FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart — live & stats

Where the money is

5269694 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3060214 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

94.9%

-4.1 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.0%

+2.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.1%

+2.0 vs price

Half time 108749 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.9%

-5.1 vs price

Away 300.0 · implied 0.3%

4.4%

+4.1 vs price

Draw 26.0 · implied 3.8%

1.7%

-2.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 129743 EUR · live

Over 1.13 · implied 88.5%

68.2%

-20.3 vs price

Under 8.4 · implied 11.9%

31.8%

+19.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 72581 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

92.4%

-6.6 vs price

Over 100.0 · implied 1.0%

7.6%

+6.6 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

21' ⚽ D. Upamecano · assist J. Kimmich1–0

Half-time · 1–0

52' ⚽ J. Vagnoman1–1

55' ⚽ M. Olise · assist J. Kimmich2–1

57' ⚽ J. Vagnoman3–1

61' 🔁 I. Saibari ◂ N. Brown

62' 🔁 J. Leweling ◂ T. Tomás

62' J. Chabot · Foul

63' 🔁 E. Demirović ◂ D. Pejčinović

64' VAR Goal not given after review · M. Olise

68' F. Jeltsch · Foul

74' 🔁 B. E. Khannouss ◂ J. Chabot

74' 🔁 L. Stergiou ◂ D. Undav

74' 🔁 J. Stanišić ◂ A. Davies

81' K. Min-jae · Foul

82' ⚽ A. Pavlović · assist I. Saibari4–1

84' 🔁 J. Tah ◂ K. Min-jae

84' 🔁 L. Karl ◂ H. Kane

84' 🔁 T. Bischof ◂ A. Pavlović

88' 🔁 C. Andrés ◂ A. Stiller

Full-time · 5–1

90'⁺² ⚽ L. Díaz · assist I. Saibari5–1

90'⁺³ G. Prömel · Argument

Coaches

Vincent Kompany

Sebastian Hoeneß

Recent form

FC Bayern München

WA1. FC Heidenheim4-2

WAAston Villa2-1

WAJeju SK2-1

WAFC Rottach-Egern15-0

LASV Wehen Wiesbaden1-2

VfB Stuttgart

WAFC Hansa Rostock4-0

LAFulham0-1

WHEverton3-1

DAParis FC2-2

WAKickers Offenbach8-1

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

Allianz Arena

City

Munich

Referee

Sören Storks

5.00 yellows/match · 16 matches

Kickoff

28 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Competition

Bundesliga

Highlights & clips

FC Bayern München 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 VfB Stuttgart

1 M. Neuer 7.4 27 K. Laimer 6.4 2 D. Upamecano 8.0 4 J. Tah 6.8 ↑ 84' 44 J. Stanišić 6.7 ↑ 74' 6 J. Kimmich 9.0 42 L. Karl 6.4 ↑ 84' 17 M. Olise 8.0 34 I. Saibari 8.4 ↑ 61' 14 L. Díaz 7.6 8 T. Bischof 6.8 ↑ 84' 1 F. Bredlow 7.8 29 F. Jeltsch 6.4 20 L. Stergiou 6.0 ↑ 74' 3 R. Hendriks 6.1 4 J. Vagnoman 7.1 21 G. Prömel 6.0 30 C. Andrés 6.5 ↑ 88' 7 M. Mittelstädt 7.5 9 E. Demirović 6.2 ↑ 63' 11 B. E. Khannouss 7.0 ↑ 74' 18 J. Leweling 6.7 ↑ 62'

Substitutes

40GJ. Urbig 19DA. Davies↓ 74'7.4 3DK. Min-jae↓ 84'7.1 11DN. Brown↓ 61'6.5 21DH. Itō 45MA. Pavlović↓ 84'8.2 39MB. S. Ndiaye 22MA. Ibrahimović 9FH. Kane↓ 84'7.0

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Substitutes

33GM. Funk 24DJ. Chabot↓ 74'6.3 2DA. Al-Dakhil 6MA. Stiller↓ 88'6.3 27MB. Bouanani 16MA. Karazor 8FT. Tomás↓ 62'6.5 17FD. Pejčinović↓ 63'6.1 26FD. Undav↓ 74'6.0

Coach: Sebastian Hoeneß

Top stats

59%Possession41%

4.06Expected goals (xG)0.79

21Total shots11

9Shots on target4

7Big chances2

9Corners3

Shots

6Shots off target3

6Blocked shots4

14Shots inside box7

7Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork1

4Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed2

0.14Goals prevented-0.56

Attack

49Touches in box17

61Final third entries49

3Offsides1

17Free kicks10

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

548Passes370

448Accurate passes280

29/61 (48%)Long balls17/45 (38%)

2/10 (20%)Crosses2/15 (13%)

15Throw-ins8

Duels

51Duels49

33/64 (52%)Ground duels31/64 (48%)

15/30 (50%)Aerial duels15/30 (50%)

10/22 (45%)Dribbles2/3 (67%)

7Dispossessed5

Defending

6Tackles19

67Tackles won63

11Interceptions12

21Clearances25

50Recoveries44

Discipline

10Fouls17

1Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

0Big saves1

4Goal kicks7

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers

Bayern 77%

14%

Stuttgart 10%

1X2Bayern to win 77% · 1.57 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 59% · 1.66 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 79% · 2.30 @ 888Sport

Who winsBayern to win (DNB) 85% · 1.19 @ forbet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 91% · 1.40 @ 888Sport

BTTSBoth teams to score 65% · 2.50 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.40 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.70 @ 10bet

1X2Draw 14% · 4.40 @ tipico

1X2Stuttgart to win 10% · 7.20 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.29

FC Bayern München

6.15

Draw ▲

7.83

VfB Stuttgart ▼

Double Chanceconsensus

1.08

FC Bayern München or Draw

1.12

FC Bayern München or VfB Stuttgart ▲

3.36

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.45

Yes

2.58

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

2.65

YES

1.42

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

15.00

YES

1.02

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.77

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

23.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

27.22

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.05

Over 1.50

8.67

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.22

Over 2.50

3.93

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.60

Over 3.50

2.25

Under 3.50 ▼

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.19

Over 4.50

1.67

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.10

FC Bayern München

6.04

VfB Stuttgart

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.21

Over 7.50

3.51

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.39

Over 8.50

2.62

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.71

Over 9.50

2.04

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

91% confidence

FC Bayern München to win or draw

✓

90% confidence

FC Bayern München to avoid defeat

✓

85% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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