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Urs Fischer
1. FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
1. FSV Mainz 05
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-3
SC Paderborn 07
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1074667 EUR · live
Home
34.0 · implied 2.9%
82.9%
+79.9 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
12.1%
-84.1 vs price
Away
80.0 · implied 1.2%
5.0%
+3.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
89006 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
73.2%
-25.8 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.8%
+26.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1409 EUR
Under
1.21 · implied 82.6%
95.2%
+12.5 vs price
Over
5.5 · implied 18.2%
4.8%
-13.4 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
38'
S. Castaneda · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
67'
🔁
S. Tigges ◂ S. Marino
68'
🔁
R. Y. Königsdörffer ◂ J. Lee
68'
🔁
O. Ruoppi ◂ S. Becker
72'
M. Hansen · Foul
73'
🔁
S. Widmer ◂ A. Caci
75'
🔁
T. Baack ◂ L. Ulrich
75'
🔁
J. Sticker ◂ M. Hansen
80'
🔁
K. Potulski ◂ D. Kohr
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
P. Mwene · Foul
90'+2
🔁
C. Lippmann ◂ M. Pieringer
Coaches
Urs FischerRalf Kettemann 
Recent form
1. FSV Mainz 05WAVfB 1921 Krieschow9-0
WHBournemouth2-1
WHParis FC4-0
DHUdinese3-3
WHShabab Al-Ahli Dubai1-0
SC Paderborn 07WA1.FC Phönix Lübeck4-2
DASV Werder Bremen2-2
WAVfL Osnabrück2-0
WHSouthampton2-1
LH1. FC Magdeburg0-2
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport 4 SRB
Disney+ Premium Chile
OneFootballSportyNetYouTube - SportyNet
Sky Bundesliga HD 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZNSky Bundesliga 2Sky Bundesliga 5Sky Bundesliga HD 2WOW
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 4 HD
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Viaplay
FandangoPeacock
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
MEWA Arena
City
Mainz
Kickoff
29 Aug, 13:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Highlights & clips
1. FSV Mainz 05
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-3
SC Paderborn 07
27
R. Zentner
6.9
21
D. Costa
7.6
3
F. Gruber
7.9
48
K. Potulski
6.8
↑ 80'
6
K. Sano
7.2
30
S. Widmer
7.0
↑ 73'
20
O. Ruoppi
6.6
↑ 68'
10
N. Amiri
7.5
2
P. Mwene
6.7
11
R. Y. Königsdörffer
6.6
↑ 68'
9
P. Tietz
6.0
15
N. Noll
7.8
21
J. Ter-Horst
7.5
25
T. L. Scheller
7.4
3
J. Sticker
6.8
↑ 75'
17
L. Curda
8.2
6
T. Baack
6.6
↑ 75'
5
S. Castaneda
7.1
23
R. Obermair
6.9
29
C. Lippmann
↑ 90'
27
S. Tigges
6.6
↑ 67'
40
G. Vidović
7.0
Substitutes
1GA. Schwolow
31DD. Kohr↓ 80'7.5
4DS. Posch
47DR. Nakuzola
19MA. Caci↓ 73'7.8
7MJ. Lee↓ 68'6.2
24MS. Kawasaki
15ML. Maloney
23FS. Becker↓ 68'6.8
Coach: Urs Fischer
Substitutes
1GM. Schubert
22DM. Hansen↓ 75'7.0
28ML. Ulrich↓ 75'6.2
8ML. Duric
24MN. Mohr
18FM. Pieringer↓ 90'6.7
30FS. Marino↓ 67'6.5
38FD. Zeitler
7FO. Batista Meier
Coach: Ralf Kettemann
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.23Expected goals (xG)0.73
21Total shots10
4Shots on target0
2Big chances1
11Corners2
Shots
11Shots off target6
6Blocked shots4
14Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed1
0.0Goals prevented0.7
Attack
36Touches in box19
65Final third entries23
1Offsides1
10Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
461Passes462
385Accurate passes386
24/42 (57%)Long balls28/51 (55%)
13/39 (33%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
19Throw-ins15
Duels
49Duels51
28/54 (52%)Ground duels26/54 (48%)
19/41 (46%)Aerial duels22/41 (54%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles3/6 (50%)
10Dispossessed13
Defending
16Tackles15
63Tackles won53
12Interceptions14
28Clearances53
44Recoveries43
Discipline
8Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
Who winsMainz 05 to win (DNB) 72% · 1.40 @ forbet
1X2Mainz 05 to win 58% · 2.06 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 4.00 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.10 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 23% · 3.00 @ betcity
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.03 @ Bet365
1X2Paderborn to win 19% · 4.60 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.69
1. FSV Mainz 05
3.94
Draw ▼
4.54
SC Paderborn 07 ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
1.24
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Paderborn 07 ▲
2.09
Draw or SC Paderborn 07 ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes
2.11
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.50
YES
1.11
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.15
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.18
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.14
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.64
Over 3.50 ▼
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.65
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.28
1. FSV Mainz 05 ▼
3.37
SC Paderborn 07
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.08
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.36
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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