Getafe host a Sevilla side searching for consistency** — both teams are feast-or-famine types lately, which means this could swing either way. 🎲
Getafe's form is messy (1W-2D-2L) but they've got the home crowd at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Sevilla just beat Osasuna 2-0 and Sporting Hortaleza 3-0, yet imploded 1-4 to Real Madrid, so they're clearly vulnerable to sharper opponents.
Key storylines:
- **Getafe's makeshift attack**: Without Juanmi through injury, E. Ünal and M. Satriano have to carry the load against a shaky Sevilla backline
- **Sevilla's defensive woes**: Missing Marcão and Miguel Sierra is huge — A. Castrin and K. Salas will be tested hard by Getafe's scrappy midfield
- **H2H edge to Sevilla**: The away side has won 22 of their last 45, but at home this matchup is tighter
Expected lineups:
- **Getafe**: D. Soria, Djené, N. Gudelj, Z. Romero, D. Carvajal, O. Mangala, F. Serrano, R. Terrats, S. S. Trujillo, M. Satriano, E. Ünal
- **Sevilla**: O. Vlachodimos, G. Suazo, A. Castrin, K. Salas, J. Iglesias, L. Agoumé, Y. Fofana, F. Correia, P. Fernández, C. Ejuke, R. Ure
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** leans likely — Getafe at home frustrates, Sevilla lacks the depth to break through cleanly.
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.0% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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